Warren Dew wrote:David M wrote:Then you'd be comparing apples and oranges and making an obvious mistake. Anyone trying to claim that the per capita crime figures for the UK are 6 times higher that the US for the same crimes is either ignorant or lying, you choose.
But here's the problem: your comparison is just as bad. You admit that there are a tremendous number of crimes that result in "minor" injury, but refuse to include them in the statistics. Many of those would fall under aggravated assault in the U.S. I may be comparing apples with oranges, but you're comparing oranges with bananas. "Ignorant or lying" would apply at least as much to your comparison as to mine.
My comparison was correct, I included the crime that is comparable to aggravated assault and stated the percentage of crimes involving less serious injury that would be needed just to match the level of aggravated assault in the US. In the first post I did state that there are a huge number of assaults that result in no injury, thats because common assault which doesn't include a weapon and encompasses any injury down to a simple mark is counted as a violent crime but is comparable to simple assault in the US which is not considered a "Violent Crime".
Simple Assault in the US makes up 80% of all reported assaults. The truth is that the US categorises far fewer crimes as being "Violent Crime".
Warren Dew wrote:As I have shown more than once the UK classes quite a few crimes as violent which the US does not. These crimes make up around 90% of "violent crime" in the UK but don't even make it into the violent crime figures in the US. Harrassment is counted as a violent crime in the UK ffs.
You haven't shown anything of the sort. "Crimes of violence", according to the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, includes simple assault, including threats which the perpetrator does not even attempt to carry out.
I did not say "Crimes of Violence" I said "Violent Crimes", in the US they are not the same thing. In the UK they are however. Once again apples to apples.
And when comparing "Crimes of Violence" rather than "Violent Crime" you do not get a 6 to 1 ratio for the UK to the US, you do when comparing "Violent Crime" which is only a subset of "Crimes of Violence". Thats why the FBI quoted around 1.4 million estimated "Violent Crimes" in 2007 when there are an estimated 5.1 million "Crimes of Violence".
Here is the figure for "violent Crimes" in the US for 2007.
http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/cius2007/offenses/violent_crime/index.htmlTake that figure and compare it to the UK's and you get near to a 6 to 1 ratio for "Violent Crime", but as I have shown this is not an accurate comparison.
Warren Dew wrote:Here you go though for 2007.
http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/pub/pdf/cvus07.pdfRate of Crimes of Violence against the person for the US = 20.7 per 1,000. (US Department of Justice)
Rate of Crimes of Violence against the person for the UK = 19.6 per 1,000 (UK Home Office).
Except that the US number is not per 1000 population, it's "per person or household", so you are distorting things again.
Wrong, the column heading is "Rate per 1,000 persons or households". Thats why the rate given for of Personal Crimes is the total number divided by the population they list times 1000 and why the Rate of Property Crimes is the total number divided by the number of households they list.
You are the one distorting things here, The Rates for Personal Crimes are per 1,000 persons and they give the population they used to calculate it, the Rates for Property Crimes are per household and they give the number of households they used to calculate it.
Unless you want to argue that the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics people can't perform long division you should admit that you did not understand the column heading.
Warren Dew wrote:That's easily remedied, though. Simply divide the 5.18 million "crimes of violence" in the U.S. by the 2007 U.S. population of 299 million. We get a rate of 17.3 per thousand population, 12% lower than the UK rate.
Wrong again, the US crime numbers are for victims over the age of 12, meaning you have to divide by 250,344,870 as stated in the report and in their methodology. The UK figures are for all victims as they are for all reported crime, meaning you have to divide by 60,975,000.
But its nice to see that even by your maths the "six times higher than that US" number is debunked as its now 12% higher.
Warren Dew wrote:However, that understates the differences because of methodology. The U.S. statistics are based on surveys, and thus capture many events that were never even reported to the police. In addition, less than 1/3 of the U.S. events are "completed violence", which merely means that there was physical contact, whereas your earlier statements indicate that about half the UK events resulted in actual injury, even if only minor. So that substantially understates the amount by which the UK has more violent crime than the U.S.
Ok, the methodology looks to be different, to bottom this out we would need to identify the proportion of crimes that are reported to the police for each category. However you would need to presume massive undereporting to the UK police of violent crime to arrive at "six times higher than that of the US".
Please give a page reference where they give a definition of completed violence as meaning there was physical contact, as that phrase does not appear in the report.
What the report says is "Completed violence - The sum of all completed rapes, sexual assaults, robberies, and assaults. See individual crime types for definition of completed crimes." And yet the definitions for aggravated and simple assault have no definition for "completed". Adding up all "completed" crimes in that table and all "with injury" for assaults (as these don't list completed) and the number of rapes gives a number higher than that given for "Completed Violence".
I am unconvinced that there as substantial understatement of UK crime, here we are going to run into a problem of definitions as "with injury" for simple assault in the US means "An attack without a weapon resulting in such injuries as bruises, black eyes, cuts or in undetermined injury requiring less than 2 days of hospitalization." (from that report) while in the UK common assault with injury extends down to Reddening of the skin so even there we have assaults that would be classed as "with injury" in the UK but not in the US.
Warren Dew wrote:Still, as you might say, "there you are".
The UK has a higher rate of violent crime than the US even when the US figures include a broader set of events than the UK figures. If there's any relation to gun ownership, it would indicate that gun ownership tends to suppress crimes of violence.
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Or I wouldn't say that.