SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:This is a minor niggle, but there is no reason to assume that science is attempting to investigate or discover "verifiable truth", and generally a theory or hypothesis is strengthened by withstanding attempts at falsification, rather than repeated verification (although withstanding falsification could arguably be a form of verification).
I'm not sure I understand why you assert this. Science aims to discover the truth and the only way to do that is to verify a claim, whereby it becomes a theory (i.e. verified truth). Otherwise, it remains an assumption (i.e. only a hypothesis). Reproduceable results is a basic requirement for the verification of claims. It it cannot be repeated using the same environment, settings and techniques, then the hypothesis must be wrong.
I think your understanding of science, and especially philosophy of science, needs brushing up on a little bit. Firstly, the claim that "science aims to discover the truth" is a
very debatable claim and requires a lot of argumentation to support it. Given that you have presented it as if it were an obvious 'fact', I assume you probably haven't thought too long or hard on the subject. The main problem is that science is a tool or methodology based on naturalistic explanations - this means that if it were to discover "truth", then this truth must necessarily be naturalistic. It then becomes a metaphysical argument, which cannot be supported by empirical evidence, and instead you need logical and philosophical arguments to explain why metaphysical naturalism is a better position than methodological naturalism to base science on.
Secondly, "whereby it becomes a theory (i.e. verified truth)", this is not what a theory is. A theory can be absolutely, completely and utterly wrong, and it is still a theory. This is because a theory is simply an explanation - a framework of knowledge that attempts to string together and account for multiple lines of evidences (facts, laws, equations, other theories, etc). Something being classed as a theory says nothing about its validity or truthiness. If you really want to blow your noodle, keep in mind that a "fact" is the lowest form of evidence in science. A fact is simply a data point or observation.
Thirdly, "Otherwise, it remains an assumption (i.e. only a hypothesis)" - hypotheses do not get "promoted" into theories. Hypotheses are predictions or ways of testing claims (usually from theories). In other words, you generally need a theory before you have hypotheses.
Fourthly, "Reproduceable results is a basic requirement for the verification of
[scientific] claims" - fixed that for you.
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:Mathematics is not a science, at all.
Actually mathematics is a formal science. In the epistemological categorisation of different branches of science, there are four main groups: (1) Physical sciences; (2) Life sciences; (3) Social sciences (strictly speaking, it also includes sciences that are not actually 'sciences' in and of themselves, but make use of sciences); and (4) Formal sciences. In terms of formal logic, mathematics is the most formal and 'hard' of sciences.
The "formal sciences" are distinct from what we know as science in that they retained the moniker "science" from a time before the scientific method was developed, meaning that it shares nothing in common with what we commonly refer to as science these days. That is, it makes no empirical claims, is not falsifiable, does not have reproducible results, etc etc. At the very least, bringing it up in a discussion on whether psychology is a science is irrelevant, given that the kind of "science" that maths is, is not the kind that psychology (or biology, physics or chemistry) would or should strive towards.
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:Are you suggesting that psychologists aren't aware that "correlation does not equal causation"? This seems to be a very strange assertion, given the lengths psychologists go through to avoid making such a mistake - or explicitly stating that all they've found is an association, and not necessarily a causal relation.
It is a very old problem with not just psychology, but the social sciences in general. Economics is another discipline that suffers from this problem. The less scrupulous academics will confuse the correlation with causation—whether intentionally or unintentionally—which is usually looked down upon by the rest of the discpline's community, since it puts them into disrepute. Unfortunately, as much as you want to believe it, academics from the soft and hard sciences do often make statistical mistakes. It seems to be systemic in all parts of society.
I don't doubt that sloppy researchers make mistakes, across all scientific fields, what I am contending is that psychology (one of the branches of science that waves the motto "correlation does not equal causation" like it was a divine commandment) is a serious violator of such a rule. And, more specifically, I don't agree that even if it were a systematic problem within the field, that it would affect its scientific status.
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:This is overstating things a little bit. It depends on the assumption and on the statistical test. Many statistical tests are quite robust to a few violations, and make no difference to the overall result. But with that said, when assumptions are significantly violated, psychologists will switch to non-parametric statistics, where the assumptions aren't important.
I think you're confusing robustness with statistical rules. Statistical rules have in them stated thresholds. As long as you do not go outside of the thresholds where the statistical rules are active, the results will still be valid.
And as long as the data is approximately within those thresholds, for many tests and assumptions, we say that the statistical test is robust to some violations.
SeriousCat wrote:Non-parametric statistics cannot be generalised to the wider population. They only compute the relationships within the sample. This is one of the first things taught about non-parametric tests. It trade-off is that calculations have relaxed limits but usage of the results is quite restricted.
Of course they can, otherwise they wouldn't be as powerful as standard parametric tests.
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:But, of course, a large proportion of psych papers don't mention anything at all about society, because psychology has no focus on people or society. And speculation in the Discussion section is not a problem, and does not invalidate any of their work or science.
Strictly speaking, that is true. Not all psychology research is invalid. Some of its research is insightful and is built on a scientific basis. The danger comes in less quality research being systemic amongst even the higher tier journals, which becomes doubly risky when research with quality procedures use research with lesser quality procedures in the literature review.
Not only "strictly speaking", but just "factually speaking" what I said is true. The comments in the Discussion section that involve speculations about application to society have no effect at all on literature reviews or the quality of the research.
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:I have to disagree with this. Firstly, I'll just point out that psychology is not the study of humans, so even if human behavior were troublesome, it wouldn't be an issue. Secondly, the fact that behavior is probabilistic rather than deterministic isn't a problem at all, as all sciences are beginning to realise that determinism is not an accurate model for the universe and the things within it. Still, human behavior seems to be far more predictable than you're suggesting there.
Psychology is the study of behaviour, which includes a variety of organisms, of which humanity is one. Human psychology is by far the most important branch of psychology, perhaps due to the fact that we are humans and we are inherently biased towards advancing our own interests.
Says who? Arguably not even psychologists think humans are particularly important to study, given that I'd say the majority of psych research has nothing to do with humans.
SeriousCat wrote:Probability is not a limitation of science, as I have said before, but an element of it. It comes down to a question of thresholds. The smaller the margin of error, the more useful the tool. If the margin of error for certain psychological research is too large, it effectively becomes useless in the practical sense. Human behaviour is predictable within a normal range, but that is less explained and more improtantly predicted by psychology than it is by microeconomics.
Fortunately, prediction of human behavior in psychology does not contain large margins of error, and prediction of human behavior (at least in some tasks) is near-perfect. As for it explaining and predicting less than microeconomics, are you serious? Microeconomics was revamped and saved by the behavioral psychologists. Most of the solid work in that area is now done by 'behavioral economicists', who are psychologists. Microeconomics was lagging far, far behind the psychologists in terms of explanation and prediction. In the 60s we had developed an equation that perfectly predicted choice behavior and the economicists were still wittering on about "rational agents".
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:Strongly disagree. Even if there were psychologists in the field making first year mistakes of confusing correlation for causation, or abusing statistics, that wouldn't prevent the field from being scientific. At most, it would make it a scientific field with shitty scientists in it.
In a sense, what you're saying is true, but in another sense it's very dubious. Scientific truth exists independent of whether or not we know it, but people investigate science. Without investigation, we would not be able to verify whether something was in fact true. We could presume any number of things were true, such as there being a large marshmallow orbiting the Earth, but until it can be verified it's reasonable to assume it's false.
And notice that you're defining what is true and real, and the possibility of what could exist, as that which is natural, repeatable, and observable, with no possibility of cognitive or perceptual errors affecting the "truth"?
SeriousCat wrote:Risking the dangers of reasoning by analogy, I would liken the logic you're putting forward is akin to a a game of sports. One team loses, with its players claiming they had failed the club, but the team didn't lose: the players lost. However, thea team is made of players.
False analogy. It would be like having a team of world cup champions that contains one or two players who have no idea how to play the game. You're trying to say that they're aren't real sports players, or world cup champions, because they contain a couple of players who don't understand the game. My point is that if the team as a whole is winning and succeeding, and following the rules of the game, then they are real sports players.
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:Psychiatry is not a science at all. It's an applied, evidence-based field. That's like saying medicine is a good example of a science.
This is true, but only on a technicality. Psychiatry is an applied science, large enough to be considered its own science, which uses different base sciences. For example, pharmacology is an applied science using the base sciences of chemistry and human biology.
The size of psychiatry doesn't affect whether it's a science or not. Every person on earth could be a psychiatrist, but it still wouldn't be a science. It's based on science, I agree, but it's as much a science as medicine or engineering is (i.e. not at all). Either way, psychology even 100 years ago was far more scientific that psychiatry will ever be, by necessity.
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:When you talk of "psychology", are you confusing it with "clinical psychology"?
No, I realise that foundation psychology and clinical psychology are quite different. Clinical psychology is about therapy and it has had remarkably good successes. Foundation psychology is about discovering basic behvaioural patterns and thinking, not just in the aims of understanding disorders and illness like clinical psychology, but about human behaviour and thinking in general.
And again,
just behavior and thinking (humans happen to fall into that group, rather than there being a specific focus on humans).
SeriousCat wrote:Mr.Samsa wrote:The MBTI is not a psychometric test used, or endorsed, by psychology. It was created by non-psychologists, never adopted by psychology, and eventually debunked by psychologists. It is fraught with so many issues, that it is often ridiculed by psychologists (for example, do a search on this forum for it, and you'll find at least 3 psychologists making references to star signs and magic 8 balls when people mention what "personality type" they are). The MBTI is only used by companies and businesses, and has no scientific basis at all.
This is only half true. MBTI is unfortunately a rather popular psychometric test, but it was created by non-psychologists as an aid to conflict management. It has since been repurposed by the vast majority of Fortune 1000 companies for personality typing. MBTI has since undergone significant research from psychologists considered reputable by the psychological community supporting its claims. MBTI, like all psychometric tests (e.g. IQ Tests) remain highly controversial, even within the psychological community.
The MBTI is
not accepted by psychology - at all. It's undergone a lot of research by psychologists, because it's been proposed as an explanation of human personality, but it has consistently been found wanting and consistently rejected. IQ tests are not at all controversial within psychology, because they are incredibly informative and highly predictive of behavior across a large spectrum of areas. The same goes for psychometric tests that are accepted by psychology, like the Big Five.
There are debates over specific aspects of the tests, but no one in psychology questions the validity of IQ tests and the Big Five. In other words, when you hear people saying "IQ tests only measure your ability to take IQ tests!", psychologists are the ones telling them to shut up because they're idiots (as obviously that's not what IQ tests do).