Posted: Jan 10, 2020 3:30 pm
Hermit wrote:Spearthrower wrote:I think you've gone a bit far with The Black Swan
Was the appearance of your post on the screen after - but not before - you pressed 'submit' just correlation?
Never mind the Black Swan. I want to see an objective criterion by which we can distinguish between correlation and causality. As unlikely as the chances of my post appearing before I pressed 'submit' are, this is not it. You just cited a non-existent correlation in an attempt to argue that the extant correlation must therefore be an instance of causation.
Maybe consider the difference between superstition and engineering.