Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#621  Postby purplerat » Jul 23, 2016 3:40 am

proudfootz wrote:Typically court cases in the US are heard in court - if you can get into court.

Clearly Zellner has some experience in going against stacked decks, and has a good record of winning those cases.

Zellner hasn't been in contact with me about the evidence she intends to bring forth in court. Nor do I expect it.

That's the problem for Avery that people keep on forgetting - he's effectively out of court dates. It will take something extraordinary for him to get another trial or more like simply be exonerated. Something like that doesn't move slowly - either you have it or you don't. There's no prolonged legal process at this point, it's put up or shut up. The longer Zellner waits the more likely it is she has nothing.

This isn't like an appeal process where it might be wise to wait until you have the strongest case possible because you don't want to burn an appeal on a weak case. There's no reason to drag this out other than her really not having anything.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#622  Postby proudfootz » Jul 23, 2016 9:31 am

Zellner is only going to get one shot to argue that the case should be looked at again. Probably best to present that case to a judge than to the public, since a judge is the only person who can do anything for Avery at this point.

I'm patient enough to wait a few weeks to find out what her case is.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#623  Postby proudfootz » Jul 23, 2016 10:05 am

By way of comparison, it took the State 15 months to be ready to present their case and Zellner has been on this case for 6 months.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#624  Postby Teague » Jul 25, 2016 12:56 pm

purplerat wrote:
proudfootz wrote:
purplerat wrote:
proudfootz wrote:

Yep, getting people out of prison is her specialty.

When Zellner's critics can ante up with a record as good as hers is, they might have some credibility.

In the US criminal justice system even a shitty prosecutor can easily match her record and that's with much less discretion as to which cases they'll take. That's what she's up against.


Naturally, prosecutors have an easy time of it - they have everything lined up for them. Plus, if the cases are weak, there's plea bargaining and some alleged villains never go to trial. Basically, it appears that only 'winning' cases go to trial in the first place.

If some of these prosecutors had to go up against the state and free a wrongly convicted person they might not find it as smooth a road to travel.

That's my point. The deck is stacked against her, especially in this case. That she has a good, but limited, track recorded shouldn't be much reason for optimism given what Avery is up against.

The comments she made early on followed up by zero in the results department since (excluding a new series) rings of showmanship more than actually having a case.


Yeah and it smacks of book deals and tv shows - I'm sure she's an excellent lawyer too but I'm not putting it passed her to look at making a ton of money here too.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#625  Postby purplerat » Jul 25, 2016 9:28 pm

proudfootz wrote:Zellner is only going to get one shot to argue that the case should be looked at again. Probably best to present that case to a judge than to the public, since a judge is the only person who can do anything for Avery at this point.

I'm patient enough to wait a few weeks to find out what her case is.

Why would she only get one shot? It's been a while since I've followed this regularly but I'm fairly certain Avery has no further appeals. He has "zero shots" so to speak, quite literally nothing to lose. There really isn't a case to be made as it's going to take something extraordinary which she either has or doesn't.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#626  Postby proudfootz » Jul 26, 2016 3:30 am

Teague wrote:
purplerat wrote:
proudfootz wrote:
purplerat wrote:
In the US criminal justice system even a shitty prosecutor can easily match her record and that's with much less discretion as to which cases they'll take. That's what she's up against.


Naturally, prosecutors have an easy time of it - they have everything lined up for them. Plus, if the cases are weak, there's plea bargaining and some alleged villains never go to trial. Basically, it appears that only 'winning' cases go to trial in the first place.

If some of these prosecutors had to go up against the state and free a wrongly convicted person they might not find it as smooth a road to travel.

That's my point. The deck is stacked against her, especially in this case. That she has a good, but limited, track recorded shouldn't be much reason for optimism given what Avery is up against.

The comments she made early on followed up by zero in the results department since (excluding a new series) rings of showmanship more than actually having a case.


Yeah and it smacks of book deals and tv shows - I'm sure she's an excellent lawyer too but I'm not putting it passed her to look at making a ton of money here too.


There are worse ways to make money than getting wrongfully convicted citizens out of jail.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#627  Postby proudfootz » Jul 26, 2016 3:32 am

purplerat wrote:
proudfootz wrote:Zellner is only going to get one shot to argue that the case should be looked at again. Probably best to present that case to a judge than to the public, since a judge is the only person who can do anything for Avery at this point.

I'm patient enough to wait a few weeks to find out what her case is.

Why would she only get one shot? It's been a while since I've followed this regularly but I'm fairly certain Avery has no further appeals. He has "zero shots" so to speak, quite literally nothing to lose. There really isn't a case to be made as it's going to take something extraordinary which she either has or doesn't.


Zellner is expected to file an appeal brief next month.

Not sure what benefit there would be in doing a rush job.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#628  Postby proudfootz » Jul 26, 2016 3:44 am

In the interest of further understanding of the state of the case at this point:

In January 2016, Avery filed two motions to appeal citing violations of his due process rights. The first claimed a search warrant executed for the Avery property was invalid, meaning evidence gathered during that search should be thrown out. The second claimed that a jury member pressured others jurors into finding him guilty. As his motions were filed before Zellner took on his case and while he was not represented by an attorney, this is what’s called a “pro se appeal.” Once Zellner became Avery’s attorney, she had the option of continuing with the appeal he already filed or filing her own “post-conviction appeal.” (Avery has already exhausted a number of the available avenues for appeal — in 2011, Wisconsin’s State Appeals Court denied his appeal for a new trial, and the Wisconsin Supreme Court declined to hear his appeal at all.)

Instead of exclusively pursuing the arguments laid out in Avery’s pro se motions to appeal, Zellner’s tweet indicates that when she finally does file her brief, it will be for a new post-conviction appeal based, at least in part, on supposed new evidence that Avery was framed.

http://crimefeed.com/2016/05/steven-ave ... tic-tweet/


Zellner is apparently following the protocol with regards to the appeal process, as the court allowed the request for an extension.

Obviously the court can turn it down. It will depend on how thorough and convincing a case she makes.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#629  Postby purplerat » Jul 26, 2016 3:58 am

We'll see. Zellner was making some pretty bold claims about what she had so it better be something good. If it's just a rehash of what was on the show or the type of stuff you can find on Reddit this things not going anywhere.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#630  Postby monkeyboy » Jul 26, 2016 5:46 am

I'm guessing she has a few aces tucked away out of sight. It would seem a bit silly presenting your case via Twitter in dribs and drabs. Perhaps more effective to deliver a number of well evidenced and well presented arguments to make an overwhelming case in one fell swoop since it could well be an all or nothing attempt. It's worth taking the time to get it right.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#631  Postby proudfootz » Jul 26, 2016 10:25 am

monkeyboy wrote:I'm guessing she has a few aces tucked away out of sight. It would seem a bit silly presenting your case via Twitter in dribs and drabs. Perhaps more effective to deliver a number of well evidenced and well presented arguments to make an overwhelming case in one fell swoop since it could well be an all or nothing attempt. It's worth taking the time to get it right.



Satisfying my idle curiosity about what Zellner has uncovered is far less important than Steven Avery's life.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#632  Postby monkeyboy » Jul 26, 2016 1:36 pm

Yup. I wasn't convinced of either Avery or Dassey's guilt. But rather than go in half cocked, I'd sooner they make sure that Avery is totally exonerated rather than leave any doubt if that is possible. If what they produce can be used to clear Dassey, even better. And if there is evidence of a set up and criminal charges can be brought against whoever did it, result.

(My side bet is on either the ex or the brother still.)
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#633  Postby purplerat » Jul 26, 2016 1:39 pm

The problem isn't Zellner taking her time or making sure she has a rock solid case. The issue is that she made a point of making some fairly bold claims while the story was hot in the media eye and then gone silent since attention has died done. I'm willing to bet we'll get more "bombshell" drops from her not-so-coincidentally lined up with each new season of the show but never anything materializing towards Avery getting out of jail.

I could certainly be wrong but this just has the feel of becoming some sort of a reality show.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#634  Postby proudfootz » Jul 26, 2016 9:01 pm

Zellner is expected to submit her brief at the end of August.

Will the new series be aired at that time?

I'm willing to bet there's something to her case. What are the stakes?
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#635  Postby purplerat » Jul 26, 2016 9:09 pm

proudfootz wrote:Zellner is expected to submit her brief at the end of August.

Will the new series be aired at that time?

Sounds like they'll be making the new series around her case.

proudfootz wrote:
I'm willing to bet there's something to her case. What are the stakes?

We'll see. If it's the type of "bombshell revelations" we've seen so far with this case he's not getting out or even getting a new trial.

As for the stakes, Avery has little to lose. I suppose for her if she fails it could harm her reputation but really who knew who she was before this? Win or lose she's going to be much more widely recognized and likely more wealthy. Who knows, maybe she'll take over for Nancy Grace when she's done.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#636  Postby proudfootz » Jul 26, 2016 9:43 pm

Yes, the stakes for Avery are high, and Zellner's good reputation is on the table.

The onlookers don't have anything to win or lose.

I doubt Zellner has any interest in taking Grace's job as jabbering idiot - she has a real job.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#637  Postby purplerat » Jul 27, 2016 12:34 am

Then why play that role when she first jumped onto the case?
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#638  Postby proudfootz » Jul 27, 2016 12:41 am

Zellner's nothing like Nancy Grace.

She's unlikely to compromise her case to satisfy the idle curiosity of people with no skin in the game.

Obviously, my opinion is only based on her record of success and high reputation in legal circles.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#639  Postby Teague » Jul 27, 2016 11:16 am

purplerat wrote:
proudfootz wrote:Zellner is expected to submit her brief at the end of August.

Will the new series be aired at that time?

Sounds like they'll be making the new series around her case.

proudfootz wrote:
I'm willing to bet there's something to her case. What are the stakes?

We'll see. If it's the type of "bombshell revelations" we've seen so far with this case he's not getting out or even getting a new trial.

As for the stakes, Avery has little to lose. I suppose for her if she fails it could harm her reputation but really who knew who she was before this? Win or lose she's going to be much more widely recognized and likely more wealthy. Who knows, maybe she'll take over for Nancy Grace when she's done.


Nope, she'll win either way. The series is going to show all the evidence that was left out or not heard before. If Zellnar fails Avery, they can fallback on the "justice system failing him when we can all clearly see he is innocent" Then of course she'll write a book, go on talk shows, more free advertising for her etc, etc.
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Re: Why Obama Can’t Help "Making A Murderer” Steven Avery

#640  Postby proudfootz » Jul 27, 2016 9:52 pm

Teague wrote:
purplerat wrote:
proudfootz wrote:Zellner is expected to submit her brief at the end of August.

Will the new series be aired at that time?

Sounds like they'll be making the new series around her case.

proudfootz wrote:
I'm willing to bet there's something to her case. What are the stakes?

We'll see. If it's the type of "bombshell revelations" we've seen so far with this case he's not getting out or even getting a new trial.

As for the stakes, Avery has little to lose. I suppose for her if she fails it could harm her reputation but really who knew who she was before this? Win or lose she's going to be much more widely recognized and likely more wealthy. Who knows, maybe she'll take over for Nancy Grace when she's done.


Nope, she'll win either way. The series is going to show all the evidence that was left out or not heard before. If Zellnar fails Avery, they can fallback on the "justice system failing him when we can all clearly see he is innocent" Then of course she'll write a book, go on talk shows, more free advertising for her etc, etc.


Good for her! Can't think of very many better ways to win the admiration of the public than fighting for justice and setting innocent people free.
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