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More than one ancestor.Mononoke wrote:Are there any credible alternative hypothesis.
hackenslash wrote::nono:


Theobald, 2010 wrote:Universal common ancestry (UCA) is a central pillar of modern evolutionary theory1. As first suggested by Darwin2, the theory of UCA posits that all extant terrestrial organisms share a common genetic heritage, each being the genealogical descendant of a single species from the distant past3–6. The classic evidence for UCA, although massive, is largely restricted to ‘local’ common ancestry—for example, of specific phyla rather than the entirety of life—and has yet to fully integrate the recent advances from modern phylogenetics and probability theory. Although UCA is widely assumed, it has rarely been subjected to formal quantitative testing7–10, and this has led to critical commentary emphasizing the intrinsic technical difficulties in empirically evaluating a theory of such broad scope1,5,8,9,11–15. Furthermore, several researchers have proposed that early life was characterized by rampant horizontal gene transfer, leading some to question the monophyly of life11,14,15. Here I provide the first, to my knowledge, formal, fundamental test of UCA, without assuming that sequence similarity implies genetic kinship. I test UCA by applying model selection theory5,16,17 to molecular phylogenies, focusing on a set of ubiquitously conserved proteins that are proposed to be orthologous. Among a wide range of biological models involving the independent ancestry of major taxonomic groups, the model selection tests are found to overwhelmingly support UCA irrespective of the presence of horizontal gene transfer and symbiotic fusion events. These results provide powerful statistical evidence corroborating the monophyly of all known life.


As pointed out on an earlier thread, Theobald used model selection theory, what this tells us is which model is likely to be most predictively accurate. It does not tell us which model is most likely to correspond to reality and, accordingly, has no ontological implications.Calilasseia wrote:Actually, Douglas Theobald recently subjected a range of models to formal test, to see which one reproduced phylogenies that were closest to those found in the real world. The universal single common ancestor model was pitted against several other models, including models involving multiple ancestors, and all of the models were tested to see which produced the most realistic phylogenies. The universal single common ancestor model won.
ughaibu wrote:As pointed out on an earlier thread, Theobald used model selection theory, what this tells us is which model is likely to be most predictively accurate. It does not tell us which model is most likely to correspond to reality and, accordingly, has no ontological implications.

This thread begins with the question "are there any credible alternative hypothesis". Clearly this usage of "hypothesis" is not that of an hypothesis in science, as no observation of life on this planet being traced to a single ancestor is possible. So, by "hypothesis" I take it Mononoke meant a conjecture as to what the fact was. In other words, this thread doesn't ask a scientific question.Shrunk wrote:Just like everything else in science.ughaibu wrote:As pointed out on an earlier thread, Theobald used model selection theory, what this tells us is which model is likely to be most predictively accurate. It does not tell us which model is most likely to correspond to reality and, accordingly, has no ontological implications.
ughaibu wrote:This thread begins with the question "are there any credible alternative hypothesis". Clearly this usage of "hypothesis" is not that of an hypothesis in science, as no observation of life on this planet being traced to a single ancestor is possible. So, by "hypothesis" I take it Mononoke meant a conjecture as to what the fact was. In other words, this thread doesn't ask a scientific question.

ughaibu wrote:Of course I'm not joking, and if you have some serious reason to suppose that I am, what is that reason?
Clearly this usage of "hypothesis" is not that of an hypothesis in science, as no observation of life on this planet being traced to a single ancestor is possible.
Theobald used model selection theory, what this tells us is which model is likely to be most predictively accurate.

If you find it funny, fair enough, there's no accounting for taste. But I still have no idea what your reason is.Shrunk wrote:Well, to start with, in the post just before the one in which you say this:ughaibu wrote:Of course I'm not joking, and if you have some serious reason to suppose that I am, what is that reason?you say this:Clearly this usage of "hypothesis" is not that of an hypothesis in science, as no observation of life on this planet being traced to a single ancestor is possible.Whether or not you intend it as a joke, it's pretty funny.Theobald used model selection theory, what this tells us is which model is likely to be most predictively accurate.
ughaibu wrote:If you find it funny, fair enough, there's no accounting for taste. But I still have no idea what your reason is.Shrunk wrote:Well, to start with, in the post just before the one in which you say this:ughaibu wrote:Of course I'm not joking, and if you have some serious reason to suppose that I am, what is that reason?you say this:Clearly this usage of "hypothesis" is not that of an hypothesis in science, as no observation of life on this planet being traced to a single ancestor is possible.Whether or not you intend it as a joke, it's pretty funny.Theobald used model selection theory, what this tells us is which model is likely to be most predictively accurate.

No I didn't.Shrunk wrote:You say there is no possible observation that could support the idea of UCA, immediately after you describe an observation that supports the idea of UCA.


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