Bernie Sanders 2016?

Senator To Announce Bid For Democratic Nomination

For discussion of politics, and what's going on in the world today.

Moderators: kiore, Blip, The_Metatron

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1821  Postby Willie71 » Mar 27, 2016 2:06 am

GT2211 wrote:
Willie71 wrote:
GT2211 wrote:Bad news for Bern he is still 200 delegates down and the schedule is about to turn back to HRC after Wisconsin.



How do you figure?

New York is Clintons home state. It has a fairly large minority population. It has few too few polls for 538 to project but the most recent one a few days ago had Clinton up nearly 50. I think that's probably an outlier, but they should win that state. Maryland has a huge black population. Demographically not that different than Virginia which she won by 30. It's a state HRC should expect to win by 20.

NY alone has more delegates than the states Bern is winning today plus WI n WY combined.

PA is similar to Ohio which HRC won comfortably.


Fair enough, but I don't think New York is that easy to predict. New York is quite Liberal to start with. I partially agree on the minorities, but sanders has done well with young minorities outside of the south. It's a closed primary which works against Sanders. There is also a lot of wealth in New York, also working against Sanders. On the other hand, people have unwritten sanders off, seeing him as having electability and momentum. I think Clinton is likely to win by a small margin, but I wouldn't count on it either. Polling has been quite ureliable this election.

Ohio didn't make any sense. Sanders "should" have done much better. I can't explain what went wrong there.

On the other states, maybe you are right, but name recognition and viability as a candidate in terms of Sanders is in a much better place than it was earlier. Additionally, the southern states were much more Christian and conservative, so those variables need to be accounted for.

Like I said, it's tough to predict, but the media is treating Sanders differently now.
We should probably go for a can of vegetables because not only would it be a huge improvement, you'd also be able to eat it at the end.
User avatar
Willie71
 
Name: Warren Krywko
Posts: 3247
Age: 52
Male

Country: Canada
Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1822  Postby OlivierK » Mar 27, 2016 3:25 am

Yep, Bernie's got to hope that the there's been a shift his way in the month or so since those similar states voted. On balance it looks like there has been a shift in his favour, with him outperforming polling in several states, but it's very likely to not be big enough. Interesting times.
User avatar
OlivierK
 
Posts: 9873
Age: 57
Male

Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1823  Postby Willie71 » Mar 27, 2016 5:13 am

Unofficial reports from Hawaii have a split of 70/30 to 75/25 in Sanders favour. If it's accurate, five blowouts in the last 6 states. :cheers:
We should probably go for a can of vegetables because not only would it be a huge improvement, you'd also be able to eat it at the end.
User avatar
Willie71
 
Name: Warren Krywko
Posts: 3247
Age: 52
Male

Country: Canada
Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1824  Postby Saim » Mar 27, 2016 6:44 am

Willie71 wrote:Unofficial reports from Hawaii have a split of 70/30 to 75/25 in Sanders favour.


But I thought only white people voted Sanders. :)
User avatar
Saim
 
Posts: 1138
Male

Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1825  Postby Macdoc » Mar 27, 2016 10:52 am

love it

Image

read for grins

Trending
Bernie Sanders upstaged by a bird in Portland
Democratic presidential hopeful uses #birdiesanders moment as a call for world peace
CBC News Posted: Mar 26, 2016 8:57 AM ET Last Updated: Mar 26, 2016 11:18 AM ET

Image
http://www.cbc.ca/news/trending/bernie- ... -1.3508051
Travel photos > https://500px.com/macdoc/galleries
EO Wilson in On Human Nature wrote:
We are not compelled to believe in biological uniformity in order to affirm human freedom and dignity.
User avatar
Macdoc
 
Posts: 17714
Age: 76
Male

Country: Canada/Australia
Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1826  Postby Willie71 » Mar 27, 2016 2:43 pm

Saim wrote:
Willie71 wrote:Unofficial reports from Hawaii have a split of 70/30 to 75/25 in Sanders favour.


But I thought only white people voted Sanders. :)


It seems that only people who don't get their information from old media vote for Sanders. Old, conservative minded people vote for Clinton.
We should probably go for a can of vegetables because not only would it be a huge improvement, you'd also be able to eat it at the end.
User avatar
Willie71
 
Name: Warren Krywko
Posts: 3247
Age: 52
Male

Country: Canada
Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1827  Postby Acetone » Mar 27, 2016 2:55 pm

Any word on what happened at Arizona and what's gonna come of it?
Acetone
 
Posts: 5440
Age: 35
Male

Country: Canada
Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1828  Postby proudfootz » Mar 27, 2016 6:15 pm

Acetone wrote:Any word on what happened at Arizona and what's gonna come of it?


There's a petition to have a re-vote in Arizona.

Not likely to happen, in my opinion.
"Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't." - Mark Twain
User avatar
proudfootz
 
Posts: 11041

Country: USA
United States (us)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1829  Postby laklak » Mar 28, 2016 1:27 am

Willie71 wrote:
Saim wrote:
Willie71 wrote:Unofficial reports from Hawaii have a split of 70/30 to 75/25 in Sanders favour.


But I thought only white people voted Sanders. :)


It seems that only people who don't get their information from old media vote for Sanders. Old, conservative minded people vote for Clinton.


Perhaps. But there are other ways to look at it. Maybe people with a bit of experience in both the political arena and life in general understand that Bernie's proposals are unworkable and doomed to failure. Perhaps they've looked at other countries that have tried it, like Venezuela. Maybe the people voting for Bernie are very like those who voted McGovern or Muskie or Mondale, or even Carter. Maybe in 20 years those Feel The Bernites will be voting Republican. Certainly has happened before.
A man who carries a cat by the tail learns something he can learn in no other way. - Mark Twain
The sky is falling! The sky is falling! - Chicken Little
I never go without my dinner. No one ever does, except vegetarians and people like that - Oscar Wilde
User avatar
laklak
RS Donator
 
Name: Florida Man
Posts: 20878
Age: 70
Male

Country: The Great Satan
Swaziland (sz)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1830  Postby Willie71 » Mar 28, 2016 6:24 am

laklak wrote:
Willie71 wrote:
Saim wrote:
Willie71 wrote:Unofficial reports from Hawaii have a split of 70/30 to 75/25 in Sanders favour.


But I thought only white people voted Sanders. :)


It seems that only people who don't get their information from old media vote for Sanders. Old, conservative minded people vote for Clinton.


Perhaps. But there are other ways to look at it. Maybe people with a bit of experience in both the political arena and life in general understand that Bernie's proposals are unworkable and doomed to failure. Perhaps they've looked at other countries that have tried it, like Venezuela. Maybe the people voting for Bernie are very like those who voted McGovern or Muskie or Mondale, or even Carter. Maybe in 20 years those Feel The Bernites will be voting Republican. Certainly has happened before.


An American fiction.
We should probably go for a can of vegetables because not only would it be a huge improvement, you'd also be able to eat it at the end.
User avatar
Willie71
 
Name: Warren Krywko
Posts: 3247
Age: 52
Male

Country: Canada
Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1831  Postby Xaihe » Mar 28, 2016 7:00 am

laklak wrote:
Willie71 wrote:
Saim wrote:
Willie71 wrote:Unofficial reports from Hawaii have a split of 70/30 to 75/25 in Sanders favour.


But I thought only white people voted Sanders. :)


It seems that only people who don't get their information from old media vote for Sanders. Old, conservative minded people vote for Clinton.


Perhaps. But there are other ways to look at it. Maybe people with a bit of experience in both the political arena and life in general understand that Bernie's proposals are unworkable and doomed to failure. Perhaps they've looked at other countries that have tried it, like Venezuela. Maybe the people voting for Bernie are very like those who voted McGovern or Muskie or Mondale, or even Carter. Maybe in 20 years those Feel The Bernites will be voting Republican. Certainly has happened before.


There are other ways to look at it. People who have experience of how the establishment works, who don't want that to change, believe the corporate media's propaganda about Bernie Sanders that his plans are unworkable. Perhaps they've never taken a moment to look at other first world countries and have no idea that what Bernie is proposing actually works for many countries.
Consciousness is make believe. Just think about it.
Xaihe
 
Posts: 879
Male

Netherlands (nl)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1832  Postby Oldskeptic » Mar 28, 2016 8:58 am

Willie71 wrote:
laklak wrote:
Willie71 wrote:
Saim wrote:

But I thought only white people voted Sanders. :)


It seems that only people who don't get their information from old media vote for Sanders. Old, conservative minded people vote for Clinton.


Perhaps. But there are other ways to look at it. Maybe people with a bit of experience in both the political arena and life in general understand that Bernie's proposals are unworkable and doomed to failure. Perhaps they've looked at other countries that have tried it, like Venezuela. Maybe the people voting for Bernie are very like those who voted McGovern or Muskie or Mondale, or even Carter. Maybe in 20 years those Feel The Bernites will be voting Republican. Certainly has happened before.


An American fiction.


I put together a comprehensive critique of Sanders' 13 unworkable promises regarding income and wealth inequality here in this same thread five months ago.

No one here wanted to take it on at that time. Perhaps someone would like to now? Point by point, rather than just posting snide one liners or declaring that Bernie's heart is in the right place or pointing out that all candidates make promises they know they can't keep and don't intend to.
There is nothing so absurd that some philosopher will not say it - Cicero.

Traditionally these are questions for philosophy, but philosophy is dead - Stephen Hawking
User avatar
Oldskeptic
 
Posts: 7395
Age: 67
Male

Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1833  Postby Macdoc » Mar 28, 2016 10:30 am

Funny - sounds just about what Canada is doing just now....except for 13 and 4 and I'm not sure the TransPacific deal is going to be passed.
Nothing else there is much different from most of the other G8 nations except trade barriers...

Demanding that the wealthy and large corporations pay their fair share in taxes. As president, Sen. Sanders will stop corporations from shifting their profits and jobs overseas to avoid paying U.S. income taxes. He will create a progressive estate tax on the top 0.3 percent of Americans who inherit more than $3.5 million. He will also enact a tax on Wall Street speculators who caused millions of Americans to lose their jobs, homes, and life savings.

Increasing the federal minimum wage from $7.25 to $15 an hour by 2020. In the year 2015, no one who works 40 hours a week should be living in poverty.

Putting at least 13 million Americans to work by investing $1 trillion over five years towards rebuilding our crumbling roads, bridges, railways, airports, public transit systems, ports, dams, wastewater plants, and other infrastructure needs.

Reversing trade policies like NAFTA, CAFTA, and PNTR with China that have driven down wages and caused the loss of millions of jobs. If corporate America wants us to buy their products they need to manufacture those products in this country, not in China or other low-wage countries.

Creating 1 million jobs for disadvantaged young Americans by investing $5.5 billion in a youth jobs program. Today, the youth unemployment rate is off the charts. We have got to end this tragedy by making sure teenagers and young adults have the jobs they need to move up the economic ladder.

Fighting for pay equity by signing the Paycheck Fairness Act into law. It is an outrage that women earn just 78 cents for every dollar a man earns.

Making tuition free at public colleges and universities throughout America. Everyone in this country who studies hard should be able to go to college regardless of income.

Expanding Social Security by lifting the cap on taxable income above $250,000. At a time when the senior poverty rate is going up, we have got to make sure that every American can retire with dignity and respect.

Guaranteeing healthcare as a right of citizenship by enacting a Medicare for all single-payer healthcare system. It’s time for the U.S. to join every major industrialized country on earth and provide universal healthcare to all.

Requiring employers to provide at least 12 weeks of paid family and medical leave; two weeks of paid vacation; and 7 days of paid sick days. Real family values are about making sure that parents have the time they need to bond with their babies and take care of their children and relatives when they get ill.

Enacting a universal childcare and prekindergarten program. Every psychologist understands that the most formative years for a human being is from the ages 0-3. We have got to make sure every family in America has the opportunity to send their kids to a high quality childcare and pre-K program.

Making it easier for workers to join unions by fighting for the Employee Free Choice Act. One of the most significant reasons for the 40-year decline in the middle class is that the rights of workers to collectively bargain for better wages and benefits have been severely undermined.

Breaking up huge financial institutions so that they are no longer too big to fail. Seven years ago, the taxpayers of this country bailed out Wall Street because they were too big to fail. Yet, 3 out of the 4 largest financial institutions are 80 percent bigger today than before we bailed them out. Sen. Sanders has introduced legislation to break these banks up. As president, he will fight to sign this legislation into law.
Travel photos > https://500px.com/macdoc/galleries
EO Wilson in On Human Nature wrote:
We are not compelled to believe in biological uniformity in order to affirm human freedom and dignity.
User avatar
Macdoc
 
Posts: 17714
Age: 76
Male

Country: Canada/Australia
Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1834  Postby OlivierK » Mar 28, 2016 11:22 am

Saim wrote:
Willie71 wrote:Unofficial reports from Hawaii have a split of 70/30 to 75/25 in Sanders favour.


But I thought only white people voted Sanders. :)

Bernie's big problem is Clinton's dominance in the black vote. Hawaii's black population is tiny.
User avatar
OlivierK
 
Posts: 9873
Age: 57
Male

Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1835  Postby Macdoc » Mar 28, 2016 1:37 pm

I agree tho he's got some good ones in his corner.
Travel photos > https://500px.com/macdoc/galleries
EO Wilson in On Human Nature wrote:
We are not compelled to believe in biological uniformity in order to affirm human freedom and dignity.
User avatar
Macdoc
 
Posts: 17714
Age: 76
Male

Country: Canada/Australia
Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1836  Postby proudfootz » Mar 28, 2016 1:38 pm

There's a lot more ethnic diversity than we might think:

#BernieMadeMeWhite Calls Out the Media’s Whitewashing of Bernie Sanders Supporters

Twitter is expertly skewering the corporate media for erasing the contributions that people of color have made to the Bernie Sanders campaign with #BernieMadeMeWhite.

Two of the last three states Bernie Sanders won by landslide margins — Alaska and Hawaii — are also very ethnically diverse. One-third of Alaska’s population is Native American, Asian, Black, Pacific Islander, or of mixed race. And three-fourths of Hawaii’s population is made up of people of color, with nearly 50 percent being Asian.

Furthermore, Washington State ranks among the ten most ethnically diverse states in the country. But this didn’t stop cable media pundits from belittling Bernie Sanders’ victories by falsely claiming that the populations of those states are mostly white in order to justify the false narrative that the Vermont senator is unable to connect to nonwhite voters...

In sweeping the Western caucuses yesterday, Sanders proved he’s viable with a wide swath of American voters, busting one of the main myths propagated by Clinton surrogates on national cable media networks. This is similar to the “Berniebro” narrative circulated earlier this year, in which liberal media pundits snidely mischaracterized Bernie Sanders supporters as mostly white, mostly male, and incredibly sexist.

However, this was proven to be patently untrue, as women — particularly young women — are some of Sanders’ biggest supporters. And Sanders fans come from a wide range of cultures, as Sanders has a track record of advocating for criminal justice reform, immigrants’ rights, and indigenous rights.

<more at link>

http://usuncut.com/politics/berniemadem ... -trending/
"Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't." - Mark Twain
User avatar
proudfootz
 
Posts: 11041

Country: USA
United States (us)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1837  Postby OlivierK » Mar 28, 2016 1:56 pm

These last three states are ethnically diverse, but they all have low black populations. Alaska has the highest black population of the three at 4.27%.

It's not about Bernie particularly, either, it's just that the Clintons are hugely popular with black voters.

Edit: looking at that list of states by black population, Sanders has won only one state in the top half: Michiigan, narrowly. Clinton has won only two states in the bottom half: Iowa, again very narrowly, and Arizona, perhaps with a suppression effect.
User avatar
OlivierK
 
Posts: 9873
Age: 57
Male

Australia (au)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1838  Postby Willie71 » Mar 28, 2016 3:23 pm

The "black" issue is interesting. Sanders' policies would be good for anyone affected by systemic racism, poverty, and the war on drugs. In the south, the black population was polled to want a continuation of Obama's policies, which Clinton promised. Sanders is campaigning on change. The south is very Christian too. The media didn't even touch on this. I didn't think of it myself, but when another member mentioned it in another thread, it made a lot of sense. Americans struggle with Catholicism, let alone Judaism. It's not so much a race thing, as in Sanders policies don't appeal to blacks.
We should probably go for a can of vegetables because not only would it be a huge improvement, you'd also be able to eat it at the end.
User avatar
Willie71
 
Name: Warren Krywko
Posts: 3247
Age: 52
Male

Country: Canada
Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1839  Postby Willie71 » Mar 28, 2016 3:44 pm

Oldskeptic wrote:
Willie71 wrote:
laklak wrote:
Willie71 wrote:

It seems that only people who don't get their information from old media vote for Sanders. Old, conservative minded people vote for Clinton.


Perhaps. But there are other ways to look at it. Maybe people with a bit of experience in both the political arena and life in general understand that Bernie's proposals are unworkable and doomed to failure. Perhaps they've looked at other countries that have tried it, like Venezuela. Maybe the people voting for Bernie are very like those who voted McGovern or Muskie or Mondale, or even Carter. Maybe in 20 years those Feel The Bernites will be voting Republican. Certainly has happened before.


An American fiction.


I put together a comprehensive critique of Sanders' 13 unworkable promises regarding income and wealth inequality here in this same thread five months ago.

No one here wanted to take it on at that time. Perhaps someone would like to now? Point by point, rather than just posting snide one liners or declaring that Bernie's heart is in the right place or pointing out that all candidates make promises they know they can't keep and don't intend to.


I was being serious. Most of the developed world does indeed have what Americans think is impossible. It's a pointless discussion. What sanders is offering has been done over and over successfully.
We should probably go for a can of vegetables because not only would it be a huge improvement, you'd also be able to eat it at the end.
User avatar
Willie71
 
Name: Warren Krywko
Posts: 3247
Age: 52
Male

Country: Canada
Canada (ca)
Print view this post

Re: Bernie Sanders 2016?

#1840  Postby Boyle » Mar 28, 2016 4:57 pm

Oldskeptic wrote:
Willie71 wrote:
laklak wrote:
Willie71 wrote:

It seems that only people who don't get their information from old media vote for Sanders. Old, conservative minded people vote for Clinton.


Perhaps. But there are other ways to look at it. Maybe people with a bit of experience in both the political arena and life in general understand that Bernie's proposals are unworkable and doomed to failure. Perhaps they've looked at other countries that have tried it, like Venezuela. Maybe the people voting for Bernie are very like those who voted McGovern or Muskie or Mondale, or even Carter. Maybe in 20 years those Feel The Bernites will be voting Republican. Certainly has happened before.


An American fiction.


I put together a comprehensive critique of Sanders' 13 unworkable promises regarding income and wealth inequality here in this same thread five months ago.

No one here wanted to take it on at that time. Perhaps someone would like to now? Point by point, rather than just posting snide one liners or declaring that Bernie's heart is in the right place or pointing out that all candidates make promises they know they can't keep and don't intend to.

Yeah, but we can do this for Clinton and Trump and Cruz and. . . Point is, the line where people say "The other candidates do that shit too." is true. Trump has a tax plan that amounts to completely restructuring our tax code. How will he do it? He wants to build a big wall and make Mexico pay for it? How?

Clinton wants to jumpstart small business, give more money to colleges, push immigration reform, raise American wages, etc etc. How? Why are Sander's policies so unworkable but Clinton's aren't? Will the Republicans, and Tea Partiers, just roll over for Clinton? If you want a detailed business plan, well, that's not an election platform because a lot of what the President wants to do is done by Congress. So far Sanders is the only acknowledging the failure of the electorate to support their candidate. The only way we get any of these "plans" as is to show up and vote in the mid-terms and state elections.
Boyle
 
Posts: 1632

United States (us)
Print view this post

PreviousNext

Return to News, Politics & Current Affairs

Who is online

Users viewing this topic: No registered users and 1 guest