by Hermit wrote:OlivierK wrote:Hopefully, the chance to rid ourselves of that cunt will come sooner rather than later, with various government MPs contemplating resignation from his grubby government, thus triggering by-elections that could end the government's one seat majority. Turnbull is off on Friday, and he may not be the only one. An early election would be a welcome chance to change tack.
The coalition government will remain in office until the next general election is called. If it loses its one-seat majority (won't happen with Turnbull's resignation. He will be replaced by another Liberal) it will most likely be able to bribe or cajole up to three members on the cross bench into cooperating. At a pinch they might even manage to turn Wilkie, though not Brandt.
Yes, McGowan will likely stick with them if offered sweeteners for her electorate. Bandt is impossible, but so is Wilkie.
When Gillard and Abbott were vying for his vote in 2010, he met with each and asked for funding for a needed $300m upgrade of Royal Hobart Hospital. Gillard offered funding on a part-now, part-later basis, and Abbott offered $1b immediately to rebuild the hospital from scratch. Wilkie backed Gillard on the ground that he found Abbott's attempts at buying his vote irresponsible and distasteful. Wilkie also entered politics as a protest against the Coalition's support for the Iraq War - I highly doubt he would prop up Morrison, nor would his electorate want him to.
Wentworth is likely for the Libs, but could prove an interesting opportunity for a protest vote, given that electing a Labor candidate could be undone months later at a Federal election - rather than a vote for Labor, it could be a vote for an election. Turnbull's personal vote was high there, and the Labor candidate seems business-oriented and well-suited (and has already been endorsed by Turnbull's son Alex). Probably not enough to shift the self-interested megarich from the Libs, but an outside chance.
[Not commenting on the Sam Carana / Guy Macpherson nonsense other than to say it's been done to death here before. If I had no morals and ran a fossil fuel company, that's just the sort of easily debunked rubbish I'd be tempted to fund / create from whole cloth, just to damage the image of climate science.]
(Some of the younger generation in 
