Posted: Dec 19, 2011 3:15 am
Jeff,
Have you read Roger White’s article Fine Tuning and Multiple Universes from Nous (2000)? Toward the end, he discusses the difference between something being improbable and surprising. I think I would say it is certainly a mistake to say M makes Pr(F/N) substantially higher, but I do actually think it makes it less surprising that we are in a universe like ours. And this point would become stronger the larger the multiverse (and I think the scientific theories positing multiverses predict them to be either quite large or infinite).
I had to skim, so sorry if this has been addressed already.
Have you read Roger White’s article Fine Tuning and Multiple Universes from Nous (2000)? Toward the end, he discusses the difference between something being improbable and surprising. I think I would say it is certainly a mistake to say M makes Pr(F/N) substantially higher, but I do actually think it makes it less surprising that we are in a universe like ours. And this point would become stronger the larger the multiverse (and I think the scientific theories positing multiverses predict them to be either quite large or infinite).
I had to skim, so sorry if this has been addressed already.