Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

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Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere. Yes or No ?

Yes
30
17%
No
130
72%
Yes But...Add your reason
11
6%
No But...Add your reason
10
6%
 
Total votes : 181

Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2901  Postby Light Storm » Dec 08, 2011 8:35 pm

Re: Darkchilde

Darkchilde wrote:Wrong...


If where comparing notes on basic physics from a surface standpoint, everything you said is true. Solid Material being the most dense with tightly packed molecules. I£ of solid Iron will use the least volume. 1£ of iron liquid will use up more volume. 1£ of iron gas would use significantly more space. 1£ of iron plasma would require the most space.

I'm using Iron as an example, as it's speculated to be one of the primary ingredients of the Earth Cores. As you get closer towards the Earth Center, you are subjecting this material to increasing pressures and stress. I've read about tests on Iron done in controlled labs up to 20GPa and 2000k to get a better understanding of the effects on Fe(iron). The results have shown an increase in vibration measured as sound. With increasing pressure, The molecules heat up and transform into new structures to allow increasing density. In short, the rules are pretty much reversed down inside the earth at extremely high pressures. Solid matter can not handle the threshold of the pressure, and the molecules transfer between atomic packing factors until they are in a liquid state, and then use less volume, with increased density.

Estimates vary but seems the further you go down, obviously more dense the materials get
Continental Crust: 2.7 to 3.0
Oceanic Crust: 3.0 to 3.3
Mantle (silicates): 3.3 to 5.7 (increasing with depth?)
Outer Core (liquid): 9.9 to 12.2
Inner Core (solid): 12.6 to 13.0

Speculation: There is still a lot of speculation and ideas on why the Earth is broken up into all these layers. My idea is that Proto Earth was significantly more dense with a molten surface. As the outer surface cooled, the molecules lost density. As the Earth continues to cool over geological time, the entire planet is transforming from a super dense, to less dense state. As the Mantle transforms into oceanic crust for example, it looses density increasing in volume.

The hotter a substance is the faster its molecules move, so they have more kinetic energy. In order for density to increase you need to do one of the following things:

1. reduce the volume without any change in the mass
2. increase the mass without any change in the volume
3. reduce the volume and increase the mass.


As not to break any rules of thermodynamics, I'm presenting as idea that Material is transforming from a super dense, to less dense state, not increasing in mass, rather volume and density decreases.

Image

Pretty sure I said this before... What if the Inner Core Froze Like Water Into Ice. A solid state would not allow that kind of density, and it might very well expand to allow the density to drop to a solid state. Imagine the entire Earth at a Density of the surface, it would need several times the volume. At that point, I think the inner structure of a planet would look more like our moons.

Image

*Edit* I looked it up and found that new Evidence has come out this year giving us a better understanding of the moons interior. The Crust of the moon is still said to be over 130km thick and one study I've looked at suggests that it's density is pretty uniform through out at 3.3.

Image
Ref: http://news.sciencemag.org/sciencenow/2 ... -seen.html
Ref: http://www.astronomynotes.com/solarsys/s13.htm

As for the rest, I am not going to comment because I think the whole expansion thing is total bollocks. There is no clear mechanism for expansion, no clear mechanism where the extra mass/energy comes from, and I am again repeating myself, with questions that are still unanswered.


Please give me a list of your questions. I'll give you answers based on the best sources on EE Hypothesis.

Re: THWOTH

The reason I kept asking Mr Adams what software he used was to illuminate the suspicion that his animation were a technical realisation of what he imagined the expanding Earth to do.......(picture of Daffy duck in there somewhere... and then something about discs, pyramids and doughnuts)


This has nothing to do with Expanding Earth Hypothesis

Re: Weaver

1) Please provide any evidence whatsoever that Mars was once covered by an ocean - not just depression areas like Hellas, but the whole planet.


Mars Ocean Hypothesis : Good Starting Point http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Ocean_Hypothesis

2) Please provide evidence that the Valles Marinaris is a rift or expansion feature and not the water-carved canyon that most scientists view it to be.


Speculation: We are seeing a rift opening today in Africa that may very well be the Next Atlantic Ocean. Ref http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn1 ... -days.html . While I'm sure everyone will quickly point to subduction to justify any 'expansion' of a new ocean, I would challenge you to point out counter acting subduction zones on Mars. I've looked into the idea, and they don't exist on Mars. Either Mars Expanded to give way to new material forming on the surface... or... Water Erosion.

3) Please define which is important to allow a planet to expand - mass or density?


FFS, I've answered this question 15 times over by now from my perspective, please go back and review

4) Please explain why you continue to believe that EE has any value as a hypothesis, given your admissions that the planet is not currently expanding (as measured by Wu et al) and that there is no change in surface gravity to suggest expansion?


The empirical Evidence of an enclosed upper crust has not been dismissed in my eyes. For that matter, No one here who supports a Static Earth Radius have addressed the peer reviewed paper by Dennis McCarthy on the subject of an enclosed Pacfic. (Not fully true, Ginckgo briefly suggested that it makes sense) Why haven't you or others looked into it? Even if the Earth is not Expanding currently, why is so hard for you to speculate that it may have Expanded in the past?
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2902  Postby Weaver » Dec 08, 2011 8:41 pm

Light Storm wrote:

Re: Weaver

1) Please provide any evidence whatsoever that Mars was once covered by an ocean - not just depression areas like Hellas, but the whole planet.


Mars Ocean Hypothesis : Good Starting Point http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Ocean_Hypothesis


Is that the sound of moving goalposts?

Light Storm wrote:
I use Mars as an example of our possible future

It doesn't have the Mass or Density of Earth, but there is certainly a lot of evidence on that planet that would seem to suggest it underwent some form of major expansion in it's past. There is a lot of evidence now that seems to suggest the planet was once covered in a shallow ocean. A lot of mystery surrounds thoughts on what happened to this massive body of water. This EE proponent thinks the answer could be found in taking the EE hypothesis a little more seriously.
(Emphasis Added).

Now, please provide evidence that, as you asserted, "There is a lot of evidence now that seems to suggest the planet was once covered in a shallow ocean."
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2903  Postby LucidFlight » Dec 08, 2011 10:25 pm

Light Storm wrote:I£ of solid Iron will use the least volume. 1£ of iron liquid will use up more volume. 1£ of iron gas would use significantly more space. 1£ of iron plasma would require the most space.

Incidentally, £180 of scrap iron will weigh about 1 tonne, at current prices.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2904  Postby THWOTH » Dec 08, 2011 10:38 pm

Light Storm wrote:Re: THWOTH

The reason I kept asking Mr Adams what software he used was to illuminate the suspicion that his animation were a technical realisation of what he imagined the expanding Earth to do.......(picture of Daffy duck in there somewhere... and then something about discs, pyramids and doughnuts)


This has nothing to do with Expanding Earth Hypothesis

True, that hypothesis has failed. This was to do with Mr Adams' dishonest promotion of a set of explanations indistinguishable from fantasies, explanations in which video animation did not represent the 'modelling' of a dynamic system as inferred but were merely manufactured with the intent to mislead others into believing that certain blind assertions had material support and scientific credibility when they clearly did not.

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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2905  Postby sathearn » Dec 08, 2011 11:59 pm

Spearthrower wrote:
sathearn wrote:
I agree with Weaver's statements which precede and follow Florian's. However, Florian's questions are highly apropos of some statements that have been made on this forum (though I don't recall authorship offhand) to the effect that expanding Earth proponents must now "put up or shut up" in the wake of this study, and to others which express an uncritical attitude toward the calculated error margins. These questions are highly relevant to the question of the study's validity.


Let me slightly amend that: "expanding Earth proponents should now "put up or shut up" in the wake of this study" - there is no 'must' - people are entirely free to be stupidly wrong and to publicise it.


Amendment accepted. May I take it as an unstated corollary that they should not be asking questions about the study's validity, such as those posed by Florian?

Florian wrote:What stations did they use to make the measurement? all? a subset? what guided their choice? Is their choice adapted to measure a growth? What kind of growth do they expect? homogenous? heterogenous? by bulging? Why? Was vertical displacements separated from horizontal displacements in the data treatment? Why? What model was used to model horizontal displacement? Why? Is the methodology appropriate to measure a growth?
These are the questions you should answer before jumping to conclusions.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2906  Postby lucek » Dec 09, 2011 12:38 am

sathearn wrote:
Spearthrower wrote:
sathearn wrote:
I agree with Weaver's statements which precede and follow Florian's. However, Florian's questions are highly apropos of some statements that have been made on this forum (though I don't recall authorship offhand) to the effect that expanding Earth proponents must now "put up or shut up" in the wake of this study, and to others which express an uncritical attitude toward the calculated error margins. These questions are highly relevant to the question of the study's validity.


Let me slightly amend that: "expanding Earth proponents should now "put up or shut up" in the wake of this study" - there is no 'must' - people are entirely free to be stupidly wrong and to publicise it.


Amendment accepted. May I take it as an unstated corollary that they should not be asking questions about the study's validity, such as those posed by Florian?

Florian wrote:What stations did they use to make the measurement? all? a subset? what guided their choice? Is their choice adapted to measure a growth? What kind of growth do they expect? homogenous? heterogenous? by bulging? Why? Was vertical displacements separated from horizontal displacements in the data treatment? Why? What model was used to model horizontal displacement? Why? Is the methodology appropriate to measure a growth?
These are the questions you should answer before jumping to conclusions.

For note that is unnecessarily speculation. The data is available. If Florian is so shore that the measurements are sued by error then he can look and find it.

But to a point, let's look at the speed that earth would be growing under current continental drift. For the moment we'll just look at the South Atlantic as Africa and south america are easy to use.
African ~2.15
South American ~1.45
http://hypertextbook.com/facts/ZhenHuang.shtml so we can see a net movement of 3.6CM/yr At this point all we need do is divide by pi to get the increase in diameter that would result in the increasing circumference here. 1.15CM/yr or an error in the paper of 11,465%. Now this is a gross underestimation as we still have the proposed expansion in the Pacific and Indian oceans.

To move on however, If we assume that the .01cm/yr figure is an actual measure of expansion then we are left to see that most of continental drift (99.14%) is due to subjection.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2907  Postby Light Storm » Dec 09, 2011 1:15 am

Weaver wrote:
Light Storm wrote: ... said look it up here with a link to which you said ...

Now, please provide evidence that, as you asserted, "There is a lot of evidence now that seems to suggest the planet was once covered in a shallow ocean."


Well... theres the topographic relief maps complete with shorelines you can go read about

Image

There are also these maps that discuss sea level on mars...

Image

Where is the evidence of this massive ocean you ask...

When the rover Opportunity touched down, it was armed with some microscopes, and they landed it smack dab in the middle Meridiani Planum. Bascially where they think the ocean floor used to be. With that cool Microscope, it started snapping pictures like these.

Image

These little spherical grains are pretty big, about the size of sun flower seeds. There instruments on opportunity found traces of salts. Not surprisingly, you can find these same kinda images looking up dried up sea floors right here on Earth. Hundreads of pictures like these ones, and people of all walks of science saying dried up ocean. Why it's still a hypothesis, and not a theory... ... well... people just don't have a good explanation on where that water went. They got some ideas... good ones... my favourite is it all went into space (joke)

I prefer the possibility if EE was introduced as a new way of speculating ideas... much simpler explanations for everything about the clear empirical observations of expansion to what happened to the ocean water.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2908  Postby Weaver » Dec 09, 2011 1:43 am

Still cannot bring yourself to admit when you're wrong, can you?

"There is a lot of evidence now that seems to suggest the planet was once covered in a shallow ocean."


You didn't say that there was an ocean on Mars, or some oceans on Mars, or even that much of the Northern Hemisphere was once covered by an ocean. You said "the planet" - but the whole planet was NEVER covered by a shallow ocean, was it???

I am well aware of the REAL science about Mars - the presumed shorelines, the geologic evidence, and the things you like to handwave away like erosion features such as the Valles Marineris. NONE of it supports an expanding - or a growing, or an inflating, or any other adjective - planet hypothesis.

Just admit you were wrong. Just once.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2909  Postby ginckgo » Dec 09, 2011 3:03 am

Light Storm wrote:Solid Material being the most dense with tightly packed molecules. I£ of solid Iron will use the least volume. 1£ of iron liquid will use up more volume. 1£ of iron gas would use significantly more space. 1£ of iron plasma would require the most space.

I'm using Iron as an example, as it's speculated to be one of the primary ingredients of the Earth Cores. As you get closer towards the Earth Center, you are subjecting this material to increasing pressures and stress. I've read about tests on Iron done in controlled labs up to 20GPa and 2000k to get a better understanding of the effects on Fe(iron). The results have shown an increase in vibration measured as sound. With increasing pressure, The molecules heat up and transform into new structures to allow increasing density. In short, the rules are pretty much reversed down inside the earth at extremely high pressures. Solid matter can not handle the threshold of the pressure, and the molecules transfer between atomic packing factors until they are in a liquid state, and then use less volume, with increased density.


So how come the inner core is considered solid, while the outer core is liquid, if supposedly the liquid state is denser? I don't think it's the heat that caused the increased density, but rather the pressure.

i also don't think it is correct when it comes to the mantle. If indeed the solid crystal were less dense than the magma it came from, then we wouldn't see the fractional crystallisation structures that are observed in batholiths that used to be magma chambers, i.e. crystals sink to the bottom while magma rises, sometimes erupting. They certainly point to hot

Light Storm wrote:Estimates vary but seems the further you go down, obviously more dense the materials get
Continental Crust: 2.7 to 3.0
Oceanic Crust: 3.0 to 3.3
Mantle (silicates): 3.3 to 5.7 (increasing with depth?)
Outer Core (liquid): 9.9 to 12.2
Inner Core (solid): 12.6 to 13.0


This is also partly due to the type of minerals that are dominant at depth

Image

Light Storm wrote:Speculation: There is still a lot of speculation and ideas on why the Earth is broken up into all these layers. My idea is that Proto Earth was significantly more dense with a molten surface. As the outer surface cooled, the molecules lost density. As the Earth continues to cool over geological time, the entire planet is transforming from a super dense, to less dense state. As the Mantle transforms into oceanic crust for example, it looses density increasing in volume.


You're again ignoring mineralogy when you speculate about changing densities (I'm too lazy to write myself, so here's someone else):

    "The midocean ridges migrate over the Earth like Roombas, extracting the basaltic component from the mantle as they go. What that means has to do with rock chemistry. Basaltic rocks contain more silicon and aluminum than the peridotite left behind, which has more iron and magnesium. Basaltic rocks are less dense. In terms of minerals, basalt has more feldspar and amphibole, less olivine and pyroxene, than peridotite. In geologist's shorthand, oceanic crust is mafic while oceanic mantle is ultramafic.

    Oceanic crust, being so thin, is a very small fraction of the Earth—about 0.1 percent—but its life cycle serves to refine the rocks of the upper mantle into new rocks with a lighter blend of elements. It also extracts the so-called incompatible elements, which don't fit into mantle minerals and move into the liquid melt. These in turn move into the continental crust as plate tectonics proceeds. "

A magmatic earth was denser overall because there hadn't been a lot of fractionation yet. But after some of the crust had formed by cooling and fractionation, you start getting this layering, which is when proto-PT could start.

Light Storm wrote:What if the Inner Core Froze Like Water Into Ice. A solid state would not allow that kind of density, and it might very well expand to allow the density to drop to a solid state. Imagine the entire Earth at a Density of the surface, it would need several times the volume. At that point, I think the inner structure of a planet would look more like our moons.


Water is unique in that it's solid state is less dense than the liquid form at a similar temperature - I hope you're not implying that other materials all work that way?
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2910  Postby lucek » Dec 09, 2011 3:39 am

ginckgo wrote:Water is unique in that it's solid state is less dense than the liquid form at a similar temperature - I hope you're not implying that other materials all work that way?

Fun fact water isn't the only compound that expands as it is cooled.
Other substances that expand on freezing are silicon, gallium, germanium, antimony, bismuth, plutonium and other compounds that form spacious crystal lattices with tetrahedral coordination.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Properties_of_water
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2911  Postby Light Storm » Dec 09, 2011 4:22 am

ginckgo wrote:So how come the inner core is considered solid, while the outer core is liquid, if supposedly the liquid state is denser? I don't think it's the heat that caused the increased density, but rather the pressure.


Our knowledge of the Inner Core comes exclusively from Seismic Readings only. We know that it's bouncing waves back like that of a fully solidified object and so the best educated guess is that it is solid. Some people have presented ideas that it may even be a pure crystal element. Personally, I think anything that has a similar temperature to the surface of the sun has got to have 'some' form a movement to it. I think the molecules are simply so tightly packed that they are at maximum allowable density and appear solid in the readings.

Speculation: I think if someone invented a transporter, and decided to grab a core sample and beamed it to the surface. The resulting release of energy would put a hole in the world.

If indeed the solid crystal were less dense than the magma it came from, then we wouldn't see the fractional crystallisation structures that are observed in batholiths that used to be magma chambers, i.e. crystals sink to the bottom while magma rises, sometimes erupting. They certainly point to hot


Speculative Question: Look at it from this persecutive. Do you think the Density of proto-earth crust was the same as todays cooled Crust?

Water is unique in that it's solid state is less dense than the liquid form at a similar temperature - I hope you're not implying that other materials all work that way?


Look at it from this perspective

Q: If I could teleport anywhere, I would appear at the bottom the Mariana Trench. I fill a 1 litre container with water. I re-appear at the surface. What happens to the density/volume of the water?
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2912  Postby Spearthrower » Dec 09, 2011 4:27 am

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-16082935

Nasa's Mars rover Opportunity has found slivers of a bright material that looks very much like it is gypsum (calcium sulphate)...

"This stuff formed right here. There was a fracture in the rock, water flowed through it, gypsum was precipitated from the water. End of story. There's no ambiguity."
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2913  Postby sathearn » Dec 09, 2011 4:58 am

lucek wrote:
sathearn wrote:<snip>

I agree with Weaver's statements which precede and follow Florian's. However, Florian's questions are highly apropos of some statements that have been made on this forum (though I don't recall authorship offhand) to the effect that expanding Earth proponents must now "put up or shut up" in the wake of this study, and to others which express an uncritical attitude toward the calculated error margins. These questions are highly relevant to the question of the study's validity.

You may want to review that. We had special pleading from the proponents that an error bar could meant that there is expansion.

But here's the thing. if we grant you the 0.1MM/years you still have problems. If the earth radius is increasing by .1 MM/year then the circumfrance is increaseing by ~1/3MM/year. However we observe continents moving faster then that by an order of magnitude. So basically if that's the case then subduction is the dominant mover of plates. And again if that's the case then the pretty lines Maxlow and Adams draw are completely wrong.


Yes, that's right. According to the study's conclusions expansion of > 0.1 mm/yr is excluded. But if you grant for argument's sake that it could be expanding at 0.1 mm/yr due to the remaining uncertainty, this rate of expansion would be nowhere near enough to be of any use to the hypothesis that the growth of oceanic crust reflects the expansion of the Earth.

However, a point I would like to make is that the calculated level of uncertainty of 0.2 mm/yr - this level of precision - depends on the validity of all the assumptions used in processing and analyzing the raw data. In this area, with its high level of complexity, and with, for example, separate agencies in charge of the data pertaining to each of the various techniques, and with a twenty-five year legacy in which a static radius assumption went basically unquestioned while these sophisticated techniques for processing and analysis were being refined, a real potential exists for spurious results, despite the best intentions of the researchers involved.

Another point is that plate tectonic interpretation of space geodetic results have been criticized at length by expansion proponents, who have also cited various published results which according to them provide indirect indications favoring an expansion interpretation. These were not mentioned in the Wu et al. study. Therefore it can hardly be clear that they have been satisfactorily addressed.

The Russian seismologist, Yury V. Chudinov, for example, devotes a lengthy chapter to the subject of space geodesy in his second English language book (The Eduction Concept of the Earth's Expansion Theory: Main Grounds, Paleomagnetic and Geodetic Evidences, Metallogenic Consequences, VSP-Brill, 2001, pp. 82-133). There are a number of specific indeterminacies which the raw data is subject to, beyond technical issues like atmospheric correction. But one of them in particular is commonly cited in the literature of expansion proponents: that of "fictitious contractions." A clear introduction to the issue is given by S. Warren Carey as follows (Theories of the Earth and Universe, Stanford, 1988, p. 171):

Still another trap confuses the interpretation of NASA measurements in relation to radius change. Whenever new crust 100 km wide is inserted at a spreading ridge, the angle subtended at the center of the earth by each degree around the great circle is reduced by 9 seconds to accommodate the added segment. As all NASA chord measurements ultimately involve the angle subtended by that chord at the center, any continental block or stabilized oceanic crust will appear to shorten if constant radius is assumed.

Consider the great circle through Tokyo, Hawaii, and the All-American Observatory in Peru. Nearly 8000 km of new crust has been inserted in the Peru-Hawaii segment during the last 100 million years, and the East Pacific rise is still spreading, whereas no new crust has been inserted between Honolulu and Tokyo in that time. According to the above rate of expansion, the great circle has increased by 17,600 +- 5000 km whereas the Honolulu-Tokyo segment of this great circle has remained constant in length, which means that the angle subtended by this arc at the earth's center has nearly halved. Hence if the analysis of the NASA measurements of this arc assumed constant radius, the Hawaii-Tokyo distance would appear to be shortening by about 6 cm per year although in fact the distance had not altered.


And for a geometrical illustration, here's Figure 29 from Chudinov's book:Image

What the figure illustrates with reference to the SLR technique is the indeterminacy between baseline shortening on a fixed radius Earth and and static baseline distance on an expanding Earth. It also illustrates how a real shortening can be exaggerated, and how real lengthenings can appear as a small shortenings or underestimated lengthenings, if the Earth has in fact expanded and this is not taken into account in the analysis.

In the Hawaii-Japan case, given above, the data can be interpreted either way, but expansionists cite other examples in which independent geological information renders the results (apparent shortenings or the like) implausible, and thus, they suggest, favors an expansion interpretation. Cases cited include apparent shortenings of stable North America (east of Rockies) and stable Australia, lengthenings of baselines across the Atlantic which are far slower than those estimated on the basis of the oceanic geology, or sometimes actually negative, i.e. apparent contractions, and the Europe-Japan distance, for which results have consistently been obtained showing apparent shortenings, even though the baselines cross the extensional West Siberian Lowlands and the Japan Sea.

Here's Chudinov (p. 127):
The plate tectonics idea of regarding Eurasia together with half of the Atlantic Ocean as a single plate demands that distances within this plate be kept constant, including distances between the space geodetic tracking stations of Europe and Japan. However, according to the literature, space geodetic observations always indicate a significant shortening of this distance. For example, according to Biancale et al. (1990) this shortening for 5 different stations in Europe and Simosato station in Japan equals 15-36 and 12-36 mm/year according to variants of calculations 'c' and 'd', respectively (in four cases of both variants it is 28-36 mm/year). According to Smith et al. (1990) it gave from 28 to 36 mm/year, and according to Reigber et al. (1991) from 16 to 22 mm/year. As already mentioned, there are no geological data about recent longitudinal contraction in the Central and Northern parts of Eurasia.


In a related case, Paul Lowman (who is no expansionist) notes (Exploring Space, Exploring Earth, Cambridge, 2002, p. 55):
Three baselines (Smith et al., 1994) between western Europe and Shanghai for several years indicate consistent decreases of about one centimeter per year, despite eastward movement of China implied by the "escape tectonics" theory of Molnar and Tapponier (1975).


Returning to Chudinov, he then cites grounds for thinking that this distance may actually be lengthening (West Siberian Lowlands and Japan Sea, again), and calculates that 25 mm/year of apparent contraction along this arc would translate, if the distance is actually stable, to about 16 mm/year of Earth radius increase. If the distance is actually lengthening, then the corresponding increase in radius would be greater.

I wish to close with an important conceptual point regarding supposed levels of precision, and I really hope that it will be understood. We have just seen that values for apparent shortening of Eurasia have been obtained in the range of 12-36 mm/year. The fact that such measurements of apparent shortening have been repeatedly obtained is important to the argument: it means that this result is not a fluke. In broad qualitative terms, such repetition increases confidence in the result, just as would an increase in calculated level of precision. But "the result" itself is ambiguous, being consistent with either a real shortening or a merely apparent shortening which results from a corresponding increment in Earth radius. So suppose we now increase the precision of this measured shortening of Eurasia to 25.0 mm/yr +-1.0 or +-0.1 or +-0.001. It makes no difference. The question would remain whether this apparent shortening is real.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2914  Postby sathearn » Dec 09, 2011 5:23 am

lucek wrote:
For note that is unnecessarily speculation. The data is available. If Florian is so shore that the measurements are sued by error then he can look and find it.

But to a point, let's look at the speed that earth would be growing under current continental drift. For the moment we'll just look at the South Atlantic as Africa and south america are easy to use.
African ~2.15
South American ~1.45
http://hypertextbook.com/facts/ZhenHuang.shtml so we can see a net movement of 3.6CM/yr At this point all we need do is divide by pi to get the increase in diameter that would result in the increasing circumference here. 1.15CM/yr or an error in the paper of 11,465%. Now this is a gross underestimation as we still have the proposed expansion in the Pacific and Indian oceans.

To move on however, If we assume that the .01cm/yr figure is an actual measure of expansion then we are left to see that most of continental drift (99.14%) is due to subjection.


Thanks for the calculations, which bear out the point you made previously and which I accept. However, I think there are rational grounds for skepticism toward the data in its published form, and toward the real significance of the supposed error margins, and the post I have just submitted gives some of my reasons why.

I still wonder whether Spearthrower thinks the study's findings should be uncritically accepted, and whether he thinks questions like the ones Florian posed should not be asked.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2915  Postby Light Storm » Dec 09, 2011 5:36 am

Re: Sathearn

Thank you for raising doubt in Wu's findings. If I could write a review on the paper, the paper seemed to focus on 'is the earth expanding right now' and made no comments about the past 60 million years, and made no predictions for the next 60 million years. They only make the comment that the rate of expansion is so insignificant, it may as well be zero. If the earth was only expanding by the width of a human hair... it would be significant over millions of years. So to say 'it sorta, kinda is expanding but not really' seems like a very politically determined conclusion. I also see they only referred to Carey for references to Expanding Earth Hypothesis. Why not any of todays proponents, like Maxlow. I would be in favour Maxlow being involved in a study like that so that they can say they brought in the worlds leader in Earth Expansion to work with.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2916  Postby ginckgo » Dec 09, 2011 5:41 am

Light Storm wrote: If the earth was only expanding by the width of a human hair... it would be significant over millions of years.


Really? Was there an error in my back-of-the-envelope calculations then?

ginckgo wrote:0.1mm change in radius would be 1km per 10 million years. That's 20 km in the past 200 million years.

mean Earth radius at present is 6,371km (surface area = 4*pi*R2 = 510,100,000km2), which would make the 200Ma radius 6351km (506,900,000km2) - a difference of 3,200,000km2, or just over 0.6%. Still not going to significantly affect any continental scale things.

Remember that Maxlow think that 22mm/year is necessary for his conclusions (and he's being held up as the most credible EE geologist on this), and that should have shown up on the satellite measurements.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2917  Postby ginckgo » Dec 09, 2011 5:43 am

lucek wrote:
ginckgo wrote:Water is unique in that it's solid state is less dense than the liquid form at a similar temperature - I hope you're not implying that other materials all work that way?

Fun fact water isn't the only compound that expands as it is cooled.
Other substances that expand on freezing are silicon, gallium, germanium, antimony, bismuth, plutonium and other compounds that form spacious crystal lattices with tetrahedral coordination.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Properties_of_water


Sonofabitch! I think I learned that a long time ago in undergrad, but completely forgot. Thanks. There has always been the possibility that phase changes in minerals inside the earth have some volume changing effect, but from all I've heard it's fairly minor overall. How much is the difference between liquid and crystal silicon dioxide?
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2918  Postby lucek » Dec 09, 2011 5:59 am

sathearn wrote:...However, a point I would like to make is that the calculated level of uncertainty of 0.2 mm/yr - this level of precision - depends on the validity of all the assumptions used in processing and analyzing the raw data. In this area, with its high level of complexity, and with, for example, separate agencies in charge of the data pertaining to each of the various techniques, and with a twenty-five year legacy in which a static radius assumption went basically unquestioned while these sophisticated techniques for processing and analysis were being refined, a real potential exists for spurious results, despite the best intentions of the researchers involved...

You seem to have missed the point of my post. You can speculate on if the study is in error or you can attempt to find an error. However you still have to contend with my calculation. Any error you find would still have to be 2 orders of magnitude larger then the calculated error bars for the paper to support EE. The blind assertion that they scientist may have made a massive error and nobody caught it only can get you so far, and that point is were I tell you to look for it. An error in the range of centimeters per year shouldn't be hard to spot.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2919  Postby lucek » Dec 09, 2011 6:09 am

Light Storm wrote:Re: Sathearn

Thank you for raising doubt in Wu's findings. If I could write a review on the paper, the paper seemed to focus on 'is the earth expanding right now' and made no comments about the past 60 million years, and made no predictions for the next 60 million years. They only make the comment that the rate of expansion is so insignificant, it may as well be zero. If the earth was only expanding by the width of a human hair... it would be significant over millions of years. So to say 'it sorta, kinda is expanding but not really' seems like a very politically determined conclusion. I also see they only referred to Carey for references to Expanding Earth Hypothesis. Why not any of todays proponents, like Maxlow. I would be in favour Maxlow being involved in a study like that so that they can say they brought in the worlds leader in Earth Expansion to work with.

OK so when evidence goes against you're hobby horse, make it unfalsifiable. Literally that's what you just did. Any time we can prove that the earth wasn't expanding was a downtime and it expanded when ever we weren't looking. K. I'm out.
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Re: Expanding earth. Do the continents wind back to a sphere

#2920  Postby ginckgo » Dec 09, 2011 6:11 am

Light Storm wrote:
ginckgo wrote:So how come the inner core is considered solid, while the outer core is liquid, if supposedly the liquid state is denser? I don't think it's the heat that caused the increased density, but rather the pressure.


Our knowledge of the Inner Core comes exclusively from Seismic Readings only. We know that it's bouncing waves back like that of a fully solidified object and so the best educated guess is that it is solid. Some people have presented ideas that it may even be a pure crystal element. Personally, I think anything that has a similar temperature to the surface of the sun has got to have 'some' form a movement to it. I think the molecules are simply so tightly packed that they are at maximum allowable density and appear solid in the readings.


One difference is the pressure at the sun's surface as opposed to the Earth's inner core.

Light Storm wrote:
If indeed the solid crystal were less dense than the magma it came from, then we wouldn't see the fractional crystallisation structures that are observed in batholiths that used to be magma chambers, i.e. crystals sink to the bottom while magma rises, sometimes erupting. They certainly point to hot


Speculative Question: Look at it from this persecutive. Do you think the Density of proto-earth crust was the same as todays cooled Crust?


Depends on what time period you mean. Probably not during the Hadean, as the differentiation was still ongoing, but it may have been similar to modern sea floor.

Light Storm wrote:
Water is unique in that it's solid state is less dense than the liquid form at a similar temperature - I hope you're not implying that other materials all work that way?


Look at it from this perspective

Q: If I could teleport anywhere, I would appear at the bottom the Mariana Trench. I fill a 1 litre container with water. I re-appear at the surface. What happens to the density/volume of the water?


Apart from the fact that water reaches its maximum density at a bout 1km depth, it would increase in volume to about 1.003 litres. However I'm getting the impression you're saying that under pressure the reverse should happen. Indeed there is a phase change of eg quartz where it changes from alpha to beta form, and a concomitant decrease in density, but this is temperature related.
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