Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

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Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#1  Postby Macdoc » Aug 15, 2017 10:55 am

This year may be one of the worst ever for Atlantic hurricanes
Hurricane Matthew
More to come
NOAA
By Andy Coghlan

Image

Batten down the hatches. The US Atlantic coastline may be facing its worst hurricane season since 2010, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration warned last week.

Forecasters at NOAA predict there will be between 14 and 19 named storms – those with sustained wind speeds of at least 63 kilometres per hour – between 1 June and 30 November, compared with an average of 12. Six named storms have already struck the region.

Likewise, NOAA predicts that two to five major hurricanes – with sustained winds of at least 179 kilometres per hour – will brew this year, compared with an average of three. None have formed so far.

“Our update to the initial outlook in May increases the likelihood of an above-normal season to 60 per cent from 45 per cent,” says Susan Buchanan, director of public affairs at NOAA’s National Weather Service.

Alert upgraded
NOAA upgraded its alert because of changing weather conditions since May that make storms and hurricanes more likely. One factor is abnormally warm waters in the tropical Atlantic Ocean, which increase hurricane and cyclone intensity. There are also abnormally weak vertical shear winds; strong shear winds stop hurricanes forming.

“We urge people who live in hurricane-prone areas, especially those with a history of flooding from heavy rain and storm surge, to be prepared with an emergency plan and kit,” says Buchanan.

The alert coincided with continuing efforts to clear up a freak weather event on 5 August that left New Orleans flooded. However, Buchanan says the soaking was not related to a hurricane or tropical storm.

The deluge was a “1 in 100-year event” that saw 25 centimetres of rain fall in four hours. The damage was exacerbated by the failure of at least 17 of the city’s 120 pumps, which were installed following the catastrophic impact of Hurricane Katrina in 2005. The pumps are mostly used to clear standing water after rain stops. They also suck water out of storm drains and canals, expelling it from the city.

Mitch Landrieu, the mayor of New Orleans, warned on 13 August that it could take another two weeks to stabilise the crippled drainage system, leaving the city vulnerable to any further heavy rains or tropical storms.



https://www.newscientist.com/article/21 ... urricanes/
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#2  Postby laklak » Aug 15, 2017 2:12 pm

We're keeping a weather eye out. We had a tropical storm blow up literally overnight. Went to bed around 11:00 pm to clear skies, woke up at 4:00 am to a mini-hurricane.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#3  Postby crank » Aug 15, 2017 5:05 pm

What's your elevation? You live on the gulf is that right?
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#4  Postby laklak » Aug 15, 2017 7:00 pm

Actually on Sarasota Bay, gulf is on the other side of Longboat Key. We're 26 feet above sea level. They call this area the "uplands".
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#5  Postby felltoearth » Aug 15, 2017 11:10 pm

My brother is 13 feet above sea level in Margate. But he has Jesus looking out for him.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#6  Postby KeenIdiot » Aug 15, 2017 11:48 pm

Yeah, been following this. Upshot is it means more work for us soon.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#7  Postby The_Piper » Aug 16, 2017 12:12 am

laklak wrote:Actually on Sarasota Bay, gulf is on the other side of Longboat Key. We're 26 feet above sea level. They call this area the "uplands".

That's interesting that it's not considered the Gulf of Mexico because of a narrow strip of land. :shock:
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#8  Postby laklak » Aug 16, 2017 3:28 am

There are bays within Sarasota Bay, and coves within those.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#9  Postby Nicko » Aug 16, 2017 4:54 am

laklak wrote:There are bays within Sarasota Bay, and coves within those.


... he said as he unrolled the yellowed map onto the table next to the bottle of rum.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#10  Postby NineBerry » Aug 16, 2017 6:42 am

felltoearth wrote:My brother is 13 feet above sea level in Margate. But he has Jesus looking out for him.


What if the authorities find out, he is harbouring an illegal alien?
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#11  Postby felltoearth » Aug 16, 2017 11:30 am

NineBerry wrote:
felltoearth wrote:My brother is 13 feet above sea level in Margate. But he has Jesus looking out for him.


What if the authorities find out, he is harbouring an illegal alien?

Surely, he'll be crucified.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#12  Postby Nicko » Aug 16, 2017 1:34 pm

felltoearth wrote:
NineBerry wrote:
felltoearth wrote:My brother is 13 feet above sea level in Margate. But he has Jesus looking out for him.


What if the authorities find out, he is harbouring an illegal alien?

Surely, he'll be crucified.


We'll smuggle 'im out!

In the Bay of Sarasota, there be coves within coves, don'tcha know.

Aaaar.
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Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#13  Postby felltoearth » Aug 16, 2017 2:14 pm

I always knew we'd find Jesus in Sarasota.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#14  Postby laklak » Aug 17, 2017 3:37 am

Actually, he's just up the road in Bradenton. He went into business with His best mate, Pete.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#15  Postby NineBerry » Aug 17, 2017 7:23 am

As it says in the Bible
"You are the rock, I want to build my tyre business on"
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#16  Postby The_Piper » Aug 17, 2017 8:47 am

Do they have rocks in Florida? It's pretty flat and swampy. :shifty:
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#17  Postby KeenIdiot » Aug 17, 2017 9:52 am

The_Piper wrote:Do they have rocks in Florida? It's pretty flat and swampy. :shifty:

Sure. For smoking.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#18  Postby felltoearth » Aug 17, 2017 12:47 pm

Yep, and it dissolves causing holes. It's holy rock.
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#19  Postby crank » Aug 17, 2017 9:53 pm

laklak wrote:Actually on Sarasota Bay, gulf is on the other side of Longboat Key. We're 26 feet above sea level. They call this area the "uplands".

I think i've seen a picture of your house but can't remember, are you on stilts? Or, how often can you expect the surf to flood you? If a hurricane eye passed south of you, wouldn't you get bad storm surge?
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Re: Laklak et al ...batten down the hatches

#20  Postby laklak » Aug 18, 2017 2:54 pm

No, we're on a slab. We've never been flooded, though we've had some water in the garage. We've never had storm surge this high, least not since they built this subdivision in the 40s. We're very close to the airport, which was built on the highest point in the county. A big enough storm could do it, I suppose, but if we get a Cat 4 or 5 we're flat fucked anyway, stilts or no.
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