Macdoc wrote:Most of us here are aware of the rebound from ice masses on continents.....causes some minor quakes in certain areas.
There are several articles out recently postulating additional impact of ice loss in various scenarios.
This thread presumes there is ice loss - that's known, measured and observed - some several hundred cu meters per year over most glaciers with a few gaining some weight.....
What I'd like to explore is what could be the extent of the impact on vulcanism, earth quake on the lithosphere as the planet warms.
Big energies are involved, changes in hydrology will affect fault lines, Mt Ranier for instance is a real threat if there is an outbreak of volcanism along that Pacific chain.....
There is a link in the limited circumstance of glacial retreat and rebound pf the underlying crust, what's the furthest extent??
We know the ocean expands - what does the lithosphere do??
One article here....
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/n...-quakes_2.htmlMore appreciated.
Like the ice extent thread I'd like this discussion limited specifically to the impact of large scale relatively fast loss of glacial mass on earthquakes and vulcanism and any other lithosphere impacts.
and from the mothership Nature...it is an emerging area of interest with too little known...
http://www.nature.com/news/2009/0909....2009.926.html
One thing it means is that we have to sink more money into researching the earth's crust and mantle. I saw an article go by just a few days ago that reported on a science project that will be drilling into the mantle sometime this summer, deeper than man has ever drilled before. They've found a spot where the crust is only five or six KM thick, and that's where they'll be drilling. The objective is to get their hands on some mantle to actually see what it's like, what it's viscosity actually is and so on. Right now it's all theory.
There is no doubt about the idea that bedrock rebounds when a great weight has been or is lifted from it. The great Canadian Shield is rebounding as we speak, and the North American ice sheet's been gone for 10,000 years, i.e., the geology of rebounding involves an exceedingly slow process, as is the case with almost all geologic processes. Yet some things can happen very quickly, like an earthquake. Volcanoes can erupt on short notice too. But plate movement is slower than mollases.
Geologist's are concerned about the Cascadia fault, which runs in a generally north-south direction off the coasts of Oregon and Washington. Big quakes have occurred along this fault in the past, the last big one was in the 1800's some time. And by "big" I mean 8.8 or bigger. A big quake today on that fault would throw up a horrendous tsunami that would wreak havoc on lower lying lands along that coast, much the way the Japanese tsunami hit the east coast of northern Honshu. A big quake on the Cascadia fault is almost inevitable. The question is of course, when? And the answer is, nobody knows, it could be tomorrow it might not be for a thousand years. But geologists think the pressue on is has built to a point where a quake is due.
As far as volcanoes go I'd not think that rebounding would induce any new action in volcano formation. The earth's mantle is already fractured into a series of some 50 plates and for the most part, volcanoes occur along their boundaries. Hawaiian volcanoes are an exception in that they sit over and slide past a hole in the mantle, which builds islands over long periods of eruption, spewing lava everywhere.
The islands do eventually slide past the hole and their volcanos go dormant, cutoff from their supply of molten rock. All but the Big Island in Hawaii have done this, and there are no active volcanoes in Hawaii except on the Big Island, Mauna Loa and Kiluea beinbg the most notable. There is a new volcano off the Southern end of the Big Island 60 or 80 miles that's a-building. It's still 6,500 feet from the surface of the ocean and geologists say it wont break the surface for five-thousand years, more or less. But it is there and it is inexorably on its way to becoming an island.
But since plate archicture is established and nobody sees the possibility of bigger plates breaking into smaller ones, the faults along which most volcanoes occur won't change. Whether rebounding will cause new volcanoes to erupt along any of those faults is the question. And right now we don't know.
The Cascades already contain active volcanoes, Mt. St, Helens in Washington State and Lassen Peak in Northern California.
Jim Hanson is pretty convinced that we have now exceeded the temperature at which what he calls "deglaciaion" will occur, by which he means that after commencing some twenty years ago, the earth's ice will melt until its gone, an irreversibe process. Won't happen overnight to be sure but it could occur within as short a time as 1000 years. He's gone back and looked at a half a dozen ice ages and plotted the earth's historical mean annual temperature with the expansion and contraction of ice sheets. He's seen that at the point ice begins to melt (instead of continuing to build), earth's temperature is at a high, which corresponds to where it stands today. The logical conclusion from this is that the cryosphere is going to melt until it's essentially gone. We have exceeded the temp at which ice can accumulate on the planet.
We're definitley in for some more rebounding. It'll be big in Greenland and perhaps Antactica.