Rumraket wrote:Well he could have picked a better example, he was just trying to distinguish between causes. For example, the sun is the continous cause of the path of the orbits of the planets around it. But this is different from noncontinous causes, like the firing of a gun is the cause of the motion of the bullet.
The obvious response to this is surely a simple "is it?".
It isn't clear that this conception is valid - physically both processes involve an application of a force over a finite period (i.e. non-infinitessimal and non-infinite in duration), and if either force were removed prematurely it would change the future behaviour of the effect, from the point at which the effect would have traveled the intervening distance.
It's one of many dubious claims, the same applies to the train as a source of locomotion - the effect of an engine on the cars is not "simultaneous".
I always find these clips of slinkies falling one of the best ways to visualise the point that high-school physics and its flat spacetime with instantaneous transmission of effects is flawed. It takes time for the bottom of the slinky to find out about the fact it's "no longer supported".
Physics is a game of approximations, the difference between zero duration and almost-zero is an acceptable error, but when translated into logic or rhetoric "zero" or "not zero" becomes the difference between "right" and "wrong". This premise most certainly alone invalidates a claim that the premises (taken as a product of the probabilities of each) are more probably right than wrong.