Tortured_Genius wrote:Fuck knows what it'll look like come the mid-terms.
My guess is that:
Biden will not, and probably never could actually hope to achieve universal satisfaction in his party - if he goes one way, he loses the other side, and vice-versa. This means he lose support from both Democrats and Independents in greater numbers than he'll pick up support on either flank. Partisanship isn't just a red-blue issue.
Meanwhile, McConnell and other Rep leaders will do everything they can to trash every agenda and continually claim that the Dems don't want to reach a consensus or work cooperatively, while the looney fringe will keep shrieking about the Dems wanting a police state, wanting to take guns away, wanting to do all the things they say the Dems want to do but the Dems never actually appear to have any taste at all to do, plus they'll paint Biden as incompetent and an autocrat who's undermining democracy (somehow without choking on their own words) which will continue to galvanize the much more politically homogeneous Republican voters and will also net some of the fringe independents who turned against Trump. The result will be gains in both houses for Reps giving them the edge.
This will make the 2nd half of Biden's term a repeat of Obama's, whereupon they will engage in full obstructionism while claiming that the Biden administration can't achieve anything.
I think that, assuming no solution to the endemic electoral bias, the Reps have probably got about another 10-15 years of this kind of political game before electorate demographics begins to turn against them, at which point I presume that serious Conservatives will wrest back control once again and offer genuine policy alternatives that can let them compete on a fair footing.