Posted: Sep 19, 2017 1:00 pm
by Wortfish
Calilasseia wrote:
Wortfish wrote:
Shrunk wrote:
Provide the precise numerical probability at which a random occurrence should be considered a "miracle", and show how this number was derived.


I believe, if the odds are less than 1 in 10^40, then we can rule out the possibility of sheer chance.


Poppycock.

Want an event with a probability of less than 10-40? Try 140 coin tosses in sequence, that all land "heads".

But if such an event did occur, then it would be down to chance.


Actually, it would be regarded as either a miracle or a biased coin.