Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

Logic applied

Incl. intelligent design, belief in divine creation

Moderators: kiore, Blip, The_Metatron

Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#521  Postby Calilasseia » Dec 11, 2011 1:12 am

This addressing of canards requires a two part post. Welcome to Part 1.

Atheistoclast wrote:
Rumraket wrote:
Bullshit, your tenure on all the various skeptics forums and science blogs betrays a committed doctrinalist. You completely ignore valid rebuttals and intentionally misrepresent the science of of developmental biology (cell-cell signaling and gene-regulatory networks), evolution (with your "degenerative" horseshit and information theory canards). It reeks of doctrinal commitment and a fear of the progess of science. You're fooling noone.


Lol. I am only reporting what other scientists have mentioned:

1) Development is primarily epigenetic, and gene regulatory networks don't determine specific morphological structures.
2) Many instances of adaptation are degenerative in terms of their effect on functionality.
3) Natural selection has no capacity to generate biochemical information.


[3] above is manifestly wrong. Thomas D. Schneider, and every author of papers involving the harnessing of evolutionary processes in vitro would like a word with you. Assuming of course that when they're done, you'll actually learn from their work, instead of trying to twist it to fit your apologetics.

Atheistoclast wrote:I am not afraid of scientific progress.


So why do you spend so much of your time trying to achieve hegemony for a manifestly anti-science doctrine? Or trying to peddle the absurdity that "Magic Man did it" is anything other than the elevation of ignorance to the level of a metaphysic?

Atheistoclast wrote: I am frustrated at the slow pace of science.


Bollocks. What you're really frustrated at, is the fact that scientists don't treat creationist made up shit as fact, primarily because they've found that creationist assertions are made up shit, all too frequently backed up by manifest lies about valid evolutionary science.

Atheistoclast wrote:I know Darwinism will collapse, largely due to its own internal contradictions


Poppycock. Darwin's original postulates with respect to evolutionary change still largely hold, and are being applied in the laboratory to perform useful work. Not that you've bothered to read the actual science with respect to this, being interested in scientific papers only so you can twist them to fit your apologetics, as has been demonstrated on numerous past occasions on numerous rationalist fora.

Plus, why are you using Marxist language here? I thought Marxism was something you considered, within your apologetics, to be a "product" of evolutionary thinking, despite the evidence to the contrary.

Atheistoclast wrote:but realize it will take longer than I am comfortable with.


Oh it's that longest running creationist lie of them all, the imminent "demise" of evolution.

Atheistoclast wrote:The last 30 years have been a revelation though.


Yes, they've revealed just how much professional liars for creationist doctrine are full of shit.

Atheistoclast wrote:Moreover, the publication of my own scientific papers are accelerating the process.


And this wet dream of yours has what connection to reality again?

Only your worthless "paper" was never published in a real scientific journal. One of the rejection letters you reeceived therefrom has entered the public domain, and has been presented in full earlier in this thread, demonstrating that your knowledge of basic biology is inferior to that of a secondary school student. I gather a number of real scientists over at TalkRational had fun feeding your drivel into the shredder.

Atheistoclast wrote:I am very excited.


If only you knew the resonances the above statement has here ... comedy gold once more.

Atheistoclast wrote:
No you don't, you don't even really believe this bullshit yourself. You really want to, but you can't because It's all a smokescreen, and your only motivation is your fear of having to own up to the inevitable conclusions of the advancements of science. Everything you do testifies to this. Your silly Hitler/Nazi canards, the attacks on scientific institutions("money is driving evolutionism", as if being a biologist was a great way to get rich :lol: ). You're knowingly peddling manifest falsehoods and misrepresentations.


I realize how many people are uneasy with the fact that the universe did not invent itself


As opposed to the unease on the part of supernaturalists, that their magic man wasn't a part of fundamental cosmological processes, as determined by real scientists? Not to mention the fact that many of those same real scientists have flushed down the toilet, every blind mythological assertion erected by semi-literate, superstituous, pre-scientific humans, including those erected by the backward bunch of piss-stained nomads reponsible for your favourite mythology. Must be really unsatisfying for creationists, believing in a doctrine that has been demonstrated to be complete horseshit time and time again.

Oh, and once again, learn the meaning of testable natural processes before peddling more embarrasing insights into your ignorance of real science.

Atheistoclast wrote:and life did not emerge from a primordial soup


The evidence says otherwise. Not that you've actually read or understood that evidence, all you've ever done with it is play duplicitous apologetics with it. One thing we do know, is that we aren't the product of a cheap conjuring trick with some dirt, courtesy of a magic man waving his magic todger and going "abracadabra".

Atheistoclast wrote:(i.e the pantheistic creed of ancient pagan religions)


This is such manifest bollocks, that it is beneath deserving of a point of view.

Ancient pagan religions have their own collections of magic entities, none of which bear any relation to modern scientific concepts of abiogenesis. Do try and bring some actual real world facts to the table for a change, instead of your usual made up shit.

Atheistoclast wrote:but science is inexorably showing that the universe does require a cause for its existence that is extraneous to its own nature.


Actually, science is demonstrating once again that testable natural processes are capable of fulfilling the task. No magic needed, and no magic man needed either. Dream on.

Atheistoclast wrote:It also shows that the complexity used to advance the idea of a "telelogy" and designing agency is far more than Paley and co could have even dreamed of.


Poppycock. Biologists knew back in 1918 that this assertion of yours, and the assertions of Behe connected thereto, are complete horseshit. There is no teleology, it's a fantasy that supernaturalists keep clinging to, because the consequences of abandoning it are too terrifying for them to contemplate.

Atheistoclast wrote:And, yes, money (and corruption) is at the heart of modern science.


Oh look ... if all else fails, erect defamatory slurs.

Atheistoclast wrote:Evolution is big business.


And why is research and development money being spent on evolutionary science? Oh, that's right, unlike creationist bullshit, evolutionary processes WORK.

Atheistoclast wrote:
Another intentional misrepresentation. Another total lie. You know physics successfully explains the behavior of matter, so in order to persist in delusion you are forced to deny it's conclusions. You misrepresent the physics of thermodynamics and chemistry at every opportunity, being forced to deny all the various fields of "materialist science" because you know they all supports each other.


I know there are physical laws that determine the behavior of matter. I just don't know the origin of these laws and forces (like gravity).


So why do you keep trying to tell us a magic man was responsible?

Atheistoclast wrote:I certainly don't know the origin of the physical constants that fine-tune the universe for order and life.


Oh no, not Douglas Adams' Puddle once more. You have it backwards. We are here because the laws of physics permitted our existence, and the relevant, physcially permitted historical events took place. That is it. Suck on it.

Atheistoclast wrote:But I think I know who might be responsible for all this.


HA HA HA HA HA HA!

Once again, it's typical supernaturalist hubris - "I know more than the world's Nobel Laureates, because I think my magic man is real". This is beneath deserving of a point of view.

Atheistoclast wrote:
monkeyboy wrote:
Atheistoclast wrote:
The paradox is that without consciousness there would be no matter since there would be nobody to sense it! This is the argument of idealist philosophy. It was the Buddha who said that the universe exists in the mind and nowhere else.

And if a bear shits in the woods and there is nobody there to see it or smell it, does that mean that there isn't a large pile of excrement out there to avoid stepping in?
This philosophical navel gazing is ok for passing an evening with a couple of mates over a herbal cigarette or two but in the end it amounts to nothing but a whole load of hot air.
If you needs consciousness for reality to exist, don't try sleeping on a cliff top, you might roll off and meet reality at the bottom without ever waking up to realise what a mistake you have made on this issue.


The smelly bear poop only exists when people sense its smelly presence. It does not exist except in the conscious mind of the person sensing it. Remember that it is your mind that generates the world around you.


Complete bollocks plain and simple. Here's a clue for you. Entities in the real world exist regardless of whether or not you're around to perceive them. To think otherwise requires, amongst other things, wholesale violations of relativistic restrictions on causality. I'll let you work out why this is the case.

Meanwhile, someone else has dealt with some of your other blather, so I'll simply quote the relevant post:

Spearthrower wrote:
Atheistoclast wrote:
Darwinism is not the same thing as Evolutionism.


Oh! But I've seen you claim that evolutionism is also primed to collapse... and materialist biology, and methodological naturalism, and....

Basically it's a pet-hate list, isn't it Atheistoclast? You really do project your internal states out onto the world: thus sciences you don't like will fall, external reality only exists in so much as its internal representation, and a human-like god made stuff because you can't see how it could have arisen without agency.

Solipsism is just not a healthy mind-state, and it sure as hell doesn't fit into a scientific paradigm!


Any further comment from myself or others with respect to this matter is now entirely superfluous.

Moving on ...

Atheistoclast wrote:
Rumraket wrote:Ahh, argument by strawman, your favorite apologetic trick. Pretend the opposition is making a specific claim(in this case, that "gene regulatory networks determine specific morphological structures"), then attack it, wait for someone to try and defend it and produce a silly little quotemine in support of your original claim.

Here's what you need to do:
Produce, by citation of peer reviewed literature, a consensus by scientists that developmental biology does not (and can not) explain morphology.

Here's what you can't do:
Exactly that.

As a corollary, here's what happened:
You lost.


I have authored and submitted a paper on this very subject. It is currently under review.


Let me guess ... submitted to another economics journal?

Atheistoclast wrote:It should come out in the next few months - be patient.


If it's as full of shit as your other paper that's been passed around rationalist fora for some time, I won't bother.

Atheistoclast wrote:
Except that they constitute adaptations and thus the "degenerative" bullshit is simply a rethorical trick. The evolution of whale flippers was a degeneration of legs. Another useless strawman argument. :whistle:


No. The point is that many adaptations, such as the loss of the pelvic spines and armor on freshwater stickleback fish (which prevent them from being grabbed by dragonflies living at the bottom of lakes) are degenerative and thus show how selection promotes functional loss in many instances.


Except that in the case of sticklebacks, some regained that "lost function". Which flushes your duplicitous apologetic misrepresentation of the effects of selection down the toilet. Here's a relevant paper:

Reverse Evolution Of Armour Plates In The Threespine Stickleback by Jun Kitano, Daniel L. Bolnick, David A. Beauchamp, Michael M. Mazur, Seichi Mori, Takanori Nakano and Catherine L. Peichel, Current Biology, 18: 769-774 (20th May 2008) [Full paper downloadable from here]

Kitano et al, 2008 wrote:Summary

Faced with sudden environmental changes, animals must either adapt to novel environments or go extinct. Thus, study of the mechanisms underlying rapid adaptation is crucial not only for the understanding of natural evolutionary processes but also for the understanding of human-induced evolutionary change, which is an increasingly important problem [1–8]. In the present study, we demonstrate that the frequency of completely plated threespine stickleback fish (Gasterosteus aculeatus) has increased in an urban freshwater lake (Lake Washington, Seattle, Washington) within the last 40 years. This is a dramatic example of ‘‘reverse evolution,’’ [9] because the general evolutionary trajectory is toward armor-plate reduction in freshwater sticklebacks [10]. On the basis of our genetic studies and simulations, we propose that the most likely cause of reverse evolution is increased selection for the completely plated morph, which we suggest could result from higher levels of trout predation after a sudden increase in water transparency during the early 1970s. Rapid evolution was facilitated by the existence of standing allelic variation in Ectodysplasin (Eda), the gene that underlies the major platemorph locus [11]. The Lake Washington stickleback thus provides a novel example of reverse evolution, which is probably caused by a change in allele frequency at the major plate locus in response to a changing predation regime.


From the paper in detail, we have:

Kitano et al, 2008 wrote:Results and Discussion

Reverse Evolution of Armor Plates in Lake Washington Sticklebacks

The threespine stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus) provides a good model system for elucidation of the ecological and genetic mechanisms underlying phenotypic evolution [12, 13]. One dramatic and prevalent phenotypic change in these fish is the reduction of armor plates, which cover the lateral body surface, that occurred repeatedly after freshwater colonization 12,000 years ago [10]. Whereas ancestral marine sticklebacks typically have a continuous row of lateral plates (completely plated morph), freshwater sticklebacks usually have a reduction in lateral plates resulting in a gap in the middle part of the plate row (partially plated morph) or a loss of both the middle and posterior plates (low-plated morph). The major gene responsible for reduction of the stickleback lateral plates across the world is Ectodysplasin (Eda) [11]. There are two major alleles of Eda found in stickleback populations, and they are here referred to as the complete allele and the low allele. Most marine sticklebacks are homozygous for the complete allele, although marine sticklebacks that are heterozygous carriers of the low allele are found at a low frequency [11]. It is proposed that when marine sticklebacks colonize freshwater environments, strong selection results in an increase in the frequency of the low Eda allele, leading to the prevalence of low-plated fish in freshwater.

In contrast to the prevalence of the low-plated morph in many freshwater environments [10, 11], we found a high frequency of completely plated sticklebacks in Lake Washington, an urban freshwater lake in Seattle [14–16]. In 2005, we found that all three lateral-plate morphs were present, with 49% completely plated morphs, 35% partially plated morphs, and 16% low-plated morphs (Figures 1A and 2C). Although a previous study had also shown that all three morphs were present in Lake Washington in 1968–1969, only 6% were classified as completely plated morphs (Figure 1A) [17]. Instead, the low-plated morph, with a mode of seven plates, was the most common morph until the late 1960s (Figures 1B and 1C). In 1976, bimodal peaks appeared, one corresponding to fish with seven plates and another corresponding to fish with 32 plates (Figure 1C) [18]. The frequency of fish with 33 plates was even higher in the 2005 sample (Figure 1C). The increase in completely plated fish in the 2005 sample did not reflect bias in the sampling methods (n = 322, χ2 = 6.6949, d.f. = 4, p = 0.1529) or in the seasonal (Figure S1, available online) or geographical (Figure 2C) distribution of differently plated sticklebacks. These data demonstrate that the frequency of plate-morph phenotypes has changed dramatically in Lake Washington within the past 40 years, which is equivalent to 40 generations in this stickleback population [18].

Genotyping of the 2005 samples at the Eda locus revealed a strong association between plate phenotype and Eda genotype in Lake Washington (n = 196, χ2 = 227.0, d.f. = 4, p < 10247) (Figure S2, Table S1). By ANOVA, the Eda genotype explains 75.2% of the variance in plate number in the Lake Washington stickleback. This is close to the percentage of phenotypic variance in plate number explained by the Eda locus in laboratory crosses (76.9%) [19]. Thus, the increase in the completely plated phenotype in Lake Washington is probably the result of an increase in the frequency of the Eda complete allele, given the previously established link between plate phenotype and Eda genotype in stickleback populations across the world [11].

Gene Flow is Not the Primary Cause of Armor-Plate Evolution in Lake Washington Sticklebacks

Most marine sticklebacks in Puget Sound are completely plated (Figure 2C), with high frequencies of the complete Eda allele (Figure 2D). Because marine sticklebacks can now migrate into the lake through the Lake Washington Ship Canal (Figure 2B and Figure S3), which was built in 1917 [14], an increase in migration might have contributed to the increase of lateral plates in the Lake Washington stickleback. In order to test this hypothesis, we collected sticklebacks in neighboring marine environments (Puget Sound), in multiple points in Lake Washington, and in neighboring streams (Figure 2) and genotyped them with 15 microsatellite markers (Table S2). Genetic data were then analyzed with the Bayesian-clustering software STRUCTURE [20]. Within the marine, lake, and stream fish that were genotyped, the most probable number of genetic clusters (K) was three (Figure S4). Estimation of ancestry for each individual revealed that the sticklebacks in Lake Washington have two main genetic sources (Figure 2E). Sticklebacks sampled from areas near the ship canal were genetically similar to marine sticklebacks (indicated with green in Figure 2E), whereas those sampled from areas close to the streams were more similar to neighboring stream sticklebacks (indicated with blue in Figure 2E). However, there was no significant correlation between probability of marine ancestry and plate number (Pearson correlation r = 0.005, p = 0.967) (Figure S5). Multidimensional scaling of the genetic-distance matrix also confirmed the lack of association between genotypes at neutral loci and plate number (Figure S6). Thus, the increase in armor plates in Lake Washington sticklebacks does not result simply from the presence of marine sticklebacks in the lake.

It might be still possible that an increase in long-term migration from Puget Sound has contributed to the overall increase in the completely plated morph in the lake. To test this possibility, we first estimated migration rates (m; fraction of migrants per generation) from the genetic data and then examined whether the empirically estimated m can explain the observed plate evolution. We used both Isolation with Migration (IM) and LAMARC software [21–23] to estimate the m between a Lake Washington population and a Puget Sound marine population (Table S3). The m of Puget Sound sticklebacks into Lake Washington was estimated as 3.03 × 10-4 (IM) or 1.77 × 10-3 (LAMARC), whereas the m of Lake Washington sticklebacks into Puget Sound was estimated as 6.43 × 10-4 (IM) or 1.20 × 10-3 (LAMARC). Then, we developed deterministic numerical simulations to calculate the m required for the observed change of plate phenotype under different selection regimes (Figure S7). In the absence of selection (s = 0), migration would need to be 0.148 to explain the observed change from 1969 to 1976 and 0.035 to explain the observed change from 1969 to 2005. These values are inconsistent with our low (m < 10-3) migration-rate estimates, suggesting that there was a period of selection that favored the completely plated morph in Lake Washington.

Changes in Selection Regime in Lake Washington

By using the empirically estimated values of m, we found that a selection coefficient s (strength of selection for the completely plated morph) of 0.58–0.72 (Table 1) can explain the evolutionary shift from 1969 to 1976 (from 6% completely plated morphs to 40.2% completely plated morphs) (Figure 1A). This suggests that the complete morph had 58%–72% greater fitness than that of the low-plated morph during this period. To explain the transition between 1976 and 2005 (from 40.2% completely plated morphs to 49% completely plated morphs), an s of 0.01–0.03 is required (Table 1). We thus conclude that there was a period of very intense selection for the completely plated morph between 1970 and 1976, followed by a persistent low-level fitness advantage (1%–3%) of the completely plated morph over the low-plated morph.

One of the dramatic ecological changes that occurred in Lake Washington during the early 1970s is increased water transparency as a result of the mitigation of eutrophication in the late 1960s. Water transparency in the lake was 1–2 m Secchi depth (the maximum depth at which a white Secchi disk is visible from the water surface) during 1955–1971, and it increased to 3.4 m in 1973 and then to 6–7 m from 1976 to the present [14, 15]. Previous behavioral experiments have demonstrated that an increase in water transparency significantly increases the reaction distance of visual predators to their prey, thus leading to increased predation pressure on prey fish [24]. Cutthroat trout (Oncorhynchus clarki) are visual predators, extremely sensitive to subtle changes in water transparency [24], and are the primary predators of threespine sticklebacks in both the littoral and pelagic zones of Lake Washington [16, 25, 26]. Therefore, we used a visual-foraging model, which calculates the search volume by cutthroat trout as a function of light intensity and turbidity [27, 28], to
investigate a possible change in the stickleback predation regime. This analysis demonstrated that the increase in lake transparency created an 8-fold increase in the visual-search volume of cutthroat trout and also expanded the depth range over which effective visual foraging could occur (Figure 3). Most of the expanded search volume was achieved during 1972–1975, when the mean Secchi-disk transparency increased to 3.4 m. Although the cutthroat trout population in Lake Washington did not increase between 1971 and 2006 (Figure S8), our model suggests that an increase in lake transparency could have changed the predation regime by increasing encounter rates between sticklebacks and cutthroat trout.

Predation by toothed predators, such as cutthroat trout, is thought to favor completely plated sticklebacks because the posterior lateral plates can protect the stickleback from being injured and swallowed [29, 30]. Reimchen predicted that the completely plated morph would occur in open-water habitats of high clarity where capture rather than pursuit defenses predominate [30]. Consistent with this hypothesis, we have shown that the increase in the frequency of completely plated morphs occurred during the time when the water clarity increased dramatically in Lake Washington, a relatively deep and large lake (with a surface area of 8.76 × 107 m2 and a maximum depth of 65.2 m). Further supporting the hypothesis that an increase in predation by cutthroat trout has contributed to the rapid evolution of Lake Washington stickleback, recent stickleback samples are larger than historical stickleback samples (Figure 1B and Table S4). Larger body size can protect against predation by gape-limited predators such as cutthroat trout [31, 32]. Although salinity and water temperature have also been proposed as factors contributing to lateral-plate evolution [33, 34], we can exclude a role for these abiotic factors in the evolution of Lake Washington sticklebacks (Supplemental Discussion).

Conclusions

We have reported a dramatic example of ‘‘reverse evolution’’ [9], in which there has been an increase in completely plated sticklebacks in a freshwater lake. Our data demonstrate that selection for the complete morph was particularly strong during the early 1970s, suggesting that the main increase in the frequency of completely plated fish might have occurred during a time period of less than a decade. Armor reduction has also been shown to occur within only a few decades after the introduction of marine sticklebacks into freshwater [35– 37]. Thus, sticklebacks can respond to environmental changes by either an increase or a decrease in lateral plates within a few decades. Rapid phenotypic evolution in sticklebacks provides us with a great opportunity to further investigate the mechanisms by which animals can respond to rapidly changing environments [38].

The rapid evolution of armor plates in Lake Washington sticklebacks might have been enabled by the presence of standing genetic variation at the major plate locus [11]. Without standing variation, a sudden increase in predation might have led to population extinction before a new mutation appeared [6, 39]. Although an increase in gene flow was not the primary cause of armor evolution, gene flow from the marine population might have enabled rapid armor evolution by contributing to standing genetic variation within the lake [7, 40]. This work provides an example of a rapid phenotypic change that does not result from phenotypic plasticity, which has been proposed as a major mechanism of contemporary evolution [4, 8]. Thus, investigation of the genetic mechanisms that underlie adaptive phenotypes is essential for a better understanding of rapid evolutionary change [2, 4, 8, 41].

Although we suggest that reverse evolution in the Lake Washington sticklebacks is probably attributable to the change in water clarity, we still lack direct evidence for this hypothesis, and additional factors might have also contributed. As in many other cases of rapid evolution [5], it is often difficult to tease apart all the potential factors that contribute to phenotypic evolution. We demonstrated, however, that changes in water clarity are able to influence predator-prey interactions; further attention should be given to the influence of water clarity on predator-prey interactions and animal evolution. In addition, this work highlights the importance of investigation of the relationships between environmental changes, species interactions, and the genetic basis of phenotypic evolution, both to better understand the mechanisms of animal evolution and to inform conservation efforts.


Related papers covering relevant material include:

Widespread Parallel Evolution In Sticklebacks By Repeated Fixation Of Ectodysplasin Alleles by

Pamela F. Colosimo, Kim E. Hosemann, Sarita Balabhadra, Guadalupe Villarreal Jr.1 Mark Dickson, Jane Grimwood, Jeremy Schmutz, Richard M. Myers, Dolph Schluter and David M. Kingsley, Science, 307: 1928-1933 (25th March 2005) [Full paper downloadable from here]

Genetic And Developmental Basis Of Evolutionary Pelvic Reduction In Threespine Sticklebacks by

Michael D. Shapiro, Melissa E. Marks, Catherine L. Peichel, Benjamin K. Blackman, Kirsten S. Nereng, Bjarni Jónsson, Dolph Schluter & David M. Kingsley, Nature, 428:, 717-723 (15th April 2004) [full paper downloadable from here]

Environment Specific Pleiotropy Facilitates Divergence At The Ectodysplasin Locus In Threespine Sticklebacks by Rowan H. D. Barrett, Sean M. Rogers and Dolph Schluter, Evolution, 63(11): 2831-2837 (2009) [Full paper downloadable from here

Adaptive Evolution Of Lateral Plates In Three-Spined Stickleback Gasterosteus aculeatus: A Case Study in Functional Analysis Of Natural Variation by R. D. H. Barrett, Journal of Fish Biology, 77: 311-328 (2010) [Full paper downloadable from here

Should I Stay Or Should I Go? The Extodysplasin Locus Is Associated With Behavioural Differences In Threespine Sticklebacks by Rowan H. D. Barrett, Tim H. Vines, Jason S. Bsytriansky and Patricia M. Schulte, Biology Letters, 5(6): 788-791 (23rd December 2009) [Full paper downloadable from here

Strong And Consistent Natural Selection Associated With Armour Reduction In Sticklebacks by Arnoud Le Rouzic, Kjartan Østbye, Tom O. Klepaker, Thomas F. Hansen, Louis Bernatchez, Dolph Schluter and L. Asbørn Vøllestad, Molecular Ecology, 20: 2483-2493 (2011) [Full paper downloadable from here]

I think that's enough of the stickleback literature to be going on with for now.

Right, here's the synopsis of the paper I presented in detail above. Back in the 1940s, Lake Washington was heavily polluted, with turbid waters and low visibility. Indeed, for many years, the lake was known as "Lake Stinko", because it was so heavily polluted. However, a clean-up campaign was launched (as described briefly in this article on the Scientific American website), an example of what can be achieved, when politicians actually listen to scientists instead of trying to tell them how to do their job. But I digress. The point here, is that the sticklebacks in this lake were the 'reduced' form, with less armour plating than is seen on the marine specimens of the same species. However, when the lake was cleaned up, in the space of about 50 years, reverse evolution took place, and the resident sticklebacks re-acquired full armour plating!

The authors of the above paper ruled out genetic input from marine fishes re-entering the lake, on the basis that certain clusters of genes present in each population were distinct, which would not be the case if there had been regular gene flow between the two populations. Consequently, the only explanation available is that the lack population of sticklebacks re-acquired ful armour plating, because a selection pressure existed to drive this. That selection pressure being predation by other fishes using visual predation, which were able to operate with much greater success once the lake cleanup campaign had been completed. What's even more interesting here, is that the presence of full or reduced armour plates is treaceable to a specific gene, namely the Eda or ectodsyplasin gene, which means that the turnaround from low-armour to high-armour fishes could take place in a relatively short space of time. In the turbid waters of the lake prior to the cleanup, low-armour fishes were selected for, because their predators were different - these predators did not rely upon visual cues, but instead upon tactile cues, and usually involved ambush from below (e.g., dragonfly larvae and larvae of Dytiscus beetles, which are known and well-documented stickleback predators). Once the lake cleanup had been completed, however, the principal predators became open-water hunting fishes, similar to those found in the marine environment, which provided a strong selection pressure for the re-emergence of the fully armoured fishes.

Now, according to Atheistoclast's duplicitous apologetics above, the change from fully armoured to low-armoured fishes was a "loss of information" and "degeneration", which means that the re-emergence of fully armoured status must, logically, constitute a "gain of information", if his apologetics is to be consistent. Of course, we'll see the usual fabrications to try and avoid this conclusion, which of course only arises if one treats his misrepresentation of evolutionary processes, and his canards about "information", as being something other than ex recto assertions on his part.

Right, moving on ...

Atheistoclast wrote:
Rigorously define "biological information".

Testable prediction: You won't.


Sequence motifs (be they in coding or non-coding DNA).


Provide quantitative examples, so we know you're not talking out of your arse.

Atheistoclast wrote:
You're scared shitless and your almost pathological need to attack that very progress everywhere on the internet works as a perfect testament to this fact. Your >99 sockpuppets on the old RD.net forums still sit there as a monument to one guys paranoid delusion.


No. I did not set up 99 concurrent sockpuppets over on RD.


This assertion is a blatant lie. I was one of several moderators over there responsible for detecting these sock puppets. I still have the list of names you used on file. Shalll I dredge them out for everyone to see?

Atheistoclast wrote:I was repeatedly banned for allegedly "insulting" scientists according to moderators like Calilasseia who reveres them.


HA HA HA HA HA HA!

Oh look, it's the tiresome creationist attempt to portray acceptance of valid science as "worship". Yawn, yawn, fucking yawn. As opposed to the masturbatory homage to a magic man that 'Clast wants to force upon everyone.

Atheistoclast wrote:I just kept setting up new usernames after each suspension.


In other words, you erected new sock puppet accounts to circumvent sanctions you had earned through instances of mutliple discoursive duplicity. Your above statement is a direct admission of this.

Atheistoclast wrote:In the end, I resorted to proxy servers and IP hopping techniques to avoid being identified.


In other words, you openly admit above to having resorted to malfeasance in order to continue propagandising for your doctrine. Not that this is unusual in creationist circles.

Atheistoclast wrote:I am satisfied that I played a part in the demise of the RD forum.


In your dreams. Your effect was merely to provide many with some comedy to peruse.

Atheistoclast wrote:One of the reasons Dawkins closed it down was the vile abuse directed against people like me.


Poppycock. Dawkins didn't give a shit about you or any other creationist. It's not as if those of us who were actually there failed to provide public documentation of this. But once again, don't let actual facts get in the way of your peddling this shit.

Atheistoclast wrote:
Ahh yes, soon... soon it will happen. :lol:


The next 20 years will see the final nails in the coffin hammered in.


Dream on. Evolutionary processes WORK, and are being pressed into useful service. Creationist bullshit isn't. The only thing destined for the grave in any rational society, is your sad little masturbation fantasy of a doctrine.

Atheistoclast wrote:
Really? When did that happen? Why hasn't this been pronounced on TV?


It will - be patient.


We've been waiting for 150 years, during which creationists like you have all been peddling the "imminent demise of evolution" bullshit. Which IS bullshit, because if evolutionary theory was going to fall by the wayside, it would have done so long ago. The fact that REALITY keeps supporting evolutionary theory, and sticking the middle finger to creationist excrement, is what will keep it going.

Atheistoclast wrote:
The Blind Watchmaker dealt with this silly argument better than any book before it.


Funny. The BW actually made me more convinced of the argument for design when it described the sophisticated instrumentation present in bats and how the best engineers seek to replicate it in military technology.


Oh dear, do I really have to break out the papers on the evolution of bat echolocation?

Atheistoclast wrote:
Prove it. How much money are evolutionary biologists making?


I know that a professor at a university can receive a grant of $500,000, of which he only need spend half on research and the rest ....well...


Oooh, it's defamatory slur time once more! Where have we seen this before, boys and girls? Oh that's right, it's been a part of the apologetics 'Clast has been peddling from the start. Of course, this neglects the fact that when scientists receive research grants from government bodies, they and their academic institutions have to provide proper accounting for the sums spent. Plus, the number of scientists receiving grants of the order of half a million dollars is low. Most grants are an order of magnitude smaller than this at least. But once again, I suspect 'Clast won't let actual facts stop him from peddling this shit.

Right, that's Part 1 over with ... stay tuned for Part 2.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#522  Postby Calilasseia » Dec 11, 2011 1:16 am

Welcome to Part 2.

Atheistoclast wrote:
Then it's really weird you have to willfully misrepresent that physics in your catastrophically ignorant pronouncements on thermodynamics on Pandasthumb.org or outright deny the papers on Turing morphogenesis.


I have yet to see how Turing's models are in any way realistic and applicable to actual biological morphogenesis.


HA HA HA HA HA HA!

Time for this, ladies and gentlemen ...


First, let's recap the original 1952 Turing paper:

The Chemical Basis Of Morphogenesis by Alan M. Turing, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B, Biological Sciences, 237: 37-73 (14th August 1952) [Full paper downloadable from here]

Here's the abstract:

Turing, 1952 wrote:It is suggested that a system of chemical substances, called morphogens, reacting together and diffusing through a tissue, is adequate to account for the main phenomena of morphogenesis. Such a system, although it may originally be quite homogeneous, may later develop a pattern or structure due to an instability of the homogeneous equilibrium, which is triggered off by random disturbances. Such reaction-diffusion systems are considered in some detail in the case of an isolated ring of cells, a mathematically convenient, though biologically, unusual system. The investigation is chiefly concerned with the onset of instability. It is faund that there are six essentially different forms which this may take. In the most interesting form stationary waves appear on the ring. It is suggested that this might account, for instance, for the tentacle patterns on Hydra and for whorled leaves. A system of reactions and diffusion on a sphere is also considered. Such a system appears to account for gastrulation. Another reaction system in two dimensions gives rise to patterns reminiscent of dappling. It is also suggested that stationary waves in two dimensions could account for the phenomena of phyllotaxis. The purpose of this paper is to discuss a possible mechanism by which the genes of a zygote may determine the anatomical structure of the resulting organism. The theory does not make any new hypotheses; it merely suggests that certain well-known physical laws are sufficient to account for many of the facts. The full understanding of the paper requires a good knowledge of mathematics, some biology, and some elementary chemistry. Since readers cannot be expected to be experts in all of these subjects, a number of elementary facts are explained, which can be found in text-books, but whose omission would make the paper difficult reading.


Basically, what Turing did in this paper, was develop an idea that chemicals that affect growth and development differentially, could be modelled using a series of relevant partial differential equations. Let's take a more in depth look at this shall we?

Turing, 1952 wrote:1. A Model of the Embryo. Morphogens.

In this section a mathematical model of the growing embryo will be described. This model will be a simplification and an idealization, and consequently a falsification. I t is to be hoped that the features retained for discussion are those of greatest importance in the present state of knowledge.

The model takes two slightly different forms. In one of them the cell theory is recognized but the cells are idealized into geometrical points. In the other the matter of the organism is imagined as continuously distributed. The cells are not, however, completely ignored, for various physical and physico-chemical characteristics of the matter as a whole are assumed to have values appropriate to the cellular matter.

With either of the models one proceeds as with a physical theory and defines an entity called 'the state of the system'. One then describes how that state is to be determined from the state at a moment very shortly before. With either model the description of the state consists of two parts, the mechanical and the chemical. The mechanical part of the state describes the positions, masses, velocities and elastic properties of the cells, and the forces between them. I n the continuous form of the theory essentially the same information is given in the form of the stress, velocity, density and elasticity of the matter. The chemical part of the state is given (in the cell form of theory) as the chemical composition of each separate cell; the diffusibility of each substance between each two adjacent cells rnust also be given. In the continuous form of the theory the concentrations and diffusibilities of each substance have to be given at each point. In determining the changes of state one should take into account:

(i) The changes of position and velocity as given by Newton's laws of motion.
(ii) The stresses as given by the elasticities and motions, also taking into account the osmotic pressures as given from the chemical data.
(iii) The chemical reactions.
(iv) The diffusion of the chemical substances. The region in which this diffusion is possible is given from the mechanical data.


So far, so good.

Basically, Turing's idea was that two different chemical substances, one promoting cell growth and one repressing it, diffusing through tissues in accordance with well-defined physical laws, could reproduce the developmental features seen in living organisms. And, if you bother to take a look at that paper in full, you'll find that his equations reproduce a number of well-known biological patterns of development.

However, it gets even better. Because substances of this sort have been found to exist by biologists. These substances are proteins coded for by entire families of signal transduction genes, such as the bmp family (bmp4, one of the bone morphogenic proteins, is intricately involved in tooth morphogenesis, for example), the wnt family, and the fgf family (again, fgf8, one of the fibroblast growth factors, is implicated in tooth morphogenesis and a host of other developmental processes), along with the regulatory factors coded for by the shh and twhh genes, which are important regulators for Pax6, the master control gene for eye morphogenesis. Indeed, signal transduction genes, and the behaviour of the proteins coded for by those genes, have been a major area of research for evolutionary biologists (including those involved in evo-devo) for something like 30 years.

An example of application of the relevant research is this list of papers:

The Evolution Of Mimicry In The Butterfly Papilio dardanus by Cyril A. Clarke and Philip M. Sheppard, Heredity, 14: 163-173 (1960) [Full paper downloadable from here]

The Degree Of Mimetic Protection Gained By New Partial Mimics by Hugh A. Ford, Heredity, 27: 227-236 (1971) [Full paper downloadable from here]

Polymorphic Mimicry In Papilio dardanus: Mosaic Dominance, Big Effects, And Origins by H. Frederik Nijhout, Evolution & Development, 5(6): 579-592 (2003) [Full paper downloadable from here]

Pigmentation Pattern Formation In The Butterfly Wing Of Papilio dardanus by Toshio Sekimura, Anotida Madzvamuse, Andrew J Wathen And Philip K. Maini, in Mathematical Modelling And Computing In Biology And Medicine (edited by V. Capaso), Proceedings of the 5th European Conference For Mathematics And Theoretical Biology, Milan, Italy, 2002) ftp://ftp.comlab.ox.ac.uk/pub/Documents ... 2-18.ps.gz

Pigmentation Pattern Formation In Butterflies: Experiments And Models by H. Frederik Nijhout, Philip K. Maini, Anotida Madzvamuse, Andrew J Wathen and Toshio Sekimura, Comptes Rendus-Biologies, 326: 717-727 (21st August 2003) [full paper downloadable from here]

A Predictive Model For Colour Pattern Formation In The Butterfly Wing Of Papilio dardanus by Anotida Madzvamuse, Philip K. Maini, Andrew J. Wathen and Toshio Sekimura, Hiroshima Mathematical Journal, 32: 325-336 (2002) [Full paper downloadable from here]

A Model For Colour Pattern Formation In The Butterfly Wing Of Papilio dardanus by Toshio Sekimura, Anotida Madzvamuse, Andrew J. Wathen and Philip K. Maini, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Part B, 267: 851-859 (2000) [Full paper downloadable from here]

Mimicry: Developmental Genes That Contribute To Speciation by Russell E. Naisbit, Chris D. Jiggins and James Mallet, Evolution & Development, 5(3): 269-280 (2003) [full paper downloadable from here]

Diversity In Mimicry: Paradox Or Paradigm? by Mathieu Joron and James L. B. Mallet, TREE, 13(11): 461-466 (11th November 1998) [Full paper downloadable from here]

Now, this is going to be a long exposition, so everyone else is advised to hold onto your hats for a roller coaster ride, but I'm going to expound in reasonably full form the arguments from various papers that cover the relevant experimental work and research leading to appropriate conclusions about the appearance of mimetic patterns in Papilio dardanus females (males are non-mimetic).

I'll start with the Clarke & Sheppard paper from 1960, as this sets the historical basis and follows on from their four-paper series in 1959, in which they elucidated in detail the genetics of the polymorphic female mimetic pattern courtesy of around 3,000 experimental matings (which were performed not that far from my home, incidentally, in a butterfly rearing house attached to a Liverpool hospital, but I digress). Given that the paper dates from 1960, the style is somewhat different from a modern scientific paper, and the introduction presented here is typically verbose (as was the fashion of the era) but perseverance should prove rewarding. I shall highlight the appropriate parts:

Clarke & Sheppard, 1960 wrote:1. INTRODUCTION

WHEN Bates put forward the mimicry hypothesis which bears his name, Darwin (1872), although accepting it, had some difficulty in explaining the evolution of the mimetic resemblance of several distinct species to one distasteful model by a series of small changes, a requirement of his general theory of evolution. He said "it is necessary to suppose in some cases that ancient members belonging to several distinct groups, before they had diverged to their present extent, accidentally resembled a member of another and protected group in a sufficient degree to afford some slight protection; this having given the basis for the subsequent acquisition of the most perfect resemblance ". Punnett (1915) realised that the difficulty is even more acute when one is dealing with a polymorphic species whose forms mimic very distantly related models. Knowing that, in those butterflies which had been investigated genetically, the forms differed by single allelomorphs he concluded that the mimicry did not evolve gradually and did not confer any advantage or disadvantage to the individual. He argued that an allelomorph arises at a single step by mutation and that therefore the mimicry also arises by chance at a single step. Goldschmidt (x) although not denying that mimicry confers some advantage to its possessors also maintained that the resemblance arises fully perfected by a single mutation of a gene distinct from that producing the colour pattern in the model, but producing a similar effect in the mimic. Fisher and Ford (see Fisher, 1930; Carpenter and Ford, 1933; Ford, 1953) on the other hand have put forward a view intermediate between the extreme ones of Darwin on the one hand and Goldschmidt on the other. They maintain that a resemblance between the mimic and model as good as that often found in nature cannot reasonably be expected to arise by chance. They therefore suggest that a mutant becomes established which gives a sufficient resemblance to be advantageous and that this is gradually improved by the selection of modifiers which alter the effects produced by the mutant.

Ford (1953) has raised serious theoretical objections to Goldschmidt's (1945) hypothesis and he pointed out how the validity of each hypothesis can be tested. He notes that a particular mimic usually varies in appearance in parallel with the local race of its model and that on his own hypothesis one would expect these allopatric mimetic forms of one model to differ multifactorially. However, if mimicry arises by mutation and is not thereafter modified, as is postulated by Goldschmidt, one would expect such local variation in the mimic to be controlled by multiple allelomorphs as Goldschmidt himself predicts. In 1954 we decided to investigate this problem genetically.


This paper continues with:

Clarke & Sheppard, 1960 wrote:2. MATERIAL AND METHODS

The work has been carried out in two stages. Firstly, it was necessary to understand the mode of inheritance of various sympatric varieties and secondly, to make suitable race crosses to test the two hypotheses. Ford (1953) suggested that the best material for such a study might be the butterfly Hypolimnas dubius since both sexes are polymorphic and mimetic and the genetic status of the forms is relatively well known. However, we decided to use the African butterfly Papilio dardanus Brown. Although it suffers from the disadvantages that it is only polymorphic and mimetic in the female and has an almost bewildering variety of forms, whose genetics were unknown at the time, it had the overwhelming advantages that (a) it can be handmated, (b) it will lay eggs readily in captivity, (c) it has a larva one of whose food plants, Citrus, was known to be available in England, (d) the butterfly is widely distributed and common over much of Africa and (e) it has a large number of relatively distinct races whose distribution has been worked out in detail.

A description of the races and forms can be obtained from the excellent paper by Ford (1936) and the standard works he cites. An account of the forms we have investigated can be obtained from Clarke and Sheppard (1960). The pattern differences between the forms can be described in terms of the numbered areas, and the length of the tails, if present, can be measured by the length BC and that of the wing BA (fig. I). The method of determining these points and of adjusting tail length to take into account variations in the size of the wing itself are given by Clarke and Sheppard (1960).

The details of the breeding techniques are given by Clarke and Sheppard (1959a) and an account of the genetics of most of the major varieties by Ford (1936) and Clarke and Sheppard (i959b, and in preparation). The hippocoonides, cenea, natalica, trophonius, leighi, pale-poultoni and the yellow male-like non-mimetic forms of the female are controlled by a multiple allelomorphic series or by closely linked genes whose effects are sex-controlled. Bright-poultoni, niobe and planemoides are determined unifactorially by genes whose effects are sex-controlled and they are probably members of the same allelomorphic series as all the others. The absence of tails in the females is determined by a single locus not linked to the multiple allelomorphic series and its effect is also sex-controlled.


Later on in the same paper we read:

Clarke & Sheppard, 1960 wrote:Since the genes we are considering do not produce perfect mimicry in all the gene-complexes of the species we must conclude that, if Goldschmidt's hypothesis is correct, an allelomorph producing mimicry can only establish itself if by chance it occurs in a very favourable gene-complex. Moreover, we must also conclude that once established, selection is powerful enough to stabilise the gene-complex so that the good resemblance produced by the gene is maintained. Such an extreme view does not accord with the facts. In P. dardanus the mimetic forms are found wherever the models are common so that on Goldschmidt's view a suitable gene-complex must have occurred by chance (at a time when the mutant was available) in all areas where appropriate models are at high frequency notwithstanding that in other areas, anyhow at the present time, such suitable gene complexes do not occur! Now we know from the work of Brower (1958) that in the laboratory, in circumstances in which birds could examine their prey for two minutes, imperfect resemblances protect to some extent. It is therefore unreasonable to assume that in the wild, when the bird may see the insect for only a few seconds, imperfect mimicry will not confer some advantage. This is in accord with the finding that where the mimic is rare, mimicry is sometimes less perfect. It has already been shown that if we accept Goldschmidt's view we must also assume that selection is powerful enough to stabilise the gene-complex to give good mimicry even if the mimic only accounts for some i o per cent, of the female population. But such powerful selection would also be strong enough to alter the gene-complex to give a better mimetic resemblance if an imperfect mimic established itself. We may therefore safely reject Goldschmidt's hypothesis and accept that developed by Fisher and Ford.


Oh look. Two competing hypotheses to account for the mimetic pattern were advanced, and Clarke and Sheppard examined whether or not the extensive genetic evidence they compiled from their 3,000 matings supported either hypothesis. On the basis of this, they concluded that the hypothesis of Ford and Fisher was supported, and the hypothesis of Goldschmidt was not. I'd say 3,000 experimental matings to determine the underlying genetics, which could then be used to determine which extant hypothesis erected at the time was more likely to be correct, constitutes a decent experimental test, just in case any propagandists for mythology want to claim that none of the work presented here is "tested". :)

However, the paper summarises its results in part 6 of the summary as follows:

Clarke & Sheppard, 1960 wrote:6. The results support the view that the original mimetic resemblance produced by a new mutant is enhanced by the selection of modifiers and when perfected the pattern is stabilised by selection. In Abyssinia there appears to be disruptive selection which is accumulating modifiers reducing female tail length in the mimics. Owing to the segregation of these modifiers there is greater variance of tail length in the polymorphic Abyssinian than in the monomorphic Madagascan race.


However, to add to the fun and games, Ford in 1971 decided to put the question of partial mimicry to direct experimental test. His paper, cited above, opens as follows:

Ford, 1971 wrote:THE study of Batesian Mimicry has contributed considerably to our understanding of natural selection and the nature of the predator-prey relationship. Since the theory of Batesian Mimicry was proposed (Bates, 1862) numerous workers have inferred its existence from the presence of palatable species resembling distasteful and usually conspicuous species with which they occur. There have also been numerous experimental studies on mimicry, but because of the difficulty of observing this phenomenon in nature they have usually been carried out under unnatural conditions (Muhlmann, 1934; Brower, 1958a, b, c, 1960; Schmidt, 1958, 1960; Brower et al., 1960; Sexton, 1960; Brower and Brower, 1962; Reiskind, 1965; Brower et al., 1967; Cook et al., 1969; Morrell and Turner, 1970). Nearly all these experiments have successfully demonstrated the efficacy of the mimetic pattern in protecting the mimic.

However, far fewer experiments have investigated the processes that have led to the evolution of a near perfect resemblance between the mimic and the model. The evolution of the mimetic pattern from the originally nonmimetic form is best explained by the occurrence of a single mutation, giving some resemblance to the model, followed by the selection and fixation of modifying genes gradually perfecting the resemblance (Sheppard, 1959; Clarke and Sheppard, l960a, b).

The experiments of Schmidt, Sexton and Muhlmann (loc. cit.) in the laboratory all show that more protection is obtained by better mimics, though significant protection may also be received by poorer mimics. Studies of this type on wild predators have been few. Morrell and Turner using artificial prey and wild birds also show that poorer mimics, though less frequently eaten than non-mimetic prey, are more frequently eaten than better mimics. Brower et al. (1967) and Cook et al. (1969) found that there is sometimes underpredation of artificial mimics (painted moths) compared with non-mimetic moths.

The experiments described in this paper were aimed to study further the action of mimicry using uncaged predators with artificial prey and to investigate the effectiveness of mimics showing incomplete resemblance to the model.


Oh look, a direct experimental test of the effectiveness of partial mimicry. All of which serves to back up the earlier work of Clarke & Sheppard. Let's cover those experiments, shall we?

Ford, 1971 wrote:2. MATERIALS AND METHODS

Artificial cylindrical "caterpillars" made from a pastry mixture (two parts lard to five parts flour) were used as prey. The pastry was coloured by mixing in liquid flavourless food-colouring (from the Scottish Colouring Co., Newington, Edinburgh). Quinine sulphate (0.5 per cent. by weight) was used in the models; at this concentration the baits were very distasteful to people and preliminary experiments showed that birds soon learnt to avoid them. Red and blue were chosen as the initial model and non-mimetic control colour respectively for the following reasons:

1. Preliminary experiments using red, green, blue, brown and yellow prey showed that red and blue were taken in approximately equal numbers, neither being particularly popular or unpopular.

2. Both colours are fairly uncommon in the natural food of the predators, except in the berries sometimes eaten by some of the species.

3. They were both conspicuous against the predominantly brown and green background of the experimental lawn.

4. Intermediate mimics would be easily made and their value as mimics could be tentatively estimated.

Two types of mimics were used: bicoloured mimics where half was exactly the same colour as the model (red) and the other half the same as the first non-mimic; (blue) and intermediate mimics, various shades of purple.
These were presented in separate experiments.

Two half-cylinders (made by cutting a whole cylinder longitudinally) were pressed together side by side to make the bicoloured prey.

The predators were suburban birds of the following species;

Blackbird (Turdus merula), Song Thrush (Turdus philomelos), House Sparrow (Passer domesticus) Dunnock (Prunella modularis) and Robin (Erithacus rubecula).

Individual visits of blackbirds and thrushes were observed and each prey taken was recorded as eaten (when swallowed whole) or pecked (when picked up then dropped or when partly eaten). The total number of prey eaten and pecked was termed the number taken. (This is relevant from the point of view of the prey as a peck may or may not be fatal.) In addition, the instances where the prey was regurgitated or where only half of a bicoloured prey was eaten were recorded.

The number of prey eaten by sparrows was usually unobserved since several birds were present at one time, and so it was calculated when missing prey was replaced. Robins and dunnocks only visited the experimental area occasionally and are included with sparrows in the tables as "others" since their predation was usually unobserved. On certain days when separate records of robin and dunnock predation were made the number of prey taken rarely exceeded five and the pattern of predation was never statistically significantly different from sparrows.

The experimental area was divided into 10 squares, each 5 feet by 5 feet, and 5 baits of each colour were put in each square, except in the initial training periods when 10 of the single colour were placed in each square, and in the experiment testing for frequency dependent selection when 15 models were place in each square. The squares were divided into quarters and each bait was assigned to one of the four quarters, using random number tables.

The experimental plan, showing the sequence of presentation of the prey, is laid out in table 1.


So, the experiment consisted of producing artificial 'prey' larvae, which would then be presented to wild birds, which in turn would select which of the 'prey' they would eat. Careful prior experimental selection of the colours to use was performed, in order to eliminate any unwelcome biases from the experiment. First, colours were chosen that were not likely to be found in prey larvae encountered in the wild, so as to avoid biases arising from extant memories of mimetic patterns in real wild larvae that the birds may select as food. Second, colours were chosen that were likely to be selected with equal frequency in the absence of any reason not to select thus. Once the appropriate colours had been selected, artificial prey of the requisite colours were constructed, along with intermediate colour forms, and presented to the birds to be selected. One of the colours was chosen to be the "distasteful" model (and prior experiments conducted to determine that the use of the relevant chemical compound would indeed render the larvae distasteful) and then birds were allowed to select from the scattered artificial larvae once the artificial model was in place. Something that many of us could doubtless do at home and replicate over a suitable period of time.

Now for the results:

Ford, 1971 wrote:3. RESULTS

When equal numbers of red and blue were presented together, both colours were taken in approximately equal numbers, except by male blackbirds who showed a red preference (table 2). When quinine-flavoured red prey were introduced the numbers of red taken dropped rapidly from the first to the sixth day of presentation, till by the fifth and sixth day only a minute proportion of the prey taken were red (table 3).

The bicoloured mimics were then introduced along with the red and blue prey. The results showed that again the numbers of red taken were minimal, and that significantly fewer of the bicoloured mimics were taken than the blue. In addition a greater proportion of the mimics taken were pecked and not eaten (table 4), and sparrows and others ate the blue half of the mimic on 44 occasions and blackbirds three times. A new blue and yellow bicoloured non-mimic was then presented along with the red and blue mimic and the red model. This would compare the predators' behaviour to a new non-mimetic bicoloured type with their behaviour to the new bicoloured mimic. Significantly more of the yellow and blue were eaten by all species although in the case of sparrows and others as many mimics as non-mimics were taken (a greater proportion of the former being pecked and not eaten) (table 5).

In this experiment the frequency of mimic to model was high. It was considered that mimicry would only be effective if the mimic was relatively uncommon in relation to the model, though Brower (1 960a) found that the mimic still receives some protection when it is nine times as common as the model. To test the predators' response to a lower mimic to model ratio the numbers of model were trebled. Sparrows and others ate an even greater proportion of bicoloured non-mimics than before, indicating greater avoidance of the mimic (table 6).

Although this is significant (χ2(1) = 239, P<0.00l) it may still be accounted for by day-to-day fluctuations.

A new colour (purple) of edible prey was then presented together with the red model for four days to train the birds to accept this colour. On the last day of presentation 450 of this colour were taken, indicating the birds' acceptance of this new prey. Subsequently the purple was replaced by reddish purple and bluish purple. The reddish purple were taken far less frequently than the bluish purple by all species (table 7). The red model was then replaced by a blue model, containing the same concentration of quinine. The bluish purple then became the better mimic and the reddish purple the poorer one. A direct comparison of the two days of red model and the four days of blue model shows that the number of bluish purple eaten by blackbird and thrush is in fact greater with the blue models, while the numbers eaten by sparrows and others is not significantly different with the two models (table 8). However, if the individual days are looked at (fig. 1) the proportion of reddish purple taken by sparrows and others appears to drop from day 1 to day 2 of red model and again on the first day of blue model, then to increase on the second and third day of blue model. The difference between day 1 and day 2 of red prey and between day 2 and day 3 of blue model are both significant.


So, imperfect mimics still gained protection from predation once the birds had learned to regard a particular model as being inedible. Moreover, when models were switched, the birds switched their preferences in accordance therewith. Consequently, the above constitutes a direct experimental test that imperfect mimicry could still provide a positive selection advantage to an organism possessing it.

Ford concludes his paper with:

Ford, 1971 wrote:4. DISCUSSION

Although the demonstration of mimicry has been frequently successful using caged predators, few studies have successfully shown it operating in more natural conditions with free living predators. The present study was aimed at examining the response of the predators to artificial prey under mimetic situations. The results showed rapid learning to avoid distasteful models and underpredation of a bicoloured partial mimic. This underpredation of the partial mimic need not necessarily be explained by its mimetic pattern. Three factors may influence the behaviour of a predator towards its potential prey:

(i) Conspicuousness

There is a strong selection in most animals for cryptic colouration, the best hidden individuals being most likely to be overlooked by predators. Red and blue were chosen in these experiments as they should be equally conspicuous against the lawn background. It is possible that the bicoloured prey is less conspicuous, as its pattern may be disruptive, though many warningly coloured insects are bicoloured, presumably to make them more conspicuous (e.g. wasps, ladybirds).

(ii) Previous experience

There is considerable evidence (Tinbergen, 1960; Allen (pers. comm.); Allen and Clarke, 1968; Croze, 1970) that birds develop specific search images for food items. Such search images are most likely to develop for abundant, palatable and conspicuous foods. Alternative foods may not be eaten because they are passively overlooked or they may be actively avoided. New or uncommon foods will fall into the former category, while unpalatable prey and mimics fall into the latter.

(iii) Innate preferences

Coppinger (1969) discussed innate avoidance of particular patterns and avoidance of novel stimuli. He considers that the latter may be important, and it is clearly related to the search image theory.

To clarify the nature of the response, a new mimetic type was introduced to determine how much of the avoidance of the mimic was due to its novelty. Although a higher proportion of the prey taken are mimics, suggesting that some of the previous protection was due to the mimic's novelty, more of the non-mimics than the mimics are taken, showing that at least some of the protection was due to the mimetic pattern of the red and blue prey.

Thus, even in a natural situation, one might expect a mutation, producing a new mimetic pattern, to be selected due to its novelty, in addition to any protection it might obtain from its mimetic resemblance. This may well be an important, and previously rather overlooked, factor in the early stages of the evolution of mimicry.

Increasing the frequency of the model gives increased protection to the mimic compared to the non-mimic. For mimicry to be effective the predator must experience sufficient models, to associate the particular pattern with distastefulness. If the model is rare relative to the mimic, the predator is less likely to learn to avoid it. A model to mimic ratio of 1:1, used in these experiments, is probably higher than usual in nature and it has even been suggested that the mimic needs to be rare in comparison with the model. The experiments of Brower (1960) with starlings and coloured mealworms showed that some protection of the mimic was received even with a model to mimic ratio of 1: 9.

In the situations considered so far resemblance to the model has been achieved by presenting prey showing the model colour on half of the mimic. This is analogous to situations where the pattern of the mimic resembling the model is achieved by a single mutation. Alternatively mimics may show continuous variation with one extreme best resembling the model. This situation was simulated using shades of purple. The mimic most closely resembling the model was eaten less frequently than the one resembling it less well. This shows the effectiveness of mimicry of this type. In this experiment the effect of novelty was the same for both good and poor mimics since they were introduced at the same time. When the model was changed to blue so that the previously poor mimic was now the better one, the results were somewhat confusing; although the now better mimics do not receive more protection overall, the day-to-day changes do suggest a change in preference.

These experiments are similar to those carried out by Duncan and Sheppard (1965), who used coloured solutions and chicks. The strongest solution was associated with an electric shock, and progressively weaker solutions (poorer mimics) received more attention. When a large shock was given on drinking the model solution there was even a significant difference in the responses to the poorest mimic and the uncoloured control.

The experiments carried out in this study all point to considerable advantages gained by the partial mimics. This response of the predators is emphasised by the fact that a large proportion of the bicoloured mimics were either pecked or only partly eaten; and when they were only partly eaten it was always the blue half which was eaten. This could be analogous to an insect where only the most vulnerable parts of the body are mimetic, directing any attack to less vulnerable parts.

The experimental period was not long, and the responses of the birds may be different at different times of the year. This difference may take the form of different colour preferences, or changes in the birds' keenness to discriminate. For example, the experiments were carried out during the winter when food may have been scarce and the birds were perhaps more willing to take unusual or less attractive food. Irrespective of the precise feeding pattern it is clear that the behavioural response of the predators would give sufficient advantage to an initially poor mimic for full mimicry to evolve by gradual improvement of the resemblance.


Now for some more recent work. Let's take a look at this paper:

Polymorphic Mimicry In Papilio dardanus: Mosaic Dominance, Big Effects, And Origins by H. Frederik Nijhout, Evolution & Development, 5(6): 579-592 (2003)

Nijhout, 2003 wrote:SUMMARY The mocker swallowtail, Papilio dardanus, has a female-limited polymorphic mimicry. This polymorphism is controlled by allelic variation at a single locus with at least 11 alleles. Many of the alternative morphs are accurate mimics of different species of distasteful butterflies. Geneticists have long been interested in the mechanism by which a single gene can have such diverse and profound effects on the phenotype and in the process by which these complex phenotypic effects could have evolved. Here we present the results of a morphometric analysis of the pleiotropic effects of the mimicry gene on the array of elements that makes up the overall pattern. We show that the patterns controlled by mimicking alleles are more variable and less internally correlated than those controlled by nonmimicking alleles, suggesting the two are subject to different degrees of selection and mutational variance. Analysis of the pleiotropic dominance of the alleles reveals a consistent pattern of dominance within a coevolved genetic background and a mosaic pattern of dominant and recessive effects (including overdominance) in a heterologous genetic background. The alleles of the mimicry gene have big effects on some pattern elements and small effects on others. When the array of big phenotypic effects of the mimicry gene is applied to the presumptive ancestral color pattern, it produces a reasonable resemblance to distasteful models and suggests the initial steps that may have produced the mimicry as well as the polymorphism.


This paper continues with:

Nijhout, 2003 wrote:The evolution of mimicry

Batesian mimicry is believed to originate by means of an initial mutation that has a suffciently big effect on the phenotype to give a passable resemblance to a protected model, followed by the accumulation and selection of mutations in modifier genes that progressively refine the mimicry (Fisher 1930; Carpenter and Ford 1933; Sheppard 1959; Clarke and Sheppard 1960c; Charlesworth and Charlesworth 1975a; Turner 1977; Charlesworth 1994). Charlesworth and Charlesworth (1975b,c) calculated the conditions under which mimicry will evolve, and their calculations suggest that modifying mutations that refine the mimicry will be maintained if they are tightly liked to the gene that conferred the initial advantage, thus providing a plausible explanation for the evolution of a supergene.

In P. dardanus, this simple scenario is complicated by the fact that mimicry is polymorphic and that the various morphs are not equally distributed among geographic races. Among the unresolved questions are (a) whether each of the 14 morphs evolved independently from a common ancestor or (b) whether some morphs evolved from others and (c) whether the geographic distribution of morphs due to independent origins in different regions or (d) to differential dispersal and extinction. Given the complexity and the wide geographic distribution of the polymorphism, it seems parsimonious to assume that each of the alleles arose only once and is identical across its entire geographic range and that the evolution of geographic races occurred after the evolution of the polymorphism. The alternative possibility, that the same polymorphic mimicry arose several times independently in different geographic races of a monomorphic ancestor, seems to be less probable. An intermediate between these two extremes is that a limited polymorphism of perhaps three or four alleles arose first, followed by a geographic dispersal and a subsequent evolution of additional alleles unique to particular geographic races. The latter is almost certainly true for the form ochracea (derived from cenea), hippocoonides (derived from hippocoon), lamborni (derived from trophonius), and of the nonmimetic male-like female morph from Ethiopia (a loss of mimicry). Whether the malelike females from Madagascar represent a primitive condition or are also due to a secondary loss of mimicry remains an open question (Vane-Wright and Smith 1991).


The paper continues with:

Nijhout, 2003 wrote:Although we know little about the nature and molecular mechanism of action of the mimicry gene, we can nevertheless learn a great deal about how this gene controls various aspects of the color pattern by systematic analysis of how different aspects of the color pattern vary under different breeding conditions. The beginnings of such an analysis, using morphometrics and a comparative analysis of pattern variation in color forms and interracial hybrids, is the subject of this article. This analysis suggests a hypothesis about the first steps in the evolution of mimicry and shows that the subsequent diversification of forms and refinement of their mimicry involved significant changes in the patterns of dominance of the many pleiotropic effects of the mimicry gene.


So, the paper then launches into a detailed description of the method of analysing morphometric characteristics, and on the basis of that analysis, alights upon the fact that if one takes as one's starting point the related butterfly species Papilio phorcas, which has a similar arrangement of cellular markings upon its forewings, a small number of changes in the formation of those cellular markings results in a wing pattern corresponding to the f.hippocoon form of Papilio dardanus, and that similar remarks apply to changes leading to a wing pattern corresponding to the f.cenea form of P. dardanus. Indeed there are two pathways in this latter case - a direct pathway from a P. phorcas pattern to a P. dardanus f.cenea pattern, or a pathway from the f.hippocoon form to the f.cenea form. Similar remarks apply to the f.planemoides form. After discussing the morphometrics in detail, the paper continues with:

Nijhout, 2003 wrote:So the first step in the evolution of mimicry could involve only a single locus. The hippocoon-like pattern is likely to have evolved twice (see Discussion), and the planemoides and cenea-like patterns may have originated once each. The further refinement of any one of the female forms could be accomplished by a relatively small number of additional genetic changes.


And now we move on to the discussion!

Nijhout, 2003 wrote:DISCUSSION

The mimetic wing patterns of P. dardanus have different patterns of variation and internal correlation than nonmimetic ones. Mimetic patterns exhibit a higher degree of individual variability than nonmimetic patterns. If the degree of variability is a function of the mutation-selection balance, then these findings suggest that nonmimetic patterns either are under stronger selection or experience less mutational variance than mimetic patterns. It is possible that the greater individual variability of mimetic pattern is due to the fact that these genotypes are more protected against predators and thus less subject to selection and that there is, for some reason, stronger normalizing selection on nonmimetic and male patterns than on mimetic patterns. Alternatively, it is possible that mimetic patterns require the activity of many more genes than do nonmimetic ones and would therefore be more sensitive to standing genetic variation and newly introduced mutational variance.

Mimetic wing patterns exhibit a lower degree of correlated variation among the various elements of the pattern than do nonmimetic wing patterns. If the pattern of genetic correlations resembles the pattern of phenotypic correlations, as is the case in other butterflies (Paulsen 1994, 1996), then these findings suggest few if any genetic correlations among the elements of the color pattern of the mimicking forms. The absence of correlation in the mimicking patterns may be due to the accumulation of the many genes with small effects that have been hypothesized to be responsible for refining the details of the mimicry (the second stage in the evolution of mimicry). If this is the correct interpretation, then it implies that these modifier genes affect the morphology of the color pattern on a spatial scale that is the same size or smaller than the scale at which these measurements were made.

The various alleles of the mimicry gene affect the dimension of the pattern elements to different degrees. Here the effect is rather complex in that a given allele may increase the size of some pattern elements while decreasing the size of others. This is unlike the case in Heliconius, where dominant alleles typically increase the size of a pattern element (Nijhout et al. 1990), although a recent report shows substantial evolution of dominance in Heliconius (Naisbit et al. 2003). In P. dardanus the effect on the size of the pattern is independent of the dominance effect of the allele. Thus, a dominant effect can either increase or decrease the size of an element, with the latter being somewhat more common than the former. This mix of hyper- and hypomorphic pleiotropic effects of a given allele is diffcult to explain on the basis of a common mechanism of action. This effect is consistent with both the supergene and the regulatory gene hypotheses. In either case, it can be best explained if variation in each pattern element is affected by at least some unique genes or by unique combinations of genes. Whether these genes are linked in a supergene, as in the case of Papilio memnon (Clarke et al. 1968; Clarke and Sheppard 1971), or whether they are dispersed across the genome and controlled by a polymorphic regulatory gene remains an open question.

The alleles of the mimicry locus have a complex set of pleiotropic and dominance effects on various features of the forewing pattern. Each allele affects a different combination of pattern elements, and the size of each of the pattern elements affected by a given allele is altered to a different degree. Within a geographic race, the different alleles show a clear and unambiguous pattern of dominances, in which the degree of dominance is the same for all elements affected by a given allele. This stands in contrast to the mosaic pattern of dominance observed in interracial crosses, where a given allele may have a dominant effect on some elements and a recessive effect on others. The similarity of dominance effects within a race may be a manifestation of the so-called coadaptation of genes within a population. The mosaic of dominances in interracial crosses would then be due to a breakdown of this coadaptation when an allele is placed in a genetic background that is different from the one in which it evolved. If this is the correct interpretation, it suggests that the similarity of dominance effects within a population is an evolved property.

It is possible that when a mimicry allele first originated, it had a mosaic of dominant and recessive pleiotropic effects on different portions of the pattern, just as modern alleles have a mosaic of morphic effects on different parts of the pattern. Perhaps initially all dominant effects were associated with increases in the size of pattern elements and all recessive effects with decreases in size. A favorable combination of hyper- and hypomorphic pleiotropic effects could then be stabilized by the evolution of a genetic background that made all those effects dominant (e.g., Gilchrist and Nijhout 2001). This process would be repeated with the origin of each new mimetic locus, resulting in the order of dominance observed. This scenario for the evolution of dominance relations is different from the traditional Haldane’s sieve, which suggests that a new favorable allele can be established most easily if it is dominant than if it is recessive so that new phenotypes tend to be dominant over preexisting phenotypes (e.g., Clarke et al. 1985). Under both scenarios, the order of dominance is likely to reflect the order of origin of the phenotypes, but under Haldane’s sieve this would be a purely statistical effect, whereas under the alternative scenario suggested above, dominance is an evolved adaptation.

The hippocoon pattern group is the largest and most diverse of the three pattern groups in P. dardanus (Fig. 1). The fact that the cenea allele (Hc) is dominant to some alleles in the hippocoon group (Hh and Hna) and recessive to others suggests that the hippocoon-like phenotype may have evolved independently more than once. This interpretation is supported by the finding on the dimensions of the phenotypic effects of the various alleles on the pattern. Application of the big phenotypic effects to the presumptive primitive pattern of the P. dardanus ancestor suggests that a hippocoon-like mimic can be achieved in one step but that a cenea-like mimic most likely requires at least two evolutionary steps and is probably derived from a hippocoon-like pattern rather than independently from the ancestral pattern. It is possible, then, that the cenea allele (Hc) evolved from the group that led to the hippocoon (Hh) and natalica (Hna) alleles, to which it is dominant. The other alleles in the hippocoon group may have been derived independently and at a later time, and this may explain why they are dominant to the cenea allele. This scenario is in accordance with the suggestion of Turner (1963) that the hippocoon form probably arose before any of the other mimetic forms. Clarke et al. (1985, 1991) argued that in Papilio phorcas, the male-like pattern of the female is the derived form. This suggests that the species may initially have been sexually dimorphic (with brown/yellow females and black/green males) and that a so-called transvestite evolutionary step (Vane-Wright 1976; Clarke et al. 1985) produced male-like females and was the origin of the female color dimorphism.


However, as involved and detailed as Nijhout's paper is, it's merely the appetiser for some others! the papers by Sekimura and Nadzvamuse et al are particularly interesting, because they contain detailed descriptions of the development of a reaction-diffusion model for wing colour development in Papilio dardanus that is based upon ... wait for it, the 1952 work of Alan Turing with respect to a mathematical reaction-diffusion model of morphogenesis that I introduced above! Which, incidentally, was subject to its first experimental validation in 2006 courtesy of the Max Planck Institute (ScienceDaily reports on this here, and the Max Planck Institute provides this handy online exposition of Turing-type primary pattern formation.

Incidentally, before I continue with the Sekimura and Nadzvamuse papers, another apposite paper with respect to the Turing hypothesis of morphogenesis is this one, namely:

The Role Of Trans-Membrane Signal Transduction In Turing-Type Cellular Pattern Formation by Erik M. Rauch and Mark M. Millonas, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 226: 401-407 (2004)

which opens thus:

Rauch & Millonas, 2004 wrote:Abstract

The Turing mechanism (Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 237 (1952) 37) for the production of a broken spatial symmetry in an initially homogeneous system of reacting and diffusing substances has attracted much interest as a potential model for certain aspects of morphogenesis (Models of Biological Pattern Formation, Academic Press, London, 1982; Nature 376 (1995) 765) such as prepatterning in the embryo. The two features necessary for the formation of Turing patterns are short-range autocatalysis and longrange inhibition (Kybernetik 12 (1972) 30) which usually only occur when the diffusion rate of the inhibitor is significantly greater than that of the activator. This observation has sometimes been used to cast doubt on applicability of the Turing mechanism to cellular patterning since many messenger molecules that diffuse between cells do so at more-or-less similar rates. Here we show that Turing-type patterns will be able to robustly form under a wide variety of realistic physiological conditions though plausible mechanisms of intra-cellular chemical communication without relying on differences in diffusion rates. In the mechanism we propose, reactions occur within cells. Signal transduction leads to the production of messenger molecules, which diffuse between cells at approximately equal rates, coupling the reactions occurring in different cells. These mechanisms also suggest how this process can be controlled in a rather precise way by the genetic machinery of the cell.


Now, having dealt with that tangential diversion, let us return to the Sekimura and Nadzvamuse papers. First, this one:

Pigmentation Pattern Formation In The Butterfly Wing Of Papilio dardanus by Toshio Sekimura, Anotida Madzvamuse, Andrew J Wathen And Philip K. Maini, in Mathematical Modelling And Computing In Biology And Medicine (edited by V. Capaso), Proceedings of the 5th European Conference For Mathematics And Theoretical Biology, Milan, Italy, 2002)

Sekimura [i]et al[/i], 2002 wrote:Abstract. We inverstigate pigmentation patterns in the butterfly wing of Papilio dardanus by numerical simulations of a reaction-diffusion model on a geometrically accurate wing domain. Our results suggest wing colouration is due to a simple underlying stripe-like pattern of some pigment-inducing morphogen. In this paper, we present some of our numerical results and discuss the validity of our model by comparing our results with pictures of male and female wing patterns of the butterfly.


Moving on to this paper:

Pigmentation Pattern Formation In Butterflies: Experiments And Models by H. Frederik Nijhout, Philip K. Maini, Anotida Madzvamuse, Andrew J Wathen and Toshio Sekimura, Comptes Rendus-Biologies, 326: 717-727 (21st August 2003)

we have:

Nijhout [i]et al[/i], 2003 wrote:Abstract

Butterfly pigmentation patterns are one of the most spectacular and vivid examples of pattern formation in biology. They have attracted much attention from experimentalists and theoreticians, who have tried to understand the underlying genetic, chemical and physical processes that lead to patterning. In this paper, we present a brief review of this field by first considering the generation of the localised, eyespot, patterns and then the formation of more globally controlled patterns. We present some new results applied to pattern formation on the wing of the mimetic butterfly Papilio dardanus.


Likewise, from this paper:

A Model For Colour Pattern Formation In The Butterfly Wing Of Papilio dardanus by Toshio Sekimura, Anotida Madzvamuse, Andrew J. Wathen and Philip K. Maini, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Part B, 267: 851-859 (2000)
we have:

Sekimura [i]et al[/i], 2000 wrote:The butter£y Papilio dardanus is well known for the spectacular phenotypic polymorphism in the female of the species.We show that numerical simulations of a reaction diffusion model on a geometrically accurate wing domain produce spatial patterns that are consistent with many of those observed on the butter£y. Our results suggest that the wing coloration is due to a simple underlying stripe-like pattern of some pigment-inducing morphogen. We focus on the effect of key factors such as parameter values for mode selection, threshold values which determine colour, wing shape and boundary conditions. The generality of our approach should allow us to investigate other butterfly species. The relationship between these key factors and gene activities is discussed in the context of recent biological advances.


Moreover, moving on to this paper:

A Predictive Model For Colour Pattern Formation In The Butterfly Wing Of Papilio dardanus by Anotida Madzvamuse, Philip K. Maini, Andrew J. Wathen and Toshio Sekimura, Hiroshima Mathematical Journal, 32: 325-336 (2002)

we have:

Madzvamuse [i]et al[/i], 2002 wrote:Previously, we have proposed a mathematical model based upon a modified Turing mechanism to account for pigmentation patterning in the butterfly wing of Papilio dardanus, well-known for the spectactular phenotypic polymorphism in the female of the species (Sekimurea et al, Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 267: 851-859 (2000)). In the present paper, we use our model to predict the outcome of a number of different types of cutting experiments and compare our results with those of a model based upon different hypotheses.


While the above papers basically cover the same experimental remit, I think we'll concentrate on the Royal Society paper for further consideration, shall we? After all, I've provided download links for the rest. :)

Sekimura [i]et al[/i], 2000 wrote:

2. MODEL AND NUMERICAL RESULTS

(a) Model equations

Since the seminal work of Turing (1952), which showed that a system of reacting and di¡using chemicals could evolve from an initially uniform spatial distribution to concentration profiles that vary spatially - a spatial pattern - many models have been proposed exploiting the short-range activation, long-range inhibition mechanism used by Turing. One of the earliest models is that of Gierer & Meinhardt (1972). They, in fact, proposed a class of phenomenological models in which the reaction kinetics were chosen to be of activator-inhibitor type. These models all take the general form:

ut = f(u,v) + D12u

vt = g(u,v) + D22v

where u(x, t) and v(x, t) are chemical concentrations at position x and time t; D1 and D2 are diffusion coefficients; and f, g are polynomials or rational functions of u, v which describe the kinetics. These equations are solved on some spatial domain with imposed boundary conditions, and initial chemical concentrations are prescribed. These types of model have been analysed in depth mathematically. Using standard linear analysis, conditions can be derived on f, g, D1 and D2 under which diffusion-driven instability can arise (see Appendix A). From this analysis, it can be shown that in the vicinity of a primary bifurcation point (where the spatially uniform steady state loses stability) the chemical pro¢les of u and v are either in phase or 180° out of phase (see, for example, Dillon et al. 1994).

The patterning properties of these models have, in the main, been studied on simple geometrical shapes (for example, rectangles) with zero flux boundary conditions on both species or with both species fixed at the steady state. It is also typically assumed that the domain responds homogeneously to the chemical, i.e. there is a spatially uniform threshold level of chemical concentration above which cells differentiate. In this paper, we begin to extend these studies to consider non-standard cases. For the purpose of illustration, we focus on the activator-inhibitor mechanism suggested by Gierer & Meinhardt (1972). This mechanism has been used in a variety of modelling situations (see, for example, Meinhardt 1982, 1995). The reaction kinetics in the Gierer-Meinhardt model are defined as

f(u,v) = k1 - k2 + k3u2/[v(k6 + k7u)]

g(u,v) = k4u2 - k5v

where u(x, t) and v(x, t) are activator and inhibitor concentrations, respectively, at spatial point x and time t, and k1, ... , k7 are positive rate constants. The reaction diffusion system can be non-dimensionalized in the standard way (see, for example, Murray 1993) to yield the system

ut = γ(a - bu + u2/[v(1 + Ku2)]) + ∇2u

vt = γ(u2-v) + d ∇2v

where a, b, d, K and γ are positive parameters, ∇ is the non-dimensionalised spatial operator and, for simplicity, the non-dimensionalised chemical concentrations and time are denoted, as before, by u, v and t respectively.

In the simulations below, we fix the values of a = 0:1, b = 1:0 and K = 0:5, while the values of γ and d are determined from the Turing space according to the mode which would be selected on a unit square domain (see Appendix A). The numerical simulations show the plots of v only. The profiles of u can easily be deduced from these plots as they are in phase with those of v.


I think that should tell even the most casual of readers that a LOT of effort has been expended on determining the underlying reasons for the wing patterning of Papilio dardanus. :)

So, that's a total of 11 scientific papers covering Papilio dardanus and its mimetic wing patterns, of which 9 explicitly cover the application of Turing morphogenesis to the analysis of the formation of the wing patterns, and two demonstrate that variations in signal transduction gene operation leading to the formation of mimetic patterning are positively selectable.

So, I wonder what other canards you're going to erect here, now that I've schooled you on some of the basics?

Atheistoclast wrote:
For example, I predict that you will either ignore or outright misrepresent this paper:
http://www.mendeley.com/research/turings-next-steps-mechanochemical-basis-morphogenesis/#page-1


No, I cited it in my latest paper.


Oh really? And what form did this "citation" take? Let me guess ... you included the citation in order to provide the entirely specious illusion that you were somehow representing the work of the authors as those authors intended, whilst peddling apologetic bullshit to the effect that the work of those authors supported your fantasies. Of course, you could always bring a draft of the paper here and establish otherwise ...

Atheistoclast wrote:
You mean lots of space, sand, rocks, gas, dust and black holes?


No, the physical constants:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Physical_constant


Desperate attempts to use these to prop up a magic man fail. Learn this lesson sometime.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#523  Postby MrFungus420 » Dec 11, 2011 7:34 am

Atheistoclast wrote:
Rumraket wrote:
Atheistoclast wrote:As for sequence motifs:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sequence_motif

The best example of one is the homeobox:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homeobox

So tell me in what way it constitutes information and produce an example of the quantity.

Technically, my prediction has now been confirmed. :lol:


It is qualitative, not quantitative. Data is a quantity, information is a quality.

The homeobox motif is information because it confers functional specificity that allows proteins to perfectly bind to the major and minor grooves of the DNA molecules, as one would expect from an intelligently designed sequence.


Or from an evolved one.

Fail.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#524  Postby MrFungus420 » Dec 11, 2011 7:36 am

Atheistoclast wrote:

Anyway suffice it to say, your earlier posts of delusions of grandieur were much better trolling than this. I guess I was wrong about you, definitely no Da Vinci after all. :(


The real Da Vinci code is in DNA.


Turing Test fail.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#525  Postby MrFungus420 » Dec 11, 2011 7:38 am

Atheistoclast wrote:Oh, please! I get called much worse by everyone. Sorry, but Rumraket said something patently stupid when he equated data with information. I get very angry when I hear people talk such nonsense with a great deal of misplaced confidence.


It must be terrible to be very angry at yourself all of the time.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#526  Postby MrFungus420 » Dec 11, 2011 7:41 am

Atheistoclast wrote:
chairman bill wrote:
Atheistoclast wrote:You wanted to prosecute me. But God had other plans, and intervened to close down the Sodom and Gomorrah of cyberspace. If you mess with Clastie, you mess with the higher power that protects him. You have been warned.


Surely a piss-take. This must be the point where Atheistoclast reveals his true colours - a Poe. Really, nobody posts pathetic shit like that, and means it.


Everything is the will of the Creator, including the demise of the RD forum. Let that be a lesson to you all.


Thank you for admitting that your god, if he exists, doesn't just watch children be raped, but it is his will that they be raped.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#527  Postby Agrippina » Dec 11, 2011 7:59 am

Atheistoclast wrote:
chairman bill wrote:
Atheistoclast wrote:You wanted to prosecute me. But God had other plans, and intervened to close down the Sodom and Gomorrah of cyberspace. If you mess with Clastie, you mess with the higher power that protects him. You have been warned.


Surely a piss-take. This must be the point where Atheistoclast reveals his true colours - a Poe. Really, nobody posts pathetic shit like that, and means it.


Everything is the will of the Creator, including the demise of the RD forum. Let that be a lesson to you all.


Oh FFS! :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll:
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#528  Postby chairman bill » Dec 11, 2011 8:16 am

We should note, it is the will of the Creator that Atheistoclast post embarrassingly stupid shit. God is testing us; if we fall for the specious apologetic bullshit that passes for argument in Atheistoclast-World, God deems us unworthy, and casts us down to the pit of Hell, but if we reject the illogical, unreasonable, and that which fails to conform to observable reality, he elevates us to Heaven.

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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#529  Postby Agrippina » Dec 11, 2011 8:33 am

The whole business of believing in some unseen being and all the unprovable claptrap that goes with it really annoys the hell out of me, and especially on a day when I'm already pissed off with the world in general. There's someone out there, somewhere in the world who is going to get the sharp end of my tongue today, and I have the feeling that it's some bullshitter telling me that God made me feel like kicking everybody's arse today.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#530  Postby Calilasseia » Dec 11, 2011 8:35 am

MrFungus420 wrote:
Atheistoclast wrote:
chairman bill wrote:

Surely a piss-take. This must be the point where Atheistoclast reveals his true colours - a Poe. Really, nobody posts pathetic shit like that, and means it.


Everything is the will of the Creator, including the demise of the RD forum. Let that be a lesson to you all.


Thank you for admitting that your god, if he exists, doesn't just watch children be raped, but it is his will that they be raped.


And, as a direct corollary, if said magic man exists, then this entity is a cunt, and worthy not of worship, but of scorn and derision. But of course, we know what sort of apologetics are erected to try and escape from this - see, for example, Kalamity Kraig's apologetic excuses for genocide, in which he claims that the victims not only deserved to be slaughtered, but that being slaughtered in this manner was "good" for them, and that we should instead pity the poor murderers, carrying out the will of their magic man, despite this purportedly being 'distressing' to them. Which, if true, makes a mockery of his other favourite assertion, that it's impossible to be "moral" without the invisible tyrant in the sky, because if carrying out Magic Man's orders was, as Craig asserts, "inherently good" simply because Magic Man ordered it, why did following Magic Man's orders not bestow upon the executors thereof all the usual emotions associated with doing something good?

Oh, that's right, they didn't get their "orders" from their magic man, the homicidal piss-stained Middle Eastern nomads made this shit up after the fact, to justify their pursuit of Lebensraum, which is why all these gleeful accounts of dispensing horrific and bloody death to their enemies was hastily written up and shoved into their mythology, right after the bit where they wrote about the Ten Commandments. One of which was "thou shalt not kill". Apparently they didn't have the brains to write that as "thou shalt not kill, except when Magic Man orders it", and give themselves the escape clause they needed before going out and committing mass murder. Not that this has ever stopped supernaturalists from interpreting that commandment in that very manner since, and acting brutally upon that interpretation.

Basically, the Abrahamic Magic Man was a convenient fabrication of the imagination of semi-literate, superstitious, pre-scientific humans, who moreover were amongst the most backward and savage members of the species, even by the standards of the age. The magic man they fabricated was fabricated in their image: backward, homicidal, anti-intellectual, fatuously ignorant of even basic real world facts, and shot through with a host of utterly repugnant traits, many of which centre upon bigotry of one sort or another. The only people who can possibly pay homage to such an entity, without shutting down large parts of their thinking brains in order to do so, are the sort of people who secretly yearn to inflict nameless horrors upon those who fall foul of their own petty little bigotries, and latch onto this entity as a convenient pseudo-justification for their psychotic urges, revelling additionally in the narcissism inherent in believing that an entire universe was made just for them. Supernaturalism in all its forms has been founded upon made up shit, resulting in the need to peddle lies in order to perpetuate the original made up shit, but the Abrahamic brand of made up shit, with its bloodlust, misogyny, and the insidious venom of ruthless enforcement of conformity to doctrine, is the most diseased of all, increasingly attracting to its ranks with the passage of time, deranged, unbalanced, clinically efflorescent individuals who, in any rational society, would be hospitalised for the safety of themselves and the rest of us. You only have to look at some of the kooks, loons, sociopaths, and in some cases, convicted criminals, who populate the American fundamentalist landscape, in order to see this repulsive trend becoming ever more correlated, ever more entrenched, and ever more virulent. The Abrahamic Magic Man, held up for millennia as a purported icon of perfection to aspire to, is in reality nothing more than an invented excuse for murderous malfeasance 3,000 years ago, and the perversity of insisting that this ideological blow-up doll is real, is long overdue for inclusion in clinical texts, with appropriate warnings with respect to the level of contagion, virulence and neurotoxicity of the doctrinal pestilence in question.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#531  Postby Agrippina » Dec 11, 2011 8:53 am

Calilasseia wrote:One of which was "thou shalt not kill". Apparently they didn't have the brains to write that as "thou shalt not kill, except when Magic Man orders it", and give themselves the escape clause they needed before going out and committing mass murder. Not that this has ever stopped supernaturalists from interpreting that commandment in that very manner since, and acting brutally upon that interpretation.


And then, when you call them out on the "thou shalt not kill" rubbish, and say that "killing" also involves the destruction of the natural habitats of animals and non-human animals themselves, they come back with an apologetic explanation that the translators, who supposedly were inspired by said magic man, made a mistake in the early translations and actually meant to say "murder" as if humans are so special that they are the only animals that aren't allowed to be killed. My apologies to carnivores, this is not an indictment on the pleasure you derive from eating animal flesh, it's merely to point out that humans are also animals and therefore "thou shalt not kill" applies to all living things, including all animals. But that's just me the vegetarian, now get back to your bacon and egg breakfasts. If you don't subscribe to the religious bullshit then you're entitled to eat animal flesh if it pleases you to do do. My comment on the "thou shalt not kill" applies to those people who claim that their magic man made the rule.
A mind without instruction can no more bear fruit than can a field, however fertile, without cultivation. - Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 BCE - 43 BCE)
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#532  Postby Agrippina » Dec 11, 2011 9:00 am

As I said, I'm in the mood for kicking someone's arse today, and the arse that's going to be kicked is the supposed magic man who I wish was real, just for one moment so that he could read this brilliant piece of arse-kicking, which I shall requote and enjoy reading again and again today while I feel inclined to go out an punch a JW.

Basically, the Abrahamic Magic Man was a convenient fabrication of the imagination of semi-literate, superstitious, pre-scientific humans, who moreover were amongst the most backward and savage members of the species, even by the standards of the age. The magic man they fabricated was fabricated in their image: backward, homicidal, anti-intellectual, fatuously ignorant of even basic real world facts, and shot through with a host of utterly repugnant traits, many of which centre upon bigotry of one sort or another. The only people who can possibly pay homage to such an entity, without shutting down large parts of their thinking brains in order to do so, are the sort of people who secretly yearn to inflict nameless horrors upon those who fall foul of their own petty little bigotries, and latch onto this entity as a convenient pseudo-justification for their psychotic urges, revelling additionally in the narcissism inherent in believing that an entire universe was made just for them. Supernaturalism in all its forms has been founded upon made up shit, resulting in the need to peddle lies in order to perpetuate the original made up shit, but the Abrahamic brand of made up shit, with its bloodlust, misogyny, and the insidious venom of ruthless enforcement of conformity to doctrine, is the most diseased of all, increasingly attracting to its ranks with the passage of time, deranged, unbalanced, clinically efflorescent individuals who, in any rational society, would be hospitalised for the safety of themselves and the rest of us. You only have to look at some of the kooks, loons, sociopaths, and in some cases, convicted criminals, who populate the American fundamentalist landscape, in order to see this repulsive trend becoming ever more correlated, ever more entrenched, and ever more virulent. The Abrahamic Magic Man, held up for millennia as a purported icon of perfection to aspire to, is in reality nothing more than an invented excuse for murderous malfeasance 3,000 years ago, and the perversity of insisting that this ideological blow-up doll is real, is long overdue for inclusion in clinical texts, with appropriate warnings with respect to the level of contagion, virulence and neurotoxicity of the doctrinal pestilence in question.
A mind without instruction can no more bear fruit than can a field, however fertile, without cultivation. - Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 BCE - 43 BCE)
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#533  Postby Nebogipfel » Dec 11, 2011 10:14 am

Atheistoclast wrote:
You wanted to prosecute me. But God had other plans, and intervened to close down the Sodom and Gomorrah of cyberspace. If you mess with Clastie, you mess with the higher power that protects him. You have been warned.


:lol:
This is hilarious.

Poor old Yahweh! Back in the glory days, he slew the first born, parted seas, drowned mighty armies, turned people into pillars of salt and annihilated cities with fire and brimstone. These days, he´s reduced to shutting down internet forums. Deities just ain´t what they used to be.
Once again, the only sensible approach is tentatively to reject the dragon hypothesis, to be open to future physical data, and to wonder what the cause might be that so many apparently sane and sober people share the same strange delusion
-- Carl Sagan
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#534  Postby Agrippina » Dec 11, 2011 10:16 am

@Nebogipfel, you gotta love the internet age. It's even made God's job easier.
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#535  Postby Regina » Dec 11, 2011 12:48 pm

Nebogipfel wrote:
Atheistoclast wrote:
You wanted to prosecute me. But God had other plans, and intervened to close down the Sodom and Gomorrah of cyberspace. If you mess with Clastie, you mess with the higher power that protects him. You have been warned.


:lol:
This is hilarious.

Poor old Yahweh! Back in the glory days, he slew the first born, parted seas, drowned mighty armies, turned people into pillars of salt and annihilated cities with fire and brimstone. These days, he´s reduced to shutting down internet forums. Deities just ain´t what they used to be.

He must be taking the piss, I'm convinced of that.
No, they ain't makin' Jews like Jesus anymore,
They don't turn the other cheek the way they done before.

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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#536  Postby Nebogipfel » Dec 11, 2011 1:34 pm

I, too, am frustrated by the slow pace of scientific progress. According to my Star Trek Spaceflight Chronology 1980-2188, by 2010 there should have been 1,500 people living in two orbiting L-5 space stations, and next year Marsbase 1, the first interplanetary outpost, should begin a thorough search for extraterrestrial life.
We're a bit behind schedule, aren't we?

Oh and guess what? On the agenda for 2068: From the Pluto Research Station comes proof that we live in a pulsating universe. But, sadly, no mention of Darwinian evolution being disproved. Sorry, Clastie. :lol:
Once again, the only sensible approach is tentatively to reject the dragon hypothesis, to be open to future physical data, and to wonder what the cause might be that so many apparently sane and sober people share the same strange delusion
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#537  Postby Nebogipfel » Dec 11, 2011 1:35 pm

Regina wrote:
He must be taking the piss, I'm convinced of that.


We have to hope, don't we? ;-)
Once again, the only sensible approach is tentatively to reject the dragon hypothesis, to be open to future physical data, and to wonder what the cause might be that so many apparently sane and sober people share the same strange delusion
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#538  Postby Darwinsbulldog » Dec 11, 2011 3:44 pm

You evilootionists just hate god, that's all.
Jayjay4547 wrote:
"When an animal carries a “branch” around as a defensive weapon, that branch is under natural selection".
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#539  Postby patient zero » Dec 11, 2011 4:50 pm

chairman bill wrote:
Atheistoclast wrote:You wanted to prosecute me. But God had other plans, and intervened to close down the Sodom and Gomorrah of cyberspace. If you mess with Clastie, you mess with the higher power that protects him. You have been warned.


Surely a piss-take. This must be the point where Atheistoclast reveals his true colours - a Poe. Really, nobody posts pathetic shit like that, and means it.

I've been thinking he's a Poe since he posted this:
http://www.rationalskepticism.org/creat ... ml#p233228
Calilasseia wrote:...WHY DO PROFESSIONAL PROPAGANDISTS FOR CREATIONISM HAVE TO LIE FOR THEIR DOCTRINE?
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Re: Is evolution just a hunch and a line of reasoning?

#540  Postby Agrippina » Dec 11, 2011 5:13 pm

I hate God slightly less than I hate the tooth fairy.
A mind without instruction can no more bear fruit than can a field, however fertile, without cultivation. - Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 BCE - 43 BCE)
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