2019-nCoV or COVID-19

Serious discussion of the novel Corona Virus outbreak.

Understanding the basis and treatment of disease.

Moderators: kiore, Blip, The_Metatron

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#421  Postby GrahamH » Apr 04, 2020 8:20 pm

zulumoose wrote:Or maybe he was already feverish, and the woman had nothing to do with it. The woman may have had a chronic cough for ages, and thought nothing of it, hence the insensitivity, everything is speculation.


Open coughing is bad n any circumstances. Nobody knows thar are infectious early on. If she had a long standing cough it in no way guarantees she is not infected with Covid-19. It's not speculation that the woman was in the wrong for coughing on people.
Why do you think that?
GrahamH
 
Posts: 20419

Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#422  Postby Macdoc » Apr 05, 2020 4:30 am

Two relevant articles

This one most timely
Can an Old Vaccine Stop the New Coronavirus?
A tuberculosis vaccine invented a century ago is cheap and safe, and seems to bolster the body’s immune system.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/03/heal ... ccine.html

This one dismaying for USAians.

snip ...."That a biomedical powerhouse like the U.S. should so thoroughly fail to create a very simple diagnostic test was, quite literally, unimaginable. “I’m not aware of any simulations that I or others have run where we [considered] a failure of testing,” says Alexandra Phelan of Georgetown University, who works on legal and policy issues related to infectious diseases."
ouch ..."Partly, that’s because the White House is a ghost town of scientific expertise"

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... nd/608719/
Travel photos > https://500px.com/macdoc/galleries
EO Wilson in On Human Nature wrote:
We are not compelled to believe in biological uniformity in order to affirm human freedom and dignity.
User avatar
Macdoc
 
Posts: 17714
Age: 76
Male

Country: Canada/Australia
Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#423  Postby Svartalf » Apr 05, 2020 9:56 am

Macdoc, your first article feels like woo to me, it is established that some antibacterial drugs also have antiviral properties, but a vaccine boosting you immunity to a bacteria would likely offer no protection against any viral disease.
PC stands for Patronizing Cocksucker Randy Ping

Embrace the Dark Side, it needs a hug
User avatar
Svartalf
 
Posts: 2435
Age: 54
Male

Country: France
European Union (eur)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#424  Postby GrahamH » Apr 05, 2020 2:18 pm

I've heard reported that covid attacks the lungs leaving them vulnerable bacterial pneumonia. Anti bacterial measures wont stop viral infection but could save lives.
Why do you think that?
GrahamH
 
Posts: 20419

Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#425  Postby Svartalf » Apr 05, 2020 2:27 pm

surinfection, yeah, that can be real nasty.
PC stands for Patronizing Cocksucker Randy Ping

Embrace the Dark Side, it needs a hug
User avatar
Svartalf
 
Posts: 2435
Age: 54
Male

Country: France
European Union (eur)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#426  Postby kiore » Apr 05, 2020 3:11 pm

Svartalf wrote:Macdoc, your first article feels like woo to me, it is established that some antibacterial drugs also have antiviral properties, but a vaccine boosting you immunity to a bacteria would likely offer no protection against any viral disease.


The BCG has been shown to provoke the immune system generally, whether this will have a significant effect on this corona virus is unclear beyond what the hygiene hypothesis would already indicate. Places where people get BCGs are also where they would tell to have other things provoking general immune responses.
Folding@Home Team member.
Image
What does this stuff mean?
Read here:
general-science/folding-home-team-182116-t616.html
User avatar
kiore
Senior Moderator
THREAD STARTER
 
Posts: 16715

Country: In transit.
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#427  Postby Macdoc » Apr 05, 2020 3:12 pm

Perhaps take your "woo" concerns to these people Svartalf

On Monday, scientists in Melbourne, Australia, started administering the B.C.G. vaccine or a placebo to thousands of physicians, nurses, respiratory therapists and other health care workers — the first of several randomized controlled trials intended to test the vaccine’s effectiveness against the coronavirus.

“Nobody is saying this is a panacea,” said Nigel Curtis, an infectious diseases researcher at the University of Melbourne and Murdoch Children’s Research Institute, who planned the trial. “What we want to do is reduce the time an infected health care worker is unwell, so they recover and can come back to work faster.”

A clinical trial of 1,000 health care workers began 10 days ago in the Netherlands, said Dr. Mihai G. Netea, an infectious disease specialist at Radboud University Medical Center in Nijmegen. Eight hundred health care workers have already signed up. (As in Australia, half of the participants will receive a placebo.)


Partner who is a clinical research nurse is well aware of the vaccine and has had B.C.G. vaccine herself. She is unsure whether it is a sustained protection as it was a while ago.
But you are of course welcome to your poorly supported opinion. :coffee:
Travel photos > https://500px.com/macdoc/galleries
EO Wilson in On Human Nature wrote:
We are not compelled to believe in biological uniformity in order to affirm human freedom and dignity.
User avatar
Macdoc
 
Posts: 17714
Age: 76
Male

Country: Canada/Australia
Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#428  Postby Svartalf » Apr 05, 2020 3:29 pm

kiore wrote:
Svartalf wrote:Macdoc, your first article feels like woo to me, it is established that some antibacterial drugs also have antiviral properties, but a vaccine boosting you immunity to a bacteria would likely offer no protection against any viral disease.


The BCG has been shown to provoke the immune system generally, whether this will have a significant effect on this corona virus is unclear beyond what the hygiene hypothesis would already indicate. Places where people get BCGs are also where they would tell to have other things provoking general immune responses.

Well, thanks, I didn't know that. As a child, I did not get the BCG for fear my immune system would not be able to cope with it and I actually catch TB, which, given the fact my respiratory system is not good, would be a catastrophe.
PC stands for Patronizing Cocksucker Randy Ping

Embrace the Dark Side, it needs a hug
User avatar
Svartalf
 
Posts: 2435
Age: 54
Male

Country: France
European Union (eur)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#429  Postby Macdoc » Apr 05, 2020 7:31 pm

Activating the immune system to its full potential is a very active field. In Covid - there is some evidence that an overactive immune response is killing people ...a cytokine storm.

Novartis and Incyte are planning to launch a clinical study to test the potential of Jakavi (ruxolitinib) in patients with COVID-19 associated cytokine storm, a type of severe immune overreaction that can result from the infection and may contribute to respiratory compromise in some patients.

According to the Swiss drugmaker, preclinical and preliminary clinical evidence suggests that the JAK inhibitor could reduce the number of patients requiring intensive care and mechanical ventilation.

The proposed trial will assess Jakavi in combination with standard of care (SoC) therapy, compared to SoC therapy alone, in patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia as a result of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

http://www.pharmatimes.com/news/novarti ... rm_1335533

It's still uncertain as to why the presentation varies so widely between patients.

Our intent is to build on emerging evidence from independent studies to further establish the role ruxolitinib could play in balancing immune response to the infection and therefore potentially improving outcomes of patients with COVID-19 associated cytokine storm,” Steven Stein, MD, chief medical officer, Incyte, said in a statement. “We recognize the significant and urgent medical need of patients with severe COVID-19 infection, and we are working with the FDA in an effort to rapidly advance the RUXCOVID and EAP studies.”

In a letter in The Lancet, Puja Mehta, MD, and colleagues wrote that a subgroup of patients with severe COVID-19 may have cytokine storm syndrome that resembles secondary hamophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis, a hyperinflammatory syndrome. Characteristics of this cytokine storm profile in patients with severe COVID-19 include: increased interleukin (IL)-2, IL-7, granulocyte-colony stimulating factor, interferon-γ inducible protein 10, monocyte chemoattractant protein 1, macrophage inflammatory protein 1-α, and tumor necrosis factor-α.2

https://www.targetedonc.com/news/phase- ... kine-storm
Travel photos > https://500px.com/macdoc/galleries
EO Wilson in On Human Nature wrote:
We are not compelled to believe in biological uniformity in order to affirm human freedom and dignity.
User avatar
Macdoc
 
Posts: 17714
Age: 76
Male

Country: Canada/Australia
Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#430  Postby felltoearth » Apr 05, 2020 7:43 pm

Macdoc wrote:Activating the immune system to its full potential is a very active field. In Covid - there is some evidence that an overactive immune response is killing people ...a cytokine storm.


Mike_L @ 2019-nCoV or COVID-19
"Walla Walla Bonga!" — Witticism
User avatar
felltoearth
 
Posts: 14762
Age: 56

Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#431  Postby Fallible » Apr 05, 2020 8:01 pm

They’re a potential problem in immunotherapy, which I am doing my damnedest not to be put on (possible success rate slim, possible side-effects potentially life-threatening). ‘Cytokine storm’ is something that crops up a lot in my life atm.
She battled through in every kind of tribulation,
She revelled in adventure and imagination.
She never listened to no hater, liar,
Breaking boundaries and chasing fire.
Oh, my my! Oh my, she flies!
User avatar
Fallible
RS Donator
 
Name: Alice Pooper
Posts: 51607
Age: 51
Female

Country: Engerland na na
Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#432  Postby DougC » Apr 06, 2020 5:26 am

Coronavirus: Tiger at Bronx Zoo tests positive for Covid-19

A four-year-old female Malayan tiger at the Bronx Zoo has tested positive for the coronavirus.

The tiger, named Nadia, is believed to be the first known case of an animal infected by a human with Covid-19.

The Bronx Zoo, in New York City, says the test result was confirmed by the National Veterinary Services Laboratory in Iowa.

Nadia, along with six other big cats, is thought to have been infected by an asymptomatic zoo keeper.

(Continues)


B.B.C.
To do, is to be (Socrate)
To be, is to do (Sartre)
Do be do be do (Sinatra)
SUBWAY(1985)
DougC
 
Posts: 14921
Age: 51
Male

Country: UNITED Kingdom
United Kingdom (uk)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#433  Postby Tuor » Apr 06, 2020 6:10 pm

Macdoc wrote:Perhaps take your "woo" concerns to these people Svartalf

On Monday, scientists in Melbourne, Australia, started administering the B.C.G. vaccine or a placebo to thousands of physicians, nurses, respiratory therapists and other health care workers — the first of several randomized controlled trials intended to test the vaccine’s effectiveness against the coronavirus.

“Nobody is saying this is a panacea,” said Nigel Curtis, an infectious diseases researcher at the University of Melbourne and Murdoch Children’s Research Institute, who planned the trial. “What we want to do is reduce the time an infected health care worker is unwell, so they recover and can come back to work faster.”

A clinical trial of 1,000 health care workers began 10 days ago in the Netherlands, said Dr. Mihai G. Netea, an infectious disease specialist at Radboud University Medical Center in Nijmegen. Eight hundred health care workers have already signed up. (As in Australia, half of the participants will receive a placebo.)


Partner who is a clinical research nurse is well aware of the vaccine and has had B.C.G. vaccine herself. She is unsure whether it is a sustained protection as it was a while ago.
But you are of course welcome to your poorly supported opinion. :coffee:


The BCG was part of the mandatory vaccination plan here in Portugal. I think newborn kids are no longer receiving it, but most people have been vaccinated, and that includes me.

I don't think it helps against covid-19, we already at 11k confirmed cases, over 300 deaths.
Tuor
 
Name: Paulo
Posts: 9

Country: Portugal
Portugal (pt)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#434  Postby Tuor » Apr 06, 2020 6:12 pm

edit:

Double post :(.
Tuor
 
Name: Paulo
Posts: 9

Country: Portugal
Portugal (pt)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#435  Postby Macdoc » Apr 06, 2020 11:54 pm

Some progress

Trial drug can significantly block early stages of COVID-19 in engineered human tissues
Date:

April 2, 2020
Source:
University of British Columbia
Summary:
An international team has found a trial drug that effectively blocks the cellular door SARS-CoV-2 uses to infect its hosts.


https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2 ... 144526.htm
Travel photos > https://500px.com/macdoc/galleries
EO Wilson in On Human Nature wrote:
We are not compelled to believe in biological uniformity in order to affirm human freedom and dignity.
User avatar
Macdoc
 
Posts: 17714
Age: 76
Male

Country: Canada/Australia
Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#436  Postby Keep It Real » Apr 07, 2020 4:16 am

Keep It Real wrote:It would be/have been fair in my opinion to call this outbreak "SARS2" and that might have scared people more effectively from the outset so they social distanced correctly. The virus' official name is, afterall: severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), as opposed to "SARS" which was called severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS_(disambiguation)

My second point on this is to raise the question of whether or not SARS2 is any more virulent than SARS, at least in terms of how transmittable it is. This graph shows that there has been a 10 fold increase in air travel out of China since the time of the 2003 SARS epidemic (NOT pandemic). There has doubtless been a large increase in air travel globally in general too over that period. One reason Italy has it so bad is due to skiing season, it has been suggested, for example, and for a time Switzerland had the highest per capita infection rate in the world too. As if global warming weren't enough of a reason to stop doing an impression of the demise of Icarus, now we have SARS2/3/n.


The 2003 SARS outbreak was reported to have a mortality rate of 10%. If the figures for the UK (51618 cases; 5373 dead) and Netherlands (18803 cases; 1867 dead) taken as reported in this live stream at time of writing, for example, were taken as they stand, then this SARS2/COVID-19 outbreak would be recorded as ALSO having a 10% mortality rate. It all depends on how widely testing is carried out. It seems more than fair to deduce there'd be less widespread testing in Chine 17 years ago, for example.

I'm beginning to wonder if we're actually sure COV-19 is different to SARS in ANY important ways or, indeed (hang on to your tinfoil hats) any way AT ALL.

Dinosaurs = atheism
User avatar
Keep It Real
Banned User
 
Posts: 9341
Age: 42

Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#437  Postby Keep It Real » Apr 07, 2020 4:55 am

Italy 132,547 cases and 16,523 deaths = 12.47% mortality rate
Dinosaurs = atheism
User avatar
Keep It Real
Banned User
 
Posts: 9341
Age: 42

Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#438  Postby Cito di Pense » Apr 07, 2020 5:06 am

Switzerland has one of the highest ratios of cases to total population and also one of the highest ratios of tests performed to total population and the mortality there is not much more than 3%. Go figure. The only thing to do is speculate about reporting anomalies. Luxembourg's are even higher, but the mortality rate is only around 2%. Even in the horrific United States, the mortality rate is only about 3%.
Хлопнут без некролога. -- Серге́й Па́влович Королёв

Translation by Elbert Hubbard: Do not take life too seriously. You're not going to get out of it alive.
User avatar
Cito di Pense
 
Name: Amir Bagatelle
Posts: 30791
Age: 24
Male

Country: Nutbush City Limits
Ukraine (ua)
Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#439  Postby Thommo » Apr 07, 2020 5:16 am

Some care might need to be taken about the terms "mortality rate" and "case fatality rate" and what those actually mean.

The most obvious principle differences between SARS and SARS-CoV-2 might be the lab tested differences found in their genome.
User avatar
Thommo
 
Posts: 27477

Print view this post

Re: 2019-nCoV or COVID-19

#440  Postby Cito di Pense » Apr 07, 2020 5:18 am

Thommo wrote:Some care might need to be taken about the terms "mortality rate" and "case fatality rate" and what those actually mean.

The most obvious principle differences between SARS and SARS-CoV-2 might be the lab tested differences found in their genome.


Yes, the only figures I'm looking at are for (reported) case fatality rate, and note that reporting may be fudged all over creation. We can't do science, here, but we can nitpick terminology till the COVs come home. To be explicit, what I take exception to is selective attention paid to the worst-looking reported figures.
Хлопнут без некролога. -- Серге́й Па́влович Королёв

Translation by Elbert Hubbard: Do not take life too seriously. You're not going to get out of it alive.
User avatar
Cito di Pense
 
Name: Amir Bagatelle
Posts: 30791
Age: 24
Male

Country: Nutbush City Limits
Ukraine (ua)
Print view this post

PreviousNext

Return to Medicine

Who is online

Users viewing this topic: No registered users and 1 guest