President Trump Watch.

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Re: President Trump Watch.

#881  Postby Acetone » Dec 07, 2016 3:22 pm

How can something in the constitution be unconstitutional?
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#882  Postby Tortured_Genius » Dec 07, 2016 3:23 pm

Based on the look Trump got on his face every time his name is mentioned I suspect this will have caused his trousers to explode.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#883  Postby willhud9 » Dec 07, 2016 3:37 pm

Acetone wrote:How can something in the constitution be unconstitutional?


It can't. And I am quite concerned with the education those legal experts received.

The SCOTUS cannot overturn portions of the constitution. That is not in their power. The only way to overturn portions of the constitution is amendments.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#884  Postby Corneel » Dec 07, 2016 3:57 pm

What is defined in the constitution is the election of the President via the electoral college and the number of electors each state receives.
What isn't defined in the constitution is the process of apportioning the electors. The relevant part in the article:

All states except Maine and Nebraska currently allocate electors based on the winner-takes-all rule, but according to Mr Lessig that system for allocating electoral votes is not mandated by the Constitution, it is employed at the discretion of state.

In draft legal documents, Jerry Sims, an Atlanta lawyer, explores the argument in more depth, explaining that vast changes have occurred in state populations since the Electoral College system was adopted, exacerbating the problem by making the number of representatives allotted to each state disproportionate.

Over time, populations have concentrated in larger states, he said, meaning people from these states are increasingly under-represented in the Electoral College, making it an increasingly flawed system.

Over time it has become, and will continue to become, more and more common for a president to be elected despite having lost the popular vote, he suggested.


And so they argue:
Mr Sims said the current system represents an "unconstitutional violation of the equal protection clause of the 14th Amendment and its bedrock principle of one man one vote," and therefore the election result could in theory be overturned by a court.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#885  Postby willhud9 » Dec 07, 2016 4:01 pm

Except one man, one vote is not a constitutional principle. :scratch:
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#886  Postby Corneel » Dec 07, 2016 4:15 pm

willhud9 wrote:Except one man, one vote is not a constitutional principle. :scratch:

Neither are arbortion rights, but they have been inferred, as has the "One man One vote" principle.

Court cases[edit]
In Colegrove v. Green, 328 U.S. 549 (1946) the United States Supreme Court held in a 4-3 plurality decision that Article I, Section 4 left to the legislature of each state the authority to establish the time, place, and manner of holding elections for representatives.

However, in Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186 (1962) the United States Supreme Court overturned the previous decision in Colegrove holding that malapportionment claims under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment were not exempt from judicial review under Article IV, Section 4, as the equal protection issue in this case was separate from any political questions.

The "One Person, One Vote" doctrine which requires electoral districts to be apportioned according to population, thus making each district roughly equal in population, was further cemented in the cases that followed Baker v. Carr, including Gray v. Sanders, 372 U.S. 368 (1963) which concerned state county districts, Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533 (1964) which concerned state legislature districts, Wesberry v. Sanders, 376 U.S. 1 (1964) which concerned U.S. Congressional districts and Avery v. Midland County, 390 U.S. 474 (1968) which concerned local government districts, a decision which was upheld in Board of Estimate of City of New York v. Morris, 489 U.S. 688 (1989).[3] Evenwel v. Abbott (2016) said states may use total population in drawing districts.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_man,_one_vote#Court_cases

Since Wesberry v. Sanders (1964)[156] and Reynolds v. Sims (1964),[157] the Supreme Court has interpreted the Equal Protection Clause as requiring the states to apportion their congressional districts and state legislative seats according to "one man, one vote".[158]


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourteenth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution#Equal_Protection_Clause

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal_Protection_Clause#Voting_rights
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#887  Postby willhud9 » Dec 07, 2016 4:22 pm

The One Man, One Vote refers directly to Congressional districts being equal in population.

Image

Just look at New York. Long Island and NYC are two of the most compacted population centers in the US and look how many congressional districts are there because of it. That is what is meant by one man, one vote. The districts are equal.

To try to use this as precedent won't fly under the SCOTUS because this is a separate issue than the EC of which the court would note.

The Presidency was not designed to be a direct democracy where one man, one vote applied. The president was meant to be elected through electors.

Now, what I will say is that the system itself is not what the framers had in mind. Literally the EC was supposed to be the people came and voted for the electors from their district and also their elector from their state. (EC votes are a combination of districts + 2 for senators) and those electors would gather, deliberate and decide which presidential candidate was better for the state at hand.

Many states did this until the end of the 19th century. As population sizes increased many states switched to winner take all systems so that the majority vote in the state could feel confident they chose the correct candidate. This was seen with Teddy Roosevelt's presidency where big cities dominated state votes.

Now Clinton could argue for that, but the change to the EC does not violate the equal protections clause nor the one man, one vote principle for determining congressional districts.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#888  Postby CarlPierce » Dec 07, 2016 4:27 pm

All votes are equal but some votes are more equal than others.....
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#889  Postby Corneel » Dec 07, 2016 4:32 pm

These people seem to say: If the Equal Protection clause can be invoked for determining congressional districts under the One Man One Vote principle, why not for the way states determine the apportioning of Electors for the presidential election.

Just saying that there is an argument to be had and it does not seem to be as bizarre as you seem to think. Whether it will hold when (or rather if) argued before the courts is of course a different story.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#890  Postby PensivePenny » Dec 07, 2016 7:01 pm

Acetone wrote:How can something in the constitution be unconstitutional?


By definition if it's in the constitution it IS constitutional.

What about those cases where the constitution is contradictory? Or ambiguous?

Could a valid argument not be made that a part of the constitution isn't consistent with the rest of it? The Supreme Court is responsible for interpreting the constitution. "Intent" of the authors is sometimes a relevant topic. If an argument can be made that the authors intended the electoral college to be a better representation of the landowners as they were the better educated (back then), and now, the better educated own little land and live in great cities not envisioned by the founding fathers, well....?
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#891  Postby OlivierK » Dec 07, 2016 7:45 pm

While we're tangentially on the subject of mainstream media standards, the Independent gives us two nuggets in the articles Scot posted:
Scot Dutchy wrote:
Mr Trump swept to victory thanks to the centuries-old electoral college system, which distributes electoral votes around states and the candidate who wins in each state gets all of those votes.

Larger states - like Pennsylvania with 20 electoral college votes and Michigan with 16 votes - went to Mr Trump.

More...

Here, they insinuate that the Electoral College helped Trump overturn a popular vote loss because he won large states, even though the Electoral College provides a structural advantage to small states. Trump, in actual fact, overturned the popular vote result by winning sufficient states, but with an smaller averaage winning margin, and in the Electoral College, winning margins don't mean shit (by common practice of winner takes all per state, not constitution). Helpfully, the second Independent article quoted by Scot points out the error of the first:
Scot Dutchy wrote:
Almost all states operate a "winner-takes-all" system, which ignores voter margins. So for instance, Ms Clinton got 44 per cent of the vote in Georgia, but because Mr Trump got a larger percentage, none of the state's six representatives in the Electoral College are set to vote for her.

More...

But then blots its copybook by picking a somewhat odd example, and claiming Georgia has only 6 electoral votes, not 16.

It would have been better to illustrate the issue by looking at Illinois and Pennsylvania. Clinton got 20 votes for winning IL, and Trump 20 for winning PA, but Clinton's margin in IL was over 900,000 larger than Trumps in PA, accounting for around a third of her popular vote lead for no Electoral College advantage. Or pairing up New York (Clinton by 1.5m votes) and Texas (Trump by 800,000) for a net popular vote advantage of 700,000 to Clinton, but a 38-29 Electoral College advantage to Trump under winner-takes-all rules.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#892  Postby Oldskeptic » Dec 07, 2016 9:57 pm

willhud9 wrote:
Acetone wrote:How can something in the constitution be unconstitutional?


It can't. And I am quite concerned with the education those legal experts received.

The SCOTUS cannot overturn portions of the constitution. That is not in their power. The only way to overturn portions of the constitution is amendments.


The portioning system of electors is not spelled out in the constitution, that is left up to states. The supreme court could rule that states are denying the civil rights of some persons to have an equal vote.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#893  Postby Oldskeptic » Dec 07, 2016 10:20 pm

willhud9 wrote:Except one man, one vote is not a constitutional principle. :scratch:


Maybe it wasn't, but it is now by tradition and precedent.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#894  Postby Byron » Dec 07, 2016 10:23 pm

Yup, unlike the recounts, given that the Constitution's silent on the matter, challenging the allotment of EC votes could have legs.

From an originalist POV, electors should be free to vote however they please, in-line with the intent of the Founders; from an evolving Constitution POV, you can make a strong case that, on equal protection grounds, votes should be divided as equally as possible.

Even if the SCOTUS bought it, however, doubt it'll help Clinton: on public policy grounds, they'd be loathed to overturn an election result; this would be a change for 2020.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#895  Postby Byron » Dec 07, 2016 10:29 pm

Legality aside, all states allotting their votes proportionately would be an excellent idea. It'd make every state competitive, while maintaining a bump for smaller states. Better yet, no constitutional amendment necessary: two states already do it.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#896  Postby Oldskeptic » Dec 07, 2016 11:24 pm

Byron wrote:Yup, unlike the recounts, given that the Constitution's silent on the matter, challenging the allotment of EC votes could have legs.

From an originalist POV, electors should be free to vote however they please, in-line with the intent of the Founders; from an evolving Constitution POV, you can make a strong case that, on equal protection grounds, votes should be divided as equally as possible.

Even if the SCOTUS bought it, however, doubt it'll help Clinton: on public policy grounds, they'd be loathed to overturn an election result; this would be a change for 2020.


I don't know, the Supremes can move awful fast if it's real important, just look how fast they moved in 2000. Not saying it could actually happen, but just imagine the impact of the Supreme Court announcing on December 12th, in a 5 to 3 decision, that all states using a winner takes all electors system have just violated the civil rights of 65.5 million voters to have an equal vote to anyone else.

It's kind of simple math. If ~65.5 million people voted for Hillary and ~62.8 million people voted for Trump and Trump won then Trump voters had ~105% of a vote to Clinton voters' ~100%. Or to turn it around 1 vote for Clinton ended up only worth 95.8% of a Trump vote. Or to expand it a bit more every ~958,001 Trump voters are overriding 1,000,000 Clinton voters in a country where one person one vote is indeed a constitutional principal.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#897  Postby Byron » Dec 08, 2016 12:08 am

Oldskeptic wrote:I don't know, the Supremes can move awful fast if it's real important, just look how fast they moved in 2000. Not saying it could actually happen, but just imagine the impact of the Supreme Court announcing on December 12th, in a 5 to 3 decision, that all states using a winner takes all electors system have just violated the civil rights of 65.5 million voters to have an equal vote to anyone else.

It's kind of simple math. If ~65.5 million people voted for Hillary and ~62.8 million people voted for Trump and Trump won then Trump voters had ~105% of a vote to Clinton voters' ~100%. Or to turn it around 1 vote for Clinton ended up only worth 95.8% of a Trump vote. Or to expand it a bit more every ~958,001 Trump voters are overriding 1,000,000 Clinton voters in a country where one person one vote is indeed a constitutional principal.

It could happen, but there's one overriding legal imperative that's likely to ensure that it doesn't: judges are people first, and know that any attempt to overturn the election result at this stage will lead, at best, to civil unrest and a collapse in what little legitimacy D.C. retains, and at worst, to rioting verging on civil war. Not to mention the effect it'll have on their own positions and powers.

SCOTUS could, if someone with standing can be persuaded to file suit, put the change in place for the next round, and could garner support from both sides of the aisle: for all the votes the GOP lose in Texas, it gains in Cali and NY, and vice versa. Important thing's to avoid changing the rules after the game's been played.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#898  Postby Tero » Dec 08, 2016 1:14 am

What laws control the setup of the Electoral College? We already have a Senate where rural states get extra seats, the two senators, compared to populated states. Why should there be two electors due to 2 Senators? As long as each state is give 1 elector, no matter what population, the state is represented.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#899  Postby SkyMutt » Dec 08, 2016 1:44 am

United States Constitution, Article II Section 1

Each state shall appoint, in such manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a number of electors, equal to the whole number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress: but no Senator or Representative, or person holding an office of trust or profit under the United States, shall be appointed an elector.
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Re: President Trump Watch.

#900  Postby Tero » Dec 08, 2016 1:56 am

Rats. Too complicated. Or it was some deal back then to make it look like states had more power. States were more similar then and territories were separate. So territories only got senators when they were civilized.
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