Posted: Apr 06, 2010 9:38 am
by Mr P
z8000783 wrote:How may people chosen at random, would you need to have a better than 50% chance that 2 of them share the same birthday?

Answer

John

The birthday argument perfectly illustrates that any significance attached to coincidences is purely down to our misunderstanding of statistical analysis, what significance we do attach is down to our expertise at spotting patterns in nature. These tend (on the whole) to be an accurate reflection of reality but problems can arise when we get carried away with ourselves and assign significance where none exists.

Is that what you were trying to say Hack? ;)