purplerat wrote:Thomas Eshuis wrote:purplerat wrote:I thought that occurred to me is that Tyrion's decision was fairly calculated. Both in standing by Dany and turning on Vary's. If Dany were taken out of the game prior to the attack on Kings Landing what would have happened? Would Jon and his coalition of the north, maybe including Dany's forces or maybe not, give up and leave Cersei to rule? Probably not. There would have been a bloody battle or maybe a long siege followed by a battle or something like that. Many people including many innocents were going to die.
Would that have been better or worse than what ultimately did happen? That's hard to say. The war could very well have gone on for years costing hundreds of thousands of lives. The best chance to avoid as much bloodshed as possible was Dany using her last dragon to end the war quickly with no more than the necessary casualties - basically the Iron Fleet and Golden Company. And they basically did achieve that until Dany either went mad or decided she needed rule with fear.
It's similar to the US decision to use nukes to end WWII. It was a horrific thing to have happened but there's an argument to be made that it was the least worst decision.
Your entire argument hinges on Tyrion assuming, without evidence, that Varys would try to kill Dany before the battle, rather than, for example, get John to usurp her authority.
[spoiler]But if Jon usurped her authority before the battle - which is what Tyrion and Varys appeared to be discussing in the previous episode - that would take the dragon out of the equation. You'd still be left we the prospect of a prolonged siege/battle that might kill hundreds of thousands.
That would not be enough imo to convince Tyrion to sacrifice Varys.