Posted: Jul 07, 2012 1:51 am
Kahnerman is indeed correct, he just is a lousy teacher. The fact that he confused YOU, proves that. His chosen way to explain his point is much more convoluted than it needs to be, and therefore is more confusing.
A better way to describe the situation, I think, would be to point out that there is no statistical difference between looking at INDIVIDUAL BIRTHS, and looking at SETS OF SIX INDIVIDUAL BIRTHS.
A better way to describe the situation, I think, would be to point out that there is no statistical difference between looking at INDIVIDUAL BIRTHS, and looking at SETS OF SIX INDIVIDUAL BIRTHS.