Posted: Jun 21, 2019 1:42 pm
by tuco
ronmcd wrote:
Prediction time. (this isnt really mine, but an amalgamation of a few journos predictions).

- Boris wins. Obviously.
- Boris despite appearances is not daft. He knows there's no renegotiation, and the EU woudnt negotiate with Boris of all of them.
- He shrugs, says he tried, and calls a GE, after agreeing with Farage (not the brexit party, as there is no party in reality) that they will support him on a no deal ticket
- Labour havent decided what the FUCKING FUCK to do yet, by the time the polls open
- Tory landslide
- No deal 31st oct, Boris is happy, he's in nr10.
- The rest of us are fucked.
- 1st of November, the renegotiations start, and the EU make it fucking clear they won't be agreeing anything very quickly.

The end.

(Scottish independence referendum)


ronmcd wrote:
tuco wrote:So it's not all that bad, ronmcd, innit? ;)

Actually it's *really* bad.

The ideal scenario for Scottish independence is not rupture and disaster, it's economic success.

Having a rest of UK outside the EU, with Scotland going back in (and we would/will), presents the same problems with borders that NI/Republic have. Just without the bombs and guns.

The best scenario now would be a new referendum and all of us stay in, and the Scotland leaves UK in a few years.


---

Well, ideal ... was the first Scottish referendum successful you'd be facing exactly the not ideal scenario now. So this is something to keep in mind and I do not recall if it was an issue back then or not.