Posted: Dec 16, 2011 5:34 am
Mick wrote:Theism has zero intrinsic probability? How would a theist ever raise its probative value?
By providing evidence, and thereby qualitatively bringing it into the same category as the hypotheses that it is tested against. (Note that this is conditional on the view that there is no evidence for the existence of a god, a view that you likely do not share).
There are technical issues here with assigning finite probabilities to elements of the uncountable set of unevidenced hypotheses which make the application of simple bayesian updating of the priors (potentially) flawed from a technical standpoint.