Brexit

The talks and negotiations.

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Re: Brexit

#2081  Postby minininja » Apr 26, 2018 8:46 am

May loses Lords vote on post-Brexit powers for ministers

Peers and MPs claimed a significant victory on Wednesday when an attempt to give sweeping powers to ministers was thrown out of the Brexit bill as complaints about the power of the Lords to reverse the decisions of the Commons grew louder.

In the first of a series of votes on how the powers brought back from Brussels would be limited by the balance between ministers and parliament, peers from all parties defeated the government by 349 to 221 – a majority of 128.

On Tuesday, the Tory backbencher and vociferous Brexiter Jacob Rees-Mogg accused peers of “playing with fire” over Brexit. A petition calling for a referendum on the abolition of the Lords has attracted more than 100,000 signatures and is eligible for a debate at Westminster.

Amnesty International said the Lords had “ripped up the blank chequebook that ministers sought to give themselves.

“The Lords have sent a clear message to the Commons: leaving the EU shouldn’t mean leaving rights behind.”


This is depressing. The petition to abolish the House of Lords has taken off not for reasons of democracy or modernising of the power structures in our country, but because the hard Brexiters want Brexit at any cost. The Lords in this case are strongly supporting democracy, preventing ministers seizing unnecessary powers from parliament, but because it supposedly hinders May's catastrophic "war room" style of negotiations, apparently they have to go.
[Disclaimer - if this is comes across like I think I know what I'm talking about, I want to make it clear that I don't. I'm just trying to get my thoughts down]
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Re: Brexit

#2082  Postby Sendraks » Apr 26, 2018 9:53 am

minininja wrote:but because it supposedly hinders May's catastrophic "war room" style of negotiations, apparently they have to go.


They said the same thing about the Judiciary as well. It is right-wring totalitarian fuck-wittery at its worst.
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Re: Brexit

#2083  Postby Sendraks » Apr 26, 2018 9:54 am

Scot Dutchy wrote:Mr Barnier says "No way".

EU rejects Irish border proposals and says Brexit talks could still fail

Michel Barnier says the UK wants to cherry pick its terms, and that the EU response is: ‘No way’

The EU’s chief negotiator has said there is still a “risk of failure” in the Brexit negotiations as Brussels again rejected the UK’s proposals to avoid a hard border in Ireland.

Michel Barnier said on Friday that a quarter of the work needed to complete preparations for the UK to leave the the bloc next March remains to be done, as sources say little progress was made in three weeks of talks to break the deadlock on the vexed Irish question.

“In terms of what has been agreed so far, it’s about 75%,” Barnier told France 2 television.

Even if Britain and the EU were working towards a British exit from the EU taking place in March 2019, this may not happen if outstanding topics such as Ireland were unresolved, he said.
....
Mujtaba Rahman, of the political consultancy Eurasia group, said: “This is the first time in an official meeting the UK’s Mansion House proposals have been systematically shot down by the EU side.”



Slow news day for the Guardian I guess. Because this looks like a non-story, best summarised as.

75% of work is done.
But unless the remaining 25% is done, the work will fail.
To the surprise of no one.
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Re: Brexit

#2084  Postby ronmcd » Apr 26, 2018 10:54 am

Meanwhile, in news the BBC SKY etc aren't interested in cos it's not about where they live ...

HMG's proposed amendment to the Scotland Act today (it's the same for Wales and NI) could be called a rapist's theory of consent: (a) Yes is consent; (b) Silence is consent; (c) No is consent. Imaginative drafting, but what's the point of this rigmarole?https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/bills/lbill/2017-2019/0079/18079-R-III(a).pdf …

https://twitter.com/jjmitchell/status/9 ... 4122898432

Image

Nicola Sturgeon:
This is the key part of the Withdrawal Bill amendments. A refusal of @ScotParl consent will not prevent @GOVUK restricting our powers for up to 7 years. @scotgov will not sign up to that - but it can still be fixed so the ball is in Westminster’s court.



Welsh FIrst Minister Carwyn Jones announces at the weekend he is standing down. Jones has been solid in his opposition to the Westminster power grab from the devolved Parliaments. Days later his expected successor announces ... the Welsh govt has agreed to the power grab.

:think:
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Re: Brexit

#2085  Postby ronmcd » Apr 27, 2018 4:32 pm

Genuinely mystified why the press didn't make more of this. It's a great "story" whatever side of the fence you sit. Scottish parliament has the right to withhold consent except on those occasions when it does. Hilarious.

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Re: Brexit

#2086  Postby fisherman » Apr 27, 2018 8:09 pm

ronmcd wrote:
Genuinely mystified why the press didn't make more of this. It's a great "story" whatever side of the fence you sit. Scottish parliament has the right to withhold consent except on those occasions when it does. Hilarious.

https://twitter.com/iainmacwhirter

Image


It is a shitty piece of text, but it does reiterate what the supreme court expressed in the Article 50 Miller case in January of last year, that the Sewel convention is a statement of political intent that creates no legal obligations. This decision was demonstrated the following month, when the Scottish government held a symbolic vote to reject the triggering of A50, rather than using the formal vote mechanism consenting or refusing consent (read consenting).

Perhaps the real issue is, will there be a consequence to withholding consent? :mob:
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Re: Brexit

#2087  Postby ronmcd » Apr 28, 2018 10:29 am

It seems like a complete waste of so many letters. Just replace the whole clause with
"For the purposes of subsection (3) a consent decisions is -
ours to make, not yours. Back in yer fucking box, jocko
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Re: Brexit

#2088  Postby Scot Dutchy » May 07, 2018 8:52 am

Once again ONS has shown how useless it is. From unemployment to immigration it has not got a clue.

Statistics are political, so we should question the recent drop in government estimates of British citizens living in the EU

The UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS) has recently produced estimates of the number of British citizens living in the European Union (EU). The numbers, apparently, have declined from 1.22 million prior to 2017 to “around 900,000” (January 2017) and more recently to 784,900 (April 2018).

Meanwhile, our research has revealed that most informed commentators (academics, local government officials, consular offices, and others who work with the British abroad) understand numbers to have changed little since 2008, and that the correct, conservative, estimate is closer to 1.8 million.


The British government has not got a clue who is coming and going and who lives in the country.
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Re: Brexit

#2089  Postby Thommo » May 07, 2018 4:30 pm

I'm pretty sympathetic to the central point of the argument, but that is one shitty article.

This is just straight up vapid weaselling:
Meanwhile, our research has revealed that most informed commentators (academics, local government officials, consular offices, and others who work with the British abroad) understand numbers to have changed little since 2008, and that the correct, conservative, estimate is closer to 1.8 million.


But the worst part is this:
The (somewhat odd) argument for excluding Ireland is that “citizenship is not a suitable definition and so the data would not be comparable”. The April 2018 report defines British abroad using citizenship rather than country of birth, because the latter can miss some groups of citizens, and because Irish and British citizenship “are complex”. Well, given that dual citizenship is available in most EU27 states, I would argue it is complex for everyone.

Somehow Karen O'Reilly is missing that the Irish citizens have a suite of rights based in the Ireland Act 1949, are part of the Anlgo-Irish Common Travel Area, can vote in UK elections and that the Irish government recognises the Northern Irish as Irish citizens. This is completely unlike the situation in mainland Europe in every regard and it is beyond facile to try to use the word "complex" to pretend the two situations are largely the same.

I think this is rather a shame as the underlying point that the change in estimate is concerning and estimate of ~800,000 Brits living abroad does sound suspiciously low.

This:
https://fullfact.org/europe/how-many-uk ... countries/
Seems like a vastly better appraisal of the numbers.
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Re: Brexit

#2090  Postby Scot Dutchy » May 08, 2018 12:24 pm

Brexit: Support for Ireland staying in the EU hits record high of 92%, latest poll shows

Brexiteers had suggested Ireland might follow Britain in leaving the EU

Support for Ireland remaining in the European Union has reached near-unanimous levels in the Republic, with a solution to the Brexit border problem looking further off than ever.

A full 92 per cent of the Irish population now support staying in the EU, according to a new survey by pollsters Red C, with just 7 per cent supporting a theoretical “Irexit” and 1 per cent saying they don’t know.

The findings are likely to disappoint British Brexiteers, some of whom have suggested Ireland might follow Britain’s march towards the exit door – and that Irish departure could be a way of solving the border question currently plaguing Brexit talks.


Talk about delusional. :crazy:
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Re: Brexit

#2091  Postby Scot Dutchy » May 08, 2018 12:59 pm

Brexit: The Cabinet's battle over EU customs is an insult to our intelligence

The fact is that neither of the alternatives discussed in the Brexit cabinet committee last week is practical


This is just unbelievable.
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Re: Brexit

#2092  Postby newolder » May 08, 2018 1:14 pm

I wonder how often she gets this picture out to share with her Cabinet colleagues?
Image
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Re: Brexit

#2093  Postby Scot Dutchy » May 08, 2018 1:37 pm

newolder wrote:I wonder how often she gets this picture out to share with her Cabinet colleagues?
Image


The good days. :ask:
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Re: Brexit

#2094  Postby ronmcd » May 08, 2018 9:59 pm

House of Lords has voted in favour of continued membership of the Single Market by majority of 27. Hugely important victory for common sense on Brexit


Almost all Labour peers just backed continued membership of the European Single Market, despite leadership suggesting abstention. Lot of Tories too. The baton now passes to Labour & Conservative MPs to do their duty by the country

https://twitter.com/Andrew_Adonis/statu ... 6947245056

Jeremy Corbyn tries to get his Lords to abstain on staying in the single market, and fails. Theresa May fails to sack her Foreign Secretary after he called her plan for customs "crazy". Just another glorious day showcasing courageous political leadership in the UK.

https://twitter.com/northernsoul78/stat ... 3576673281
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Re: Brexit

#2095  Postby Tracer Tong » May 08, 2018 10:43 pm

Parliament Act time? If they did it for the foxes...
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Re: Brexit

#2097  Postby Scot Dutchy » May 09, 2018 7:24 am

To put a not too fine point on it.
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Re: Brexit

#2098  Postby mrjonno » May 09, 2018 7:50 am

ronmcd wrote:This country is fucked.



We are all doomed!
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Re: Brexit

#2099  Postby ronmcd » May 09, 2018 12:54 pm

Lords vote: No place left for Corbyn to hide

Yesterday's vote was shocking. Just before 8pm, the House of Lords defeated the government by 245 votes to 218 and demanded that Britain stays in the single market. Eighty-three Labour peers resisted Jeremy Corbyn's demand that they abstain - nearly half the party's backbenchers. They were joined by 17 Tory Lords, who'd been whipped to reject it. It now goes back to the Commons, alongside the other rebel amendments.

These are unpredictable times, so people are starting to get their hopes up about what might happen. No-one expected yesterday's vote to pass - not political journalists, not the Labour leadership and not even the people who organised it. But even with that degree of volatility and momentum, it's hard to imagine that a vote for single market membership could pass the Commons.

The reason why is simple: Jeremy Corbyn. Unlike the customs union, he will whip his MPs against it, or at least to abstain, which adds up to the same thing. To defeat the government you need all wings of the Labour party united, alongside the other opposition parties, and a few Tory rebels. That just about gives you the numbers to defeat the Conservatives, DUP and handful of dyed-in-wool Labour Brexiters.

[..]

But last night's vote does have one very useful attribute, even if it won't outright secure soft Brexit. It shines a very harsh and unforgiving light on what the Labour leader is doing. He is going against the wishes of Labour peers, Labour members, Labour voters, and the public. And he is doing that because of an ideological commitment to hard Brexit.
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Re: Brexit

#2100  Postby ronmcd » May 09, 2018 12:59 pm

Corbyn is SUCH a disappointment. From principled contrarian within the blairite ranks, to ... another A.N.Other Labour disappointment.

North of the border we already know he's a liar. At first, to be fair, we thought he was ill informed, or being fed misinformation from pretendy socialists like Neil Findlay. But no, you can't keep making the same mistakes and it not be deliberate.

Of course, there's also this...

SNP MP Mhairi Black has said Jeremy Corbyn told her he backs Scotland becoming an independent country in a private conversation.

Speaking to the HuffPost UK the MP said the Labour leader had “sold out” over the issue, adding that she knew he “doesn’t believe the things he says about it”.

She added: “He has sold out in terms of austerity. He has sold out in terms of Scottish independence – because I know that he doesn’t believe the things he says about independence now.”

Asked directly how she knew Corbyn backed independence, the Paisley and Renfrewshire South MP said: “From talking to him”.

https://www.holyrood.com/articles/news/ ... airi-black
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