Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

Ratskeppers' attitudes to the Labour leadership candidate

For discussion of politics, and what's going on in the world today.

Moderators: kiore, Blip, The_Metatron

Is it likely Jeremy Corbyn can win a UK general election in 2020?

I am from the UK and I think he can win.
33
35%
I am from the UK and I do not think he can win.
25
26%
I am not from the UK and I think he can win.
8
8%
I am not from the UK and I do not think he can win.
9
9%
None of the above!
3
3%
Bacon.
17
18%
 
Total votes : 95

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4761  Postby mrjonno » Nov 24, 2015 10:17 pm

He understands the the 'pain' of being a terrorist, never said he was one. Not really that difficult is it
User avatar
mrjonno
 
Posts: 21006
Age: 52
Male

United Kingdom (uk)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4762  Postby mattthomas » Nov 24, 2015 10:27 pm

mrjonno wrote:He understands the the 'pain' of being a terrorist, never said he was one. Not really that difficult is it

Okay, let's try again... if you need me to write it in crayon for you let me know :thumbup:
"A man who opposes the use of violence is sympathetic with the use of violence"... that's what you said, roughly paraphrased.
mattthomas
 
Posts: 5776
Age: 43

Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4763  Postby OlivierK » Nov 24, 2015 11:01 pm

Yeah, it's up there with being impatient for Labour's support to collapse so that everyone can wake up to the reality that Corbyn is making them unpopular, instead of- Stormfront style - pointing out that it hasn't happened.
User avatar
OlivierK
 
Posts: 9873
Age: 57
Male

Australia (au)
Print view this post


Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4765  Postby logical bob » Nov 24, 2015 11:33 pm

Beatsong wrote:I largely agree about the Blair legacy, but I think it's important to recognise just how far the so-called "centre" has drifted to the right in the meantime, and how different the economic circumstances are. Blair could achieve all of the things you listed while appearing towards the right of the Labour party, and not that far left of John Major. Now, we've had the worst recession since 1930 fuelled by the mother of all financial bubbles, the government spent our money bailing out the rich from it while screwing more and more out of the poor, and it's much harder to see how even the centre-left can remain on good terms with Thatcherism.

I suppose it depends on whether you want to define the centre as a fixed position located roughly where Blair was or as a moving target half way between the protagonists of the day. I prefer the sound of the former and I'm not sure if it matters whether my position is "on good terms with Thatcherism," or even what that means.

One example: Blair was elected when university education was free, and was derided by the left but lauded as responsible by the right for imposing tuition fees of £1,000 a year. Miliband OTOH fought the last election when tuition fees were £9,000 a year, and apparently made the mistake of being "too left wing" by advocating reducing them to £6,000. So objectively, on this issue, we'd have to conclude that Miliband was six times more right wing than Blair. The fact that it doesn't appear that way is all to do with what the background assumptions are in which they were each operating.

Or you could say Blair increased fees while Milliband wanted to reduce them. I'm not sure there's a sufficiently accurate metric of left/right wingness to start measuring them numerically.

Talking about the "right of the Labour party" trying to capture centrist votes from the tories NOW is a very different thing from talking about Blair doing it in 1997. It's a different right, much further to the right.

I think there are a lot of people who voted Tory this year not because they're ideologically committed to the Tory programme (many voted Lib Dem in 2010 as you said yourself) but because the Lib Dems were finished and they looked at Milliband and thought "Nah." These voters shouldn't be off limits for Labour. If they are, Labour is screwed.

Anyway, I thought you'd been telling me that it wasn't unrealistic to expect these people to vote for Corbyn. Now they can't be won over to Labour's right wing?

Fact is, most of what Corbyn's advocating is not actually that far off where we were in 1997. It just seems that way because the prevailing assumptions that it's contrasted with have changed so dramatically.

If that's so why was Corbyn the single most rebellious Labour MP between 1997 and 2010? Why is the movement around him so steeped in loathing for Blair and everything about him?

I understand the anger about Iraq. I voted Labour in 2005 but only after serious hesitation. But I don't really get the way that so much of the party despises their only winning leader in 40 years so much more than the rest of the country does.
User avatar
logical bob
 
Posts: 4482
Male

Scotland (ss)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4766  Postby Strontium Dog » Nov 24, 2015 11:43 pm

ronmcd wrote:This thread has jumped the shark, nuked the fridge, and face-fucked the piggy. It's an abomination.


The thread is called 'Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?' and so far as I can see, people are still discussing whether Jeremy Corbyn is electable* :dunno:

True, it might not be going the way Corbyn supporters may have hoped, but rather than getting angry with anyone who doesn't genuflect at the altar of far leftism, they would be better off explaining how Corbyn is going to marshal the support of the country when he can't even marshal the support of his own party.

(*protip: he isn't)
Liberal.

STRONTIUM'S LAW: All online discussions about British politics, irrespective of the topic, will eventually turn to the Lib Dem tuition fee pledge
User avatar
Strontium Dog
Banned User
 
Name: Dan
Posts: 13820
Age: 45
Male

Country: UK: Free May 2010-15
England (eng)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4767  Postby OlivierK » Nov 25, 2015 12:12 am

I suspect we will never find out how electable a Labour party that united behind Corbyn would be.
User avatar
OlivierK
 
Posts: 9873
Age: 57
Male

Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4768  Postby Matt_B » Nov 25, 2015 5:12 am

OlivierK wrote:I suspect we will never find out how electable a Labour party that united behind Corbyn would be.


That much is true, but it also has to be said that if you want a united party, you shouldn't pick a maverick.

I'd think that Corbyn has received considerably more support as leader than he gave as a back bencher too.
"Last night was the most horrific for Kyiv since, just imagine, 1941 when it was attacked by Nazis."
- Sergiy Kyslytsya
User avatar
Matt_B
 
Posts: 4888
Male

Country: Australia
Ukraine (ua)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4769  Postby mrjonno » Nov 25, 2015 7:34 am

OlivierK wrote:I suspect we will never find out how electable a Labour party that united behind Corbyn would be.


No never, that's what happens when you get a leader that has close to zero support over the people his is meant to lead ie MP's
User avatar
mrjonno
 
Posts: 21006
Age: 52
Male

United Kingdom (uk)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4770  Postby ED209 » Nov 25, 2015 7:58 am

Matt_B wrote:
OlivierK wrote:I suspect we will never find out how electable a Labour party that united behind Corbyn would be.


That much is true, but it also has to be said that if you want a united party, you shouldn't pick a maverick.

I'd think that Corbyn has received considerably more support as leader than he gave as a back bencher too.


:lol:

I suppose you could say that whenever fewer than ~15% of the PLP - 35 MPs - rebel, then they are beating his long-term average. Only 20 voted to support the tories on the fiscal charter las month, and 14 voted to support the tories over trident yesterday. Although, over 95% of MPs supporting him constitutes 'close to zero' support for some.

Of course, this approach ignores the big difference between defying the whip to oppose the iraq invasion and tuition fees, and defying the whip to support gideon osborne. History will be the judge of today's rebels, and it will not be as favourable to their stands as it has to corbyn's.

What is more is that it also ignores the orgy of snide anti-labour briefing and undermining of the party that some labour MPs are indulging in daily, the greatest gift to the tories they could conceivably muster. That is the precise opposite of support, and something that corbyn could never be accused of.
It's been taught that your worst enemy cannot harm you as much as your own wicked thoughts.
User avatar
ED209
 
Posts: 10417

Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4771  Postby Emmeline » Nov 25, 2015 9:13 am

ED209 wrote: 14 voted to support the tories over trident yesterday. (...) defying the whip to support gideon osborne.


The 14 rebels were voting in line with Labour Party policy. That's not supporting the Tories or Osborne.
Emmeline
 
Posts: 10401

Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4772  Postby GrahamH » Nov 25, 2015 9:15 am

Matt_B wrote:
OlivierK wrote:I suspect we will never find out how electable a Labour party that united behind Corbyn would be.


That much is true, but it also has to be said that if you want a united party, you shouldn't pick a maverick.

I'd think that Corbyn has received considerably more support as leader than he gave as a back bencher too.


But if you want a new kind of politics you have to pick a maverick. I suspect the chances are slightly better that some degree of unity could form around a maverick leader than that anything radical will come from a conservative Labour leader.
Last edited by GrahamH on Nov 25, 2015 10:18 am, edited 2 times in total.
Why do you think that?
GrahamH
 
Posts: 20419

Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4773  Postby GrahamH » Nov 25, 2015 9:19 am

Emmeline wrote:
ED209 wrote: 14 voted to support the tories over trident yesterday. (...) defying the whip to support gideon osborne.


The 14 rebels were voting in line with Labour Party policy. That's not supporting the Tories or Osborne.


They sided with the Tories in the face of a party review of that policy. It would be a rejection of the review to vote for or against the issue right now. Since the vote makes no practical different it's a clear "fuck you" to anyone who thinks the party should have a discussion and decide the policy. The reasonable thing to do in these circumstances is to abstain, pending a new policy, then back that policy.
Why do you think that?
GrahamH
 
Posts: 20419

Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4774  Postby chairman bill » Nov 25, 2015 10:12 am

Blair 'modernised' the party in his own image, reducing democracy & centralising control over candidates for Westminster. That led to Blairites being foisted upon CLPs, whether they wanted them or not. Miliband returned some proper democracy to the party, and Corbyn has been the most obvious beneficiary of that. Unfortunately, he's also inherited those MPs who owe their positions to Blair & who have drunk deeply of the neoliberal Kool Aid. To his credit, Corbyn has offered the hand of friendship & a promise of no deselection. They've spat in his face. They're not in the tent pissing out, they're in the tent pissing in the tent. The sooner they're gone, the better.
“There is a rumour going around that I have found God. I think this is unlikely because I have enough difficulty finding my keys, and there is empirical evidence that they exist.” Terry Pratchett
User avatar
chairman bill
RS Donator
 
Posts: 28354
Male

Country: UK: fucked since 2010
United Kingdom (uk)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4775  Postby logical bob » Nov 25, 2015 10:30 am

chairman bill wrote:Blair 'modernised' the party in his own image, reducing democracy & centralising control over candidates for Westminster. That led to Blairites being foisted upon CLPs, whether they wanted them or not. Miliband returned some proper democracy to the party, and Corbyn has been the most obvious beneficiary of that. Unfortunately, he's also inherited those MPs who owe their positions to Blair & who have drunk deeply of the neoliberal Kool Aid. To his credit, Corbyn has offered the hand of friendship & a promise of no deselection. They've spat in his face. They're not in the tent pissing out, they're in the tent pissing in the tent. The sooner they're gone, the better.

Do you genuinely think (and I'm looking at the "fucked up since 2010" in your location tag) that the Blair government didn't deliver things worth having? Democracy in CLPs is well and good, but it's not the vote that really counts.
User avatar
logical bob
 
Posts: 4482
Male

Scotland (ss)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4776  Postby chairman bill » Nov 25, 2015 10:38 am

Of course Blair delivered some good things. The truth is, it was probably the best government of the last 50 years. He also did some bloody awful things & some deeply stupid ones too.
“There is a rumour going around that I have found God. I think this is unlikely because I have enough difficulty finding my keys, and there is empirical evidence that they exist.” Terry Pratchett
User avatar
chairman bill
RS Donator
 
Posts: 28354
Male

Country: UK: fucked since 2010
United Kingdom (uk)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4777  Postby logical bob » Nov 25, 2015 12:09 pm

chairman bill wrote:Of course Blair delivered some good things. The truth is, it was probably the best government of the last 50 years. He also did some bloody awful things & some deeply stupid ones too.

Of course some bad things were done too. But it seems strange to me that the people who not long ago were making up the best government in 50 years have today "drunk of the neoliberal Kool Aid" and are tainted by their association with that very government.

MPs should represent the views of the CLP that selects them, but also the views of the electorate that voted for them and their own judgement and conscience. These guys certainly weren't elected on a socialist (Corbyn and McDonnell's word, before anyone shoots me down) ticket so backing one now is arguably something they don't have a mandate for.

Blair had to fight hard for the compliance of the party. He didn't expect is as of right because he was leader. In most management cultures, rampant insubordination would reflect poorly on the leader and I'm not sure why this is different. Does Corbyn have a strategy for bringing people with him beyond asserting that he has a mandate from the membership? If so I'm not seeing it. His stabbing in the back of Maria Eagle on Twitter looks more representative of his approach, combined with a large dose of rabbit in the headlights silence.

If the party machinery was an obstacle to delivering the best government in 50 years then the party would do well to think about that.
User avatar
logical bob
 
Posts: 4482
Male

Scotland (ss)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4778  Postby GrahamH » Nov 25, 2015 12:36 pm

I agree that Blair's government did good things.

What does the current PLP have in common with the '97 party that would make it electable in 2020?
How it different in ways that will correct for the bad things that were done?
Why do you think that?
GrahamH
 
Posts: 20419

Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4779  Postby Matt_B » Nov 25, 2015 12:51 pm

GrahamH wrote:
Matt_B wrote:
OlivierK wrote:I suspect we will never find out how electable a Labour party that united behind Corbyn would be.


That much is true, but it also has to be said that if you want a united party, you shouldn't pick a maverick.

I'd think that Corbyn has received considerably more support as leader than he gave as a back bencher too.


But if you want a new kind of politics you have to pick a maverick. I suspect the chances are slightly better that some degree of unity could form around a maverick leader than that anything radical will come from a conservative Labour leader.


I'm still not entirely sold on the idea that the party needed a maverick. As others have said, the Blair/Brown years were arguably the most successful Labour government since the days of Attlee, and their failings were generally far more about warmongering and spin than anything you could plot on the left/right spectrum. That's where I think the break with Blairism should have been; it's just a shame that nobody making a run for the leadership was offering it.

That said, I don't see Corbyn's leadership as a wholly negative experience as, for better or worse, it's the end of Blairism and the millstone that it became. I'm just hoping that the babies can be plucked out of the bathwater at some point further down the line.
"Last night was the most horrific for Kyiv since, just imagine, 1941 when it was attacked by Nazis."
- Sergiy Kyslytsya
User avatar
Matt_B
 
Posts: 4888
Male

Country: Australia
Ukraine (ua)
Print view this post

Re: Is Jeremy Corbyn "electable"?

#4780  Postby Emmeline » Nov 25, 2015 2:14 pm

Revisiting my post yesterday where I said Corbyn appointing John McDonnell as shadow chancellor was a bad move...

McDonnell is making a balls up of responding to Osborne's speech and has now pulled out Chairman Mao's Little Red Book & quoted from it. He's a useless dickhead.
Emmeline
 
Posts: 10401

Print view this post

PreviousNext

Return to News, Politics & Current Affairs

Who is online

Users viewing this topic: No registered users and 1 guest

cron