Stand on Zanibar redux?
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juju7 wrote:What would you do with the 5 million tons of poo produced every day?
minininja wrote:I've done a bit of quick research and approximate calculations about populations before - primarily as a response to the xenophobes that insist Britain is full. Not with impractical "cram them tightly in" measurements like the video above, but real liveable scenarios.
In England only around 4% of the land actually has anything built on it, and NI, Wales and Scotland are closer to 1%.
Our most densely populated city is London, yet it's population density is around half that of New York despite both cities being around 8.5 million people.
The New York borough of Manhattan has a density more than five times that of London and around ten times that of many of our smaller cities – this is despite the fact that Manhattan includes an 800 acre park - half a mile wide and two and a half miles long, and lots of other smaller parks and green-space besides, - about 17% of its area in total.
So with sufficient redevelopment of our towns and cities the population of the UK could very comfortably double to 130 million without us building on any greenbelt land, and we still wouldn't have a city in the UK with a higher population density than that of New York.
But if we really wanted to cram people in, so all the land in the UK was as densely populated as Manhattan minus central park (still leaving other parks and green-space), we could actually fit the entire population of the world in the UK.
Thommo wrote:Conversely if you take a conservative estimate of the long term sustainable human carrying capacity of Earth to be of the order of two or three billion, you might conclude that based on present world population densities the UK is overpopulated by a factor of five or six.
Thommo wrote:I don't think that does though, that's what I'm saying. If our population is (potentially) too big already and growing by 4 million a decade, and somehow you need to find a humane way from there to 30 or 40 million (or less) within a few generations or so, that's actually a huge problem, from within the same context.
minininja wrote:Why on earth would we need to reduce population in the UK to 30 million? There's no reason why populations can't be concentrated in certain areas rather than spread out evenly across the globe, indeed it's more efficient and can be less damaging to the environment to do so.
minininja wrote:Thommo wrote:Conversely if you take a conservative estimate of the long term sustainable human carrying capacity of Earth to be of the order of two or three billion, you might conclude that based on present world population densities the UK is overpopulated by a factor of five or six.
Certainly carrying capacity is an important issue globally, but when people are talking about migration to the UK increasing our local population by a few hundred thousand a year as being any kind of problem it's useful to be able to put it into perspective.
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