The feeling of being watched...

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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#81  Postby stijndeloose » Apr 13, 2012 8:35 pm

So you have compelling evidence? Do you have an actual hypothesis this time?
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#82  Postby Fallible » Apr 13, 2012 9:59 pm

:rofl:
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#83  Postby Landrew » Apr 14, 2012 3:25 am

Fallible wrote::rofl:

Yes, exactly what he was talking about. No evidence at all, just a firm conclusion.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#84  Postby Landrew » Apr 14, 2012 3:25 am

stijndeloose wrote:So you have compelling evidence? Do you have an actual hypothesis this time?

Still asking me to support a claim? I expected better.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#85  Postby stijndeloose » Apr 14, 2012 5:02 am

Landrew wrote:
stijndeloose wrote:So you have compelling evidence? Do you have an actual hypothesis this time?

Still asking me to support a claim? I expected better.


:what:
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#86  Postby Fallible » Apr 14, 2012 9:33 am

Landrew wrote:
Fallible wrote: :rofl:

Yes, exactly what he was talking about. No evidence at all, just a firm conclusion.


Do you read the posts you reply to before you reply to them, or do you just have a list of comments about evidence, hypotheses, 'skeptics' and conclusions which you pick from at random?
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#87  Postby stijndeloose » Apr 15, 2012 7:22 am

Landrew wrote:
stijndeloose wrote:So you have compelling evidence? Do you have an actual hypothesis this time?

Still asking me to support a claim? I expected better.


Landrew wrote:No disrespect intended, but it's more important what evidence supports a hypothesis, not what anyone feels about it. Truth is not predicated on what anyone feels; it's simply not relevant.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#88  Postby Arjan Dirkse » Apr 16, 2012 10:07 pm

I have no idea how this effect would be established...but I think it would make sense for animals to develop this kind of sixth sense as a survival mechanism against predators.

Lots of people feel alarmed when anyone is following them, so maybe this is an extension of that...overly "sensitive" people might look over their shoulders several times a day and when they actually find someone staring at them, that is seen as confirmation that this 6th sense exists.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#89  Postby stijndeloose » Apr 16, 2012 10:19 pm

Arjan Dirkse wrote:I have no idea how this effect would be established...but I think it would make sense for animals to develop this kind of sixth sense as a survival mechanism against predators.


Well, yes, it would make sense. That doesn't make it real, though...
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#90  Postby tolman » Apr 16, 2012 10:22 pm

Arjan Dirkse wrote:I have no idea how this effect would be established...but I think it would make sense for animals to develop this kind of sixth sense as a survival mechanism against predators.

Assuming the sense was discriminating enough to tell the intent and capabilities of a looker, in addition to the fact that looking was taking place.

There wouldn't be much point a herd animal getting nervy because a fellow herd member was looking at it, nor a cow getting scared because a sparrow or a weasel was looking at it.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#91  Postby Landrew » Apr 19, 2012 2:07 pm

I hate to let the air out of the debate, but this could be quickly settled by examining peer-reviewed data which has been published from research in this subject. Unless of course, it can all be disqualified as evidence, up-front, and without examination.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#92  Postby stijndeloose » Apr 19, 2012 2:11 pm

Landrew wrote:I hate to let the air out of the debate, but this could be quickly settled by examining peer-reviewed data which has been published from research in this subject. Unless of course, it can all be disqualified as evidence, up-front, and without examination.


Bring it on, then! :thumbup:
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#93  Postby tolman » Apr 19, 2012 2:29 pm

Landrew wrote:I hate to let the air out of the debate, but this could be quickly settled by examining peer-reviewed data which has been published from research in this subject. Unless of course, it can all be disqualified as evidence, up-front, and without examination.

Have attempts at replicating this evidence been made by other people, and if so, with what results?

After all, as everyone with any scientific understanding knows, 'peer review' is distinctly limited in capability, often being able to do little more than spot mistakes where mistakes are obvious, or question methodology within the limits of how extensively and clearly such methodology has been described.
If, for example, someone was having data contaminated by a subtle flaw in an experiment, in many situations that wouldn't be something which peer review would be expected to be able pick up on.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#94  Postby Landrew » Apr 19, 2012 8:09 pm

tolman wrote:
Landrew wrote:I hate to let the air out of the debate, but this could be quickly settled by examining peer-reviewed data which has been published from research in this subject. Unless of course, it can all be disqualified as evidence, up-front, and without examination.

Have attempts at replicating this evidence been made by other people, and if so, with what results?

After all, as everyone with any scientific understanding knows, 'peer review' is distinctly limited in capability, often being able to do little more than spot mistakes where mistakes are obvious, or question methodology within the limits of how extensively and clearly such methodology has been described.
If, for example, someone was having data contaminated by a subtle flaw in an experiment, in many situations that wouldn't be something which peer review would be expected to be able pick up on.

You might want to check the works of Rupert Sheldrake, who claims all his findings have been peer-reviewed by reputable scientists.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#95  Postby tolman » Apr 19, 2012 9:12 pm

Landrew wrote:
tolman wrote:
Landrew wrote:I hate to let the air out of the debate, but this could be quickly settled by examining peer-reviewed data which has been published from research in this subject. Unless of course, it can all be disqualified as evidence, up-front, and without examination.

Have attempts at replicating this evidence been made by other people, and if so, with what results?

After all, as everyone with any scientific understanding knows, 'peer review' is distinctly limited in capability, often being able to do little more than spot mistakes where mistakes are obvious, or question methodology within the limits of how extensively and clearly such methodology has been described.
If, for example, someone was having data contaminated by a subtle flaw in an experiment, in many situations that wouldn't be something which peer review would be expected to be able pick up on.

You might want to check the works of Rupert Sheldrake, who claims all his findings have been peer-reviewed by reputable scientists.

You might want to answer the question I asked about replication, which specifically pointed out that peer review has fairly specific limitations.

In the papers I have written, I could have made results up, or had accidental errors in the data, or been consciously or unconsciously biasing results by choices in data selection, or had flaws in the experimental setup which the description was not comprehensive enough to allow someone to spot, without any of those things being likely to cause a peer-reviewer to notice.

Something being peer-reviewed really doesn't necessarily say much at all about the quality of the data, and doesn't say anything about the experimental design which couldn't be worked out by anyone else looking at the paper.

That's in no way a criticism of any individual, it's simply a statement about the way science works - a peer-reviewer is in many ways a proof-reader, hoping to spot obvious mistakes such as internal inconsistencies or breaches of basic 'laws of science' before publication, and also paying some attention to academic niceties like whether the work may be ripped off from elsewhere.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#96  Postby Landrew » Apr 19, 2012 10:57 pm

tolman wrote:
Landrew wrote:
tolman wrote:
Landrew wrote:I hate to let the air out of the debate, but this could be quickly settled by examining peer-reviewed data which has been published from research in this subject. Unless of course, it can all be disqualified as evidence, up-front, and without examination.

Have attempts at replicating this evidence been made by other people, and if so, with what results?

After all, as everyone with any scientific understanding knows, 'peer review' is distinctly limited in capability, often being able to do little more than spot mistakes where mistakes are obvious, or question methodology within the limits of how extensively and clearly such methodology has been described.
If, for example, someone was having data contaminated by a subtle flaw in an experiment, in many situations that wouldn't be something which peer review would be expected to be able pick up on.

You might want to check the works of Rupert Sheldrake, who claims all his findings have been peer-reviewed by reputable scientists.

You might want to answer the question I asked about replication, which specifically pointed out that peer review has fairly specific limitations.

In the papers I have written, I could have made results up, or had accidental errors in the data, or been consciously or unconsciously biasing results by choices in data selection, or had flaws in the experimental setup which the description was not comprehensive enough to allow someone to spot, without any of those things being likely to cause a peer-reviewer to notice.

Something being peer-reviewed really doesn't necessarily say much at all about the quality of the data, and doesn't say anything about the experimental design which couldn't be worked out by anyone else looking at the paper.

That's in no way a criticism of any individual, it's simply a statement about the way science works - a peer-reviewer is in many ways a proof-reader, hoping to spot obvious mistakes such as internal inconsistencies or breaches of basic 'laws of science' before publication, and also paying some attention to academic niceties like whether the work may be ripped off from elsewhere.

Well, I agree with you that everything is "doubtible," but you shouldn't get to assign credibility based on your personal likes/dislikes of the subject matter. I believe that science, when practiced properly, is our best tool for assigning weight to experimental findings.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#97  Postby tolman » Apr 19, 2012 11:36 pm

Landrew wrote:Well, I agree with you that everything is "doubtible," but you shouldn't get to assign credibility based on your personal likes/dislikes of the subject matter. I believe that science, when practiced properly, is our best tool for assigning weight to experimental findings.

All I'm saying is that it's a bad move for someone supposedly interested in real evidence to think that 'peer review' is more than it really is.

In any field where results often seem to depend upon experimental setup, the clearest guide to whether any one set of results is reliable is how well they have been replicated. If they haven't (for whatever reason[s]), then in the grand scheme of things it would seem to be very early days.

Now, if replication hasn't been attempted, you could certainly try and put a case arguing that other people should be trying to replicate the results, though that would obviously just be a personal opinion - no particular researcher is under an obligation to you or me to look at things we're personally interested in, and it's up to them to choose what view of the past history of successes and failures in any particular field or part thereof they use when working out what to do next and how to justify their work to whoever is footing the bill.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#98  Postby Landrew » Apr 20, 2012 4:56 pm

What amazes me is the hasty desire to shove the square-peg evidence into round little holes. When dogs go to wait by the door as soon as the owner forms the intention of returning home, something unexplained is at work. Not to say that dogs are psychic, but I don't believe a plausible scientific explanation for this behavior has been offered so far.

This means either that a simple scientific explanation has not yet been found, or something not-so-simple is happening.

Either way, it's a job for science to do; not for skeptics to ridicule and dismiss away.
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#99  Postby GrahamH » Apr 20, 2012 5:39 pm

Landrew wrote:What amazes me is the hasty desire to shove the square-peg evidence into round little holes. When dogs go to wait by the door as soon as the owner forms the intention of returning home, something unexplained is at work. Not to say that dogs are psychic, but I don't believe a plausible scientific explanation for this behavior has been offered so far.

This means either that a simple scientific explanation has not yet been found, or something not-so-simple is happening.

Either way, it's a job for science to do; not for skeptics to ridicule and dismiss away.


The problem is that it is not unambiguously shown that dogs do go to wait by the door as soon as the owner forms the intention of returning home? Indeed, going 10 min before is counted as a hit.

Richard Wiseman has some interesting things to say on Sheldrake's methodology and interpretation.

It looks to me that the Sheldrake data is inadequate to decide that anything inexplicable is going on.

If you know of better evidence please tell me about it.
Why do you think that?
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Re: The feeling of being watched...

#100  Postby Landrew » Apr 20, 2012 8:40 pm

GrahamH wrote:
Landrew wrote:What amazes me is the hasty desire to shove the square-peg evidence into round little holes. When dogs go to wait by the door as soon as the owner forms the intention of returning home, something unexplained is at work. Not to say that dogs are psychic, but I don't believe a plausible scientific explanation for this behavior has been offered so far.

This means either that a simple scientific explanation has not yet been found, or something not-so-simple is happening.

Either way, it's a job for science to do; not for skeptics to ridicule and dismiss away.


The problem is that it is not unambiguously shown that dogs do go to wait by the door as soon as the owner forms the intention of returning home? Indeed, going 10 min before is counted as a hit.

Richard Wiseman has some interesting things to say on Sheldrake's methodology and interpretation.

It looks to me that the Sheldrake data is inadequate to decide that anything inexplicable is going on.

If you know of better evidence please tell me about it.

The problem is actually that the results which score far above probability, have not been plausibly explained by anyone. The experimenter has satisfied the burden of proof with evidence; now those who discount the evidence must support their claims.
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