Posted: Feb 04, 2013 8:56 pm
jamest wrote:Thommo wrote:jamest wrote:
That's not true. For example, I would guess that there's an 80% chance that you'll be eating between 1200 and 1330, today. I would also guess that there's a 99% chance that you're wearing clothes as you read this, but only a 1% chance that these are women's clothes.
Human behaviour is very predictable in many respects.
That's a non sequitur, probability can be applied incorrectly to roulette wheels just as well as it can be applied incorrectly to humans, as you've done here. I could guess there's an 80% chance the ball will land on 1 if I like, or more reasonably that it will land on one of the segments from 1-30.
On a roulette wheel, all outcomes of an event are equally likely.
Well, a roulette wheel sitting on a wonky table then?