Teague wrote:Thommo wrote:So your primary evidence for Nigel Farage's views is 744 people giving up their passport.
Yeah.
As far as the polls (conducted after his comments, so he couldn't even have seen them) go, yeah, there's a chance the referendum would be lost (for the Brexiteers). That doesn't mean Farage believes he would lose, does it? As a point of reference, last time the polls looked like those two do, what was Nigel Farage's opinion on whether he could win?
Then you would be assuming that a politician isn't privvy to other information and polls conducted as it wasn't the only one but it's more evidence to base a prediction on that anything else I've seen. Maybe you have something better?
Of course, as I said, we can base our opinion of why Nigel Farage might want another referendum on the incredibly consistent and incredibly public views he's explained at painful length for something like a decade.
Regardless of my assumptions recall that this whole thing is regarding your assumption, explicitly stated:
"I assume he's realised how bad it is if we leave the EU but obviously can't say anything and this is literally the only card he can play to support another vote and then pretending to be butthurt when the 2nd referrendum keeps us in the EU."This is staggeringly unlikely. He's also walked back his statement (which wasn't actually as strong as portrayed in some outlets anyway) today. There's literally no reason to assume that he doesn't want to leave the EU now, notwithstanding any quibbles about "would" and "could".