Posted:

**Dec 26, 2018 6:27 pm**Forgive me, Ratskeppers, for double posting this.

I'm not sure if Scherado has a scroll wheel, but in case he doesn't:

Well, let's see.

Suppose that P1(X) is the probability of event X occurring, in isolation from all other events.

What do you think P2(X) is, where P2(X) is the probability of X occurring, given that a number of other independent events have already happened?

I'm not sure if Scherado has a scroll wheel, but in case he doesn't:

scherado wrote:Do you NOW follow? I wouldn't bet on it.

Well, let's see.

Suppose that P1(X) is the probability of event X occurring, in isolation from all other events.

What do you think P2(X) is, where P2(X) is the probability of X occurring, given that a number of other independent events have already happened?