As Purplerat has pointed out, the election isn't about popular vote - Clinton has a very significant, very strong Electoral College lead, a likely insurmountable lead in fundraising and in campaign preparation, and is in a very safe space overall - thus the 80/20% ranking of Silver's.[/quote]Weaver wrote:Willie71 wrote:In aggregate polls, trump is behind by 5 points. All he needs is a terrorist attack or immigrant murder before the election to swing that difference.
We had a terrorist attack. It didn't help Drumpf.Clinton isn't corrupt - despite decades of constant claims there STILL isn't actually any evidence against her - and her supporters see through the bullshit.
I don't think anyone can claim with certainty whose unfavourables will be more detrimental. There is no precedent for this type of race. Clinton's corruption is front and center as is trumps racist buffoonery. Racist buffoonery just won in the UK, so put away the assuredness of any pundit.
Watch the Dems cry as the hacked voting machines, voter purges, and restricted poll access affect the election. They didn't fix the problems after Bush V Gore, and the gerrymandering hasn't been addressed either.
If Clinton was a strong candidate, the split should be more like 65/35. When 40% of Americans would prefer none of the above, who the hell can predict what will happen.
Re: corruption. The powerful are difficult to take down. Just look at how even with video, police are rarely prosecuted for their abuses. Look at examples like OJ, or Cosby. You really think they weren't guilty? Prosecuting one of the most politically powerful and politically influential people in the last century is not easy. Cheney was never prosecuted for obvious war crimes. I could go on, but lack of "proof" is an absurd stance when talking about people like the Clintons. Much less influential people get passes for corruption.