Posted: Jan 25, 2012 1:19 pm
by Mus Ponticus
Two points here. Firstly, Bayes' Theorem can be used in a valid argument. It absolutely does not follow that all valid arguments use Bayes' Theorem. That's equivalent to saying that because a mop can be used to effectively clean a floor, all floor cleaning that doesn't use a mop is ineffective. Basic logical error.
This isn't a basic logical error. This is a basic comprehension error. Carrier doesn't say that all valid arguments use Bayes' theorem, he's saying that you can use Bayes' theorem to describe any valid arguments.

This sinks any credibility you might have had, you petulant teenager ;)