How is that a response to what I am asking of Johnny Blade? He seems to have hallucinated a number of things of what you have shown and/or calculated, that you nowhere showed or calculated. And he appears to want to characterize this as some sort of win for him or you, for some unexplained purpose.CharlieM wrote: ↑Aug 01, 2024 11:08 amThe probability that life has evolved on earth is 1.Rumraket wrote: ↑Jul 27, 2024 9:26 pmArgument for what, specifically?Johnny Blade wrote: ↑Jul 27, 2024 8:56 pm I think he has made a rather convincing argument so far actually.
That is incredibly confused. You speak of the quantity of energy supplied by the sun, then turn around and peak of information and purpose. These are not the same. Charlie also hasn't "shown" anything about how much information or purpose anything "requires", nor how much of it anyone has realized is required.Johnny Blade wrote: ↑Jul 27, 2024 8:56 pm I understand that because the earth is constantly receiving energy from the sun, then it can be said that locally on earth we might be able to say we have an endless power supply. But CharlieM has shown that even the most fundamental and "primitive" living life components seem to require much more information and "purpose" than most of us realize.
Where has CharlieM shown how much information is required by primitive life? Nowhere.
Where has CharlieM shown how much "purpose" is required by primitive life? Nowhere.
Where has CharlieM shown how much purpose or information most of realize that primitive life "requires"? Nowhere.
Where has CharlieM shown what he thinks the relationship is between energy, the second law of thermodynamics, information, and purpose? Nowhere.
In order to determine that some thing A is less likely than another thing B, you must be able to show what the probabilities are of each. No probabilities have been calculated, nor even as much as asserted, anywhere by CharlieM.Johnny Blade wrote: ↑Jul 27, 2024 8:56 pm Which makes it less likely that you have a efficeint mechanism to convert solar heat energy into the information required to create or sustain life.
Please show where he calculated the probability that we have "an efficient mechanism to convert solar heat energy into the information required to create or sustain life", and please also show where he calculated "the information required to create or sustain life."
Even worse is I asked him to clarify his last response to me, but he stopped responding entirely. It's really odd behavior, as is your response. It looks like a sort of damage control taking the form of flailing wildly with text.
Yes I agree. We are far from creating life from scratch. But is there some sort of conclusion you wish to draw from that? Presumably Johnny boy thinks this is of great significance, because if we haven't solved it already then (he thinks, I take it) we never will, and then that is somehow a sort of proof that God exists or whatever.
If that really is the inference he wants us to make, then sadly for him none of the logic checks out, but shh don't look too closely.
And what a brave bet that would be. Two months? Maybe it'll take two centuries, but then you won't be around to lose money. A truly pointless bet to make, of no actual value or consequence. I can make the bet that God won't perform a miracle in my apartment over the next 2 years. Let's bet all you own. Deal?CharlieM wrote: ↑Aug 01, 2024 11:08 am What about some researchers in a lab producing life in the next month or two.? I will stake my life on claiming that the probability is so low as to be for all intents and purposes zero, of researchers producing living systems from basic chemicals without the use of molecules already produced by life.
How do you measure the significance of their means and expertise?
That's silly. By that standard a natural process can't be experimentally confirmed, because any imaginable experiment performed by scientists will necessarily involve scientists setting up the experiment.
Scientists posit friction of air molecules and aerosols can create static discharges in the atmosphere. So they perform an experiment by setting up a chamber to mimic the atmosphere, and show that under certain conditions static discharges are observed. Then you say they haven't shown it was a natural process because the scientists set up the chamber etc.
Who do you think is being fooled by such a silly response?
If humans simulate a natural pre-biotic environment, such as a volcanic lake, in a laboratory setting, and life evolves in it from the sorts of molecules that would have existed on Earth before life existed, then that would be life from non-life. Any rational person should be able to agree with this.
I can reasonably infer that my nephew took some cookies if there's crumbs on his shirt and so on. I don't need to observe him take the cookies.
The fact is, we can have evidence that show life must have, at some point in the past, nevertheless arisen from non-life. Heck, even if you are a theist you must still concede the point that life could not have always existed, and that if we go back far enough, life must have arisen in a way that is different from how cells divide into new cells today. Creationists would assert the first lifeforms were divinely created, which is of course a radically different "mechanism" of origin than binary fission of already existing cells. And creationists believe this without having actually witness divine creation of the first cell (or creation of humans, plants, and animals) themselves.
There's more to science than what we have directly observed. We throw people in jail on so-called circumstantial evidence, if we have enough of it. It's called an inference to the best explanation. We can have a body of data for which the best explanation we can come up with (a theory) is so compelling we would consider it irrational to deny it, and that is despite us not having directly observed the explanation take place.