The New And Coming Plague

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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#141  Postby Cito di Pense » Jan 29, 2020 11:48 am

aufbahrung wrote:
newolder wrote:
aufbahrung wrote:4 yesterday 17 today............100,000 next week at this time.


https://www.npr.org/2020/01/22/79838317 ... oronavirus


The figures you quote are for the number of deaths attributed to 2019-nCoV. Currently, that number is in the low 100s. Almost certainly, the total will not increase by a factor of 1000 overnight. The spreadsheet data is used to make this graphic.

Humans are really bad at making estimates but a first step towards improvement is acknowledgement of error. Should I hold my breath?


Firstly it was black humour aimed at mans misunderstanding of the exponential function rather than the disease itself.


No, that's not what it was. The week to which you referred a week ago is over. You should have given yourself three weeks, like last time.
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Translation by Elbert Hubbard: Do not take life too seriously. You're not going to get out of it alive.
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#142  Postby aliihsanasl » Jan 29, 2020 3:53 pm

If they figure out that China's population reach to 2 billion when they lift that quarantina I wouldnt be surprised whats all these people doing in the houses all day and night long?
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#143  Postby newolder » Jan 29, 2020 4:06 pm

"WATCH LIVE: WHO officials update on coronavirus outbreak – 1/29/2020"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9dw2VxOVUak

Next update tomorrow evening Europe time.
Last edited by newolder on Jan 29, 2020 5:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#144  Postby aliihsanasl » Jan 29, 2020 4:39 pm

following 1 week to 10 days period is very important as you know 5 million people left Wuhan before the quarantine so we will understand how many of them carried the virus out of city.
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#145  Postby aliihsanasl » Jan 29, 2020 7:57 pm

https://www.independent.ng/strange-dise ... e-disease/

here we go this time from Nigeria but a different disease.

Edit This disease recently appeared on media seems like as fatal as corona Wuhan virus I heard that death toll reached to 40.

He intentionally took out his mask and cough inside :o

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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#146  Postby laklak » Jan 30, 2020 3:28 pm

A man who carries a cat by the tail learns something he can learn in no other way. - Mark Twain
The sky is falling! The sky is falling! - Chicken Little
I never go without my dinner. No one ever does, except vegetarians and people like that - Oscar Wilde
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#147  Postby aufbahrung » Jan 30, 2020 6:56 pm



Doesn't matter how bad things get I'll be here whilst I can to offer solace and optimism and most importantly hope.
"I'd rather live a single day as a Lion than to live forever as a sheep."
-Benito Mussolini

"Culture is on the horns of this dilemma: if profound and noble, it must remain rare, if common, it must become mean."
-George Santayana
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#148  Postby aliihsanasl » Jan 31, 2020 1:18 pm

"If someday my teachings conflict with science, choose science"

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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#149  Postby Macdoc » Jan 31, 2020 3:59 pm

Hardly too late ....the idea is to quarantine and not add new cases.
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#150  Postby Animavore » Jan 31, 2020 4:28 pm

Lots of non-Orientals walking around with masks in the airport. Never seen that before.
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#151  Postby Macdoc » Jan 31, 2020 4:50 pm

If partner and I were travelling now we'd use masks in an airport or other public transit and she's a medical professional.

We will still in March when we go to Patagonia.
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#152  Postby Fallible » Jan 31, 2020 6:07 pm

Lots of masks in Liverpool today.
She battled through in every kind of tribulation,
She revelled in adventure and imagination.
She never listened to no hater, liar,
Breaking boundaries and chasing fire.
Oh, my my! Oh my, she flies!
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#153  Postby newolder » Jan 31, 2020 6:14 pm

The current coronavirus outbreak compared with SARS infection.

Image

Graph sourced from New York Times.

Latest database updated totals (Jan. 31 1900GMT)

Infected: 9925
Deaths: 213
Recovered: 222

Adding:

The bus company and number of coaches used to transfer home-comers from Wuhan to the Wirral today. :picard:

Image
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#154  Postby aliihsanasl » Feb 02, 2020 4:05 pm

A Turkish Youtuber went to China (atm hes in Hong Kong then he will pass there) to "investigate" the situation in the zero point :doh: less than 7 hours 1,2 million people watched his video.

The hunger for new follower pushing people to do more crazy things.

take a look at this mask queue starting from 2:25

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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#155  Postby newolder » Feb 02, 2020 4:21 pm

A selfless act:

I am, somehow, less interested in the weight and convolutions of Einstein’s brain than in the near certainty that people of equal talent have lived and died in cotton fields and sweatshops. - Stephen J. Gould
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#156  Postby laklak » Feb 02, 2020 4:54 pm

Shit gettin' real. Bodies in the streets. I'm not (really) a conspiracy nutjob, but I'm starting to wonder if we're being rosily scenarioed.

http://nullvideo.com/user/chovy/YPQV77c
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#157  Postby Macdoc » Feb 02, 2020 8:39 pm

Out of 11 million in a city average death rate per day is 880 people from all causes.
https://wonder.cdc.gov

So you have no idea what you are seeing there.

No idea of the veracity of this considering the source but makes some sense

Thai medics claim coronavirus break-through: Patient is declared 'disease-free' in 48 hours using HIV and flu drugs


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... hours.html

Bit better source
https://www.businessinsider.com/coronav ... ugs-2020-2

Warrants some further chasing of details

This better with patient and drug details



A Chinese woman infected with the new coronavirus showed a dramatic improvement after she was treated with a cocktail of antivirals used to treat flu and HIV, Thailand’s health ministry said on Sunday.
The 71-year-old patient tested negative for the virus 48 hours after Thai doctors administered the combination, doctor Kriengsak Attipornwanich during the ministry’s daily press briefing.
“The lab result of positive on the coronavirus turned negative in 48 hours,” Kriengsak said.
“From being exhausted before, she could sit up in bed 12 hours later.”

The doctors combined the anti-flu drug oseltamivir with lopinavir and ritonavir, antivirals used to treat HIV, Kriengsak said, adding the ministry was awaiting research results to prove the findings.


https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/southeas ... nt-success
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#158  Postby Svartalf » Feb 02, 2020 8:49 pm

there are such things as flu drugs? why am I never prescribed more than parracetamol and plenty fluids?
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#159  Postby Macdoc » Feb 02, 2020 8:55 pm

There anti-virals but this why you don'y get them prescibed

Antiretroviral drugs cost
Current prescription drug costs
Drug name (brand name) Cost of brand name Number of tablets or capsules
nevirapine (Viramune) $855–$1,026 60
rilpivirine (Edurant) $1,043–$1,252 30
lamivudine/zidovudine (Combivir) $901–$1,082 60
emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (Truvada) $1,676–$2,011 30


Tamiflu less

The cost for the Tamiflu brand may be around $175. However, there is a generic version of this antiviral drug that may cost about $135 for a 10-dose prescription


info here

https://vitalrecord.tamhsc.edu/the-cost ... ntivirals/
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Re: The New And Coming Plague

#160  Postby aliihsanasl » Feb 04, 2020 2:17 pm

Erdogan explained how he was protected from the corona virus!

EAT A SPOON EVERY MORNING

* But I have a recommendation. This is also said by the medical professionals. Still, don’t chill. Oh, beware of the fire or something. Of course, these are the symptoms. Above all, trust yourself. Take care of your food. If you say we have some special precautions, believe it. We will keep the body strong. Some of our friends send mulberry molasses from time to time. I take a spoonful of mulberry molasses every morning. Because it makes blood. Mainly from Erzurum.


"Trust yourself, eat a spoonful of mulberry molasses every morning." How scientific :smoke:
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