rationalskepticism.org

Thommo wrote:

jamest wrote:If you seriously want to take the piss, earmark January 2022 as your date. If you're right and your repeated requests to have me banned have not been successful, I will admit that I have been a dick.
Best wishes, squire.

Six months ago, you said eighteen months. Now, you're moving the goalposts and promising that you'll admit that you've "been a dick".

I've just read what I said to you back on February 16th of this year, which was that:

I'm anticipating a high of 50-150K after the next bull run, which I think will begin within the next year and peak around 18 months later

http://www.rationalskepticism.org/gener ... l#p2681220

That takes us to the end of summer 2021. I should have added 4 months to that as I was quite definitely basing my initial investment on the obvious 4-year cycle that can be observed via a reference to the charts. If I am to apologise for anything at this juncture, it will be for getting my math wrong by 4 months.

Things is, pretty much the very last conversation we had was about the consequences of you breaking an almost identical promise to admit error and apologise (with passing reference to how the previous thread you participated in before that also contained an additional similar broken promise).

You're talking about an altogether different thread. My apology there was contingent upon KIR admitting that he had done what the lynch mob had accused him of, which afaik did not happen.

If I do choose to compare the results of your forecast to that forecast, I won't be accepting what you're saying now. I'll just look at the forecast you made, of your own volition, in your own words, at the time.

Which is at the second-half of August 2021. A year + 18 months = 2.5 years, squire. If you want to call me a dick/cunt then, then be my guest, but if you can forgive my mathematical inaccuracies and grant me 4 more months until then end of that year, I'd be grateful.

It will be far more accurate without allowing the input of bias that a shifting target creates.

Shifting targets by 4 months is no big crime.

I suspect the exaggeration of the peak price that Bitcoin reached in the intervening period, and the sudden extension of one to two years of leeway you've allowed yourself probably tells me all I really need to know about the degree of meticulous research that went into the forecast. Still, you could get lucky, I'll keep my fingers crossed for you.

Stop telling porkies. Your ill will towards me has been repeatedly expressed here.

Oh, and for what difference it makes I would like to be clear that I'm not here for your advice and would greatly prefer you not offer me unsolicited advice. Though obviously you can say what you like to anyone else without my preferences being relevant.

I don't give a fuck what you're here for, but for the record I'm not here for Thommo. So, if you're not interested in anything I have to advise you about cryptocurrency then why not fuck off elsewhere? Could it be that you're praying that I fail so as to shaft me with your largest badger? To score, finally, some points against me? What a sorry man that would reveal.