Posted: Aug 01, 2015 9:14 pm
by zoon
Rumraket wrote:
zoon wrote:
Rumraket wrote:No, I think you're definitely on the right track there. I just need some confirmation and it's a go :P

Edit: I think we still need to factor in that there are 8 possible kinds of mutations at every of those 3.2 billion sites.

Each one of those 8 possible mutations still counts as a single mutation, with a probability of (1 divided by 3.2 billion).

Hmmm yeah, 1 of 8 will happen yes, but there are 8 possibilities, so the probability of a specific mutation at every site would be 1/8 th in 3.2 billion?

I guess that would make the total probability 1/8th divided by 3.2 billion to the 100th power?

Yes, I agree, that should have been my first calculation. :cheers: